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West China Cement Ltd reports 42.9% CAPEX decline and 9.8% Revenue decline

14/03/2016 • About West China Cement Ltd ($2233) • By InTwits

West China Cement Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • West China Cement Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is 1.3%
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 23.5% in 2015 vs. 25.5% in 2014 vs. 36.4% in 2011
  • West China Cement Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 22.4%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.4%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 353 in 2015, 618 in 2014, 581 in 2013, 607 in 2012, 1,747 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 1.3%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 4.2x while industry average is 1.6x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

West China Cement Ltd ($2233) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue3,1903,5244,1683,8833,501-9.8%
Gross Profit884675729598463-22.5%
SG&A2152352792943146.6%
EBITDA1,1611,0561,189989822-16.9%
Net Income66236537836-309-961.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash530369507496455-8.2%
Short Term Debt6451,2577097451,33779.5%
Long Term Debt2,6672,6133,2083,2882,566-21.9%
Cash flow
Capex1,747607581618353-42.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth7.8%10.5%18.3%-6.8%-9.8%
EBITDA growth-15.3%-9.0%12.5%-16.8%-16.9%
Gross Margin27.7%19.2%17.5%15.4%13.2%-2.2%
EBITDA Margin36.4%30.0%28.5%25.5%23.5%-2.0%
Net Income Margin20.8%10.4%9.1%0.9%-8.8%-9.8%
SG&A, % of revenue6.7%6.7%6.7%7.6%9.0%1.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue54.8%17.2%13.9%15.9%10.1%-5.8%
ROIC13.5%7.3%6.9%4.0%1.3%-2.8%
ROE17.4%8.3%7.7%0.7%-5.7%-6.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.4x3.3x2.9x3.6x4.2x0.6x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 9.8% in 2015. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 2.0 pp from 25.5% to 23.5% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 2.2 pp from 15.4% to 13.2% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.4 pp from 7.6% to 9.0% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 9.8 pp from 0.92% to -8.8% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 West China Cement Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 10.1%. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 7.2 pp from 17.2% in 2012 to 10.1% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 13.3%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (1.26%) and negative ROE (-5.71%). ROIC decreased on 2.8 pp from 4.0% to 1.3% in 2015. ROE decreased on 6.4 pp from 0.72% to -5.7% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 4.2x and Debt / EBITDA is 4.8x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.6x from 3.6x to 4.2x in 2015. Debt decreased on 3.2% in 2015 while cash decreased on 8.2% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Building Materials


Below you can find West China Cement Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Building Materials industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Summit Ascent Holdings Ltd ($102)-18.8%-86.4%-19.6%177.1%
Pacific Plywood Hldg Ltd ($767)-34.9%-14.5%119.5%
Luoyang Glass Co Ltd ($1108)-21.4%-40.3%-32.3%76.2%
Prosperity International Holdings HK Ltd ($803)-23.9%-43.3%55.2%-34.4%
China Singyes Solar Technologies Holdings Ltd ($750)35.0%28.7%34.0%20.7%
 
Median (24 companies)33.2%-3.5%9.6%6.3%-18.0%
West China Cement Ltd ($2233)10.5%18.3%-6.8%-9.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Pacific Plywood Hldg Ltd ($767)95.0%91.4%82.0%97.2%
Dongpeng Holdings Co Ltd ($3386)28.7%35.6%37.1%38.5%
Luks Group Vietnam Holdings Co Ltd ($366)37.6%37.2%36.9%37.0%
Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd ($914)39.4%27.3%32.5%33.2%
China Resources Cement Holdings Ltd ($1313)31.1%24.1%28.5%31.3%24.0%
 
Median (24 companies)26.0%21.8%22.6%21.2%24.0%
West China Cement Ltd ($2233)27.7%19.2%17.5%15.4%13.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Pacific Plywood Hldg Ltd ($767)53.6%12.6%-19.8%50.5%
Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd ($914)38.8%27.1%31.1%32.1%
TCC International Holdings Ltd ($1136)26.5%19.2%26.1%29.0%
Asia Cement China Holdings Corp ($743)30.3%20.6%24.9%27.0%
China Tianrui Group Cement Co Ltd ($1252)32.4%28.5%23.7%26.7%
 
Median (24 companies)18.3%15.1%16.9%17.4%-0.7%
West China Cement Ltd ($2233)36.4%30.0%28.5%25.5%23.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Singyes Solar Technologies Holdings Ltd ($750)40.4%11.9%32.1%23.6%
China Glass Holdings Ltd ($3300)37.2%19.6%12.5%12.4%
China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd ($691)13.5%18.9%21.1%12.1%
China Lesso Group Holdings Ltd ($2128)12.0%13.6%9.1%11.8%
Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd ($914)16.1%14.7%12.3%11.1%
 
Median (24 companies)6.3%9.7%8.3%5.4%11.1%
West China Cement Ltd ($2233)54.8%17.2%13.9%15.9%10.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Dongpeng Holdings Co Ltd ($3386)49.7%37.1%35.8%27.2%
Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd ($914)27.2%12.7%17.5%18.4%
China Lesso Group Holdings Ltd ($2128)26.8%20.5%19.4%18.2%
China Wood Optimization Holding Ltd ($8099)33.5%27.3%17.7%17.7%
China Singyes Solar Technologies Holdings Ltd ($750)21.1%18.6%19.9%16.0%
 
Median (24 companies)12.1%5.0%6.9%5.7%-2.7%
West China Cement Ltd ($2233)13.5%7.3%6.9%4.0%1.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sustainable Forest Holdings Ltd ($723)0.9x9.6x
China National Building Material Co Ltd ($3323)3.9x6.7x6.8x6.3x
BBMG Corp ($2009)4.4x4.6x5.0x6.1x
China Tianrui Group Cement Co Ltd ($1252)3.0x4.2x5.1x5.2x
China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd ($691)1.8x3.0x4.1x4.8x
 
Median (20 companies)0.9x2.4x1.1x1.9x1.6x
West China Cement Ltd ($2233)2.4x3.3x2.9x3.6x4.2x