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Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd EBITDA jumped on 98.9% in 2015 while Revenue decreased on 2.1%

11/03/2016 • About Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd ($851) • By InTwits

Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is expanding: 5.0% in 2015 vs. 2.4% in 2014 vs. -14.5% in 2011
  • Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2011-2015 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -6.4%0
  • Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 10.4%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 3.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 0.13 in 2015, 0.33 in 2014, 1.3 in 2013, 2.1 in 2012, 11.1 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 3.6%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 15.4x while industry average is 1.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd ($851) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue52.27.362.1414.6405.7-2.1%
Gross Profit1.2
EBITDA-7.6-45.1-38.110.120.198.9%
Net Income-13.1-49.1-40.2-5.0-34.4582.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash144.465.558.594.560.5-35.9%
Short Term Debt0.00.030.0155.0222.343.5%
Long Term Debt52.50.10.0133.9148.510.9%
Cash flow
Capex11.12.11.30.30.1-60.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth571.1%-86.1%756.9%567.2%-2.1%
EBITDA growth-49.4%496.7%-15.6%-126.5%98.9%
Gross Margin2.4%0.0%
EBITDA Margin-14.5%-621.7%-61.2%2.4%5.0%2.5%
Net Income Margin-25.0%-676.9%-64.8%-1.2%-8.5%-7.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue21.2%28.6%2.1%0.1%0.0%-0.0%
ROIC-7.5%-34.9%-38.3%3.0%3.6%0.6%
ROE-44.2%-45.9%-3.8%-19.3%-15.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA19.3x15.4x-3.8x

Revenue and profitability


Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd's Revenue decreased on 2.1% in 2015. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.5 pp from 2.4% to 5.0% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 7.3 pp from -1.2% to -8.5% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 0.033%. CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 28.5 pp from 28.6% in 2012 to 0.033% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.73%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (3.59%) and negative ROE (-19.27%). ROIC increased slightly on 0.62 pp from 3.0% to 3.6% in 2015. ROE dropped on 15.5 pp from -3.8% to -19.3% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 15.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and 18.5x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 3.8x from 19.3x to 15.4x in 2015. Debt surged on 28.4% in 2015 while cash dropped on 35.9% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Distribution/Wholesale


Below we provide Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Distribution/Wholesale industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)504.6%3,871.0%
China LNG Group Ltd ($931)-84.5%694.8%13.6%1,341.3%
China Infrastructure Investment Ltd ($600)346.9%412.1%-50.9%557.9%
China-Hongkong Photo Products Holdings Ltd ($1123)24.9%9.0%81.2%12.2%
Goldin Financial Holdings Ltd ($530)-39.4%63.5%60.3%42.9%
 
Median (37 companies)15.4%3.1%0.0%0.8%6.1%
Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd ($851)-86.1%756.9%567.2%-2.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Goldin Financial Holdings Ltd ($530)67.0%75.3%71.7%74.8%73.8%
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)69.8%
YGM Trading Ltd ($375)67.1%66.5%67.4%64.0%62.5%
Goldlion Holdings Ltd ($533)57.3%56.4%54.1%55.7%
Sincere Watch Hong Kong Ltd ($444)34.2%35.6%39.7%38.8%38.3%
 
Median (34 companies)16.4%17.4%17.8%18.7%24.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Goldin Financial Holdings Ltd ($530)-134.6%163.7%613.4%285.7%364.1%
China LNG Group Ltd ($931)195.2%95.1%76.4%97.9%
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)-2,113.8%-803.1%57.7%
China Infrastructure Investment Ltd ($600)-1,171.2%-274.9%120.0%52.0%
GA Holdings Ltd ($8126)-4.5%8.0%19.7%22.9%
 
Median (37 companies)2.9%2.6%2.5%4.6%1.7%
Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd ($851)-14.5%-621.7%-61.2%2.4%5.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
C Y Foundation Group Ltd ($1182)9.8%2.5%5.2%82.2%9.3%
Inspur International Ltd ($596)0.9%8.4%12.2%33.6%
SIS International Holdings ($529)0.2%13.4%31.8%14.8%
HKC International Holdings Ltd ($248)0.9%5.5%0.8%11.4%0.5%
Tan Chong International Ltd ($693)7.6%6.0%7.6%7.0%
 
Median (36 companies)1.3%1.3%1.7%1.7%1.6%
Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd ($851)21.2%28.6%2.1%0.1%0.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China LNG Group Ltd ($931)2.2%8.4%7.4%87.0%
Yestar International Holdings Co Ltd ($2393)29.4%28.8%24.1%26.2%
Powerwell Pacific Holdings Ltd ($8265)27.8%6.4%6.4%23.6%
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)-37.7%-4.9%-11.0%19.5%
Sincere Watch Hong Kong Ltd ($444)46.4%51.7%27.7%14.6%5.5%
 
Median (38 companies)2.9%2.7%1.7%3.2%-0.7%
Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd ($851)-7.5%-34.9%-38.3%3.0%3.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Takson Holdings Ltd ($918)11.5x11.7x15.7x
Huiyin Household Appliances Holdings Co Ltd ($1280)10.1x10.9x
Pacific Andes International Holdings Ltd ($1174)4.9x5.1x9.1x7.8x
SIS International Holdings ($529)-62.1x-1.8x7.0x7.2x
Futong Technology Development Holdings Ltd ($465)2.2x5.6x8.6x6.9x
 
Median (26 companies)-0.2x-0.2x-0.6x-0.1x-0.7x
Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd ($851)19.3x15.4x