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China Vanke Co Ltd reports 28.7% revenue growth in 2015 and 3.7 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 21.1% to 17.3%

13/03/2016 • About China Vanke Co Ltd ($2202) • By InTwits

China Vanke Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Vanke Co Ltd is a fast growth stock: 2015 revenue growth was 28.7%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 31.5% at 2015 ROIC 14.1%
  • China Vanke Co Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.0%.
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 14.1%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Vanke Co Ltd ($2202) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue67,70996,860123,874137,994177,56928.7%
Gross Profit24,46031,40631,07634,63539,41813.8%
SG&A5,2235,9026,8688,5088,8844.4%
EBITDA19,38625,66224,32729,04830,7545.9%
Net Income9,62512,55115,11915,74618,11915.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash33,61451,12043,00461,65351,748-16.1%
Short Term Debt23,57035,55747,40822,83243,39190.0%
Long Term Debt26,82236,03644,08246,14952,84414.5%
Cash flow
Capex2621512,4391,8312,06312.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth50.2%43.1%27.9%11.4%28.7%
EBITDA growth65.2%32.4%-5.2%19.4%5.9%
Gross Margin36.1%32.4%25.1%25.1%22.2%-2.9%
EBITDA Margin28.6%26.5%19.6%21.1%17.3%-3.7%
Net Income Margin14.2%13.0%12.2%11.4%10.2%-1.2%
SG&A, % of revenue7.7%6.1%5.5%6.2%5.0%-1.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.4%0.2%2.0%1.3%1.2%-0.2%
ROIC16.8%17.8%13.5%14.6%14.1%-0.5%
ROE19.8%21.5%21.5%19.1%19.2%0.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.9x0.8x2.0x0.3x1.4x1.2x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue surged on 28.7% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.1 pp from 15.2% to 16.3% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 2.9 pp from 25.1% to 22.2% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.2 pp from 6.2% to 5.0% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased slightly on 1.2 pp from 11.4% to 10.2% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 1.2% in 2015. CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 1.0 pp from 0.16% in 2012 to 1.2% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.5%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (14.10%) and ROE (19.24%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.54 pp from 14.6% to 14.1% in 2015. ROE showed almost no change in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and 3.1x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 1.2x from 0.3x to 1.4x in 2015. Debt surged on 39.5% in 2015 while cash dropped on 16.1% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below you can find China Vanke Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Real Estate industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Common Splendor International Health Industry Group Ltd ($286)-0.9%-0.5%1.9%4,120.2%
Landsea Green Properties Co Ltd ($106)-91.1%-35.1%-51.2%3,097.3%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)-0.1%-27.5%-21.9%3,008.3%
Rivera Holdings Ltd ($281)222.2%197.1%-89.9%2,067.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-94.0%-73.9%-49.8%1,922.5%
 
Median (173 companies)12.6%15.4%13.0%5.0%4.0%
China Vanke Co Ltd ($2202)43.1%27.9%11.4%28.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)37.4%39.3%98.2%
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)29.8%22.8%92.9%95.2%62.7%
 
Median (155 companies)43.8%42.2%41.8%39.3%48.6%
China Vanke Co Ltd ($2202)36.1%32.4%25.1%25.1%22.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)24.0%-125.5%-2,995.7%1,685.3%-525.1%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)73.6%105.3%133.1%143.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-5.9%-382.7%-1,024.0%126.8%
 
Median (173 companies)35.3%29.1%28.2%27.3%34.5%
China Vanke Co Ltd ($2202)28.6%26.5%19.6%21.1%17.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)25.6%56.2%4,202.4%1,304.7%189.7%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)5.9%24.1%1,091.1%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%
Liu Chong Hing Investment Ltd ($194)9.4%18.5%6.1%269.7%0.9%
 
Median (174 companies)5.9%5.5%6.2%4.7%7.2%
China Vanke Co Ltd ($2202)0.4%0.2%2.0%1.3%1.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Rykadan Capital Ltd ($2288)17.2%-1.8%-2.6%48.4%-3.7%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)0.2%-0.2%-1.1%22.1%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)39.0%19.2%17.6%18.7%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%
 
Median (177 companies)4.6%4.0%3.8%3.8%3.0%
China Vanke Co Ltd ($2202)16.8%17.8%13.5%14.6%14.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Properties Group Ltd ($1838)16.9x43.0x21.4x1,523.0x
SRE Group Ltd ($1207)10.6x14.1x24.7x1,184.6x
Cheuk Nang Holdings Ltd ($131)53.2x177.3x901.7x
Tian An China Investment Co Ltd ($28)2.4x13.2x15.1x486.6x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x
 
Median (140 companies)2.1x2.4x2.8x3.0x2.1x
China Vanke Co Ltd ($2202)0.9x0.8x2.0x0.3x1.4x