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Magnificent Estates Net Income dropped on 84.1% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin dropped on 12.4 pp from 53.0% to 40.6%

11/03/2016 • About Magnificent Estates ($201) • By InTwits

Magnificent Estates reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Magnificent Estates doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is 1.9%
  • Magnificent Estates has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 25.7%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 5.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 56.4 in 2015, 121 in 2014, 53.2 in 2013, 155 in 2012, 224 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 1.9%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Magnificent Estates ($201) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue401.6520.5688.7538.6444.5-17.5%
Gross Profit281.9362.7456.7311.6211.5-32.1%
SG&A24.427.126.3-3.1%
EBITDA168.9236.8329.4285.4180.5-36.7%
Net Income487.8536.3622.8905.7144.1-84.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash99.5179.8314.31,164.8778.1-33.2%
Short Term Debt1,275.21,269.6759.3779.9414.7-46.8%
Long Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Cash flow
Capex224.1155.553.2121.356.4-53.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth31.9%29.6%32.3%-21.8%-17.5%
EBITDA growth-11.7%40.2%39.1%-13.4%-36.7%
Gross Margin70.2%69.7%66.3%57.9%47.6%-10.3%
EBITDA Margin42.1%45.5%47.8%53.0%40.6%-12.4%
Net Income Margin121.5%103.0%90.4%168.2%32.4%-135.8%
SG&A, % of revenue3.5%5.0%5.9%0.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue55.8%29.9%7.7%22.5%12.7%-9.8%
ROIC2.7%3.5%4.2%3.3%1.9%-1.3%
ROE12.9%12.1%12.5%15.8%2.9%-12.9%
Net Debt/EBITDA7.0x4.6x1.4x-1.3x-2.0x-0.7x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 17.5% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin jumped on 14.9 pp from -20.7% to -5.8% in 2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 10.3 pp from 57.9% to 47.6% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.88 pp from 5.0% to 5.9% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 136 pp from 168% to 32.4% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Magnificent Estates had CAPEX/Revenue of 12.7%. The company showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 17.2 pp from 29.9% in 2012 to 12.7% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 14.3%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (1.93%) and ROE (2.89%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.3 pp from 3.3% to 1.9% in 2015. ROE dropped on 12.9 pp from 15.8% to 2.9% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -2.0x Net Debt / EBITDA and 2.3x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.7x from -1.3x to -2.0x in 2015. Debt dropped on 46.8% in 2015 while cash dropped on 33.2% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Holding Companies-Divers


Below we provide Magnificent Estates benchmarking against other companies in Holding Companies-Divers industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Kong Sun Holdings Ltd ($295)-18.7%-88.3%5.1%7,067.0%
Goldin Properties Holdings Ltd ($283)126.0%2,065.8%-79.6%
China Primary Energy Holdings Ltd ($8117)-43.1%-56.3%-23.6%195.4%
Carnival Group International Holdings Ltd ($996)159.1%
21 Holdings Ltd ($1003)20.3%-57.4%-12.4%106.4%
 
Median (42 companies)11.6%11.4%3.3%15.7%0.5%
Magnificent Estates ($201)29.6%32.3%-21.8%-17.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Multifield International Holdings Ltd ($898)66.4%87.5%84.7%89.1%
New Century Group Hong Kong Ltd ($234)76.7%27.3%85.2%82.8%91.5%
Emperor International Holdings Ltd ($163)74.5%71.3%64.9%79.2%75.3%
China Renji Medical Group Ltd/Hong Kong ($648)54.9%70.0%67.3%78.6%
Century Legend Holdings Ltd ($79)68.5%70.1%72.3%71.0%
 
Median (39 companies)27.9%32.9%34.6%30.8%38.3%
Magnificent Estates ($201)70.2%69.7%66.3%57.9%47.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Emperor International Holdings Ltd ($163)224.8%180.7%131.8%100.6%73.9%
Multifield International Holdings Ltd ($898)49.8%80.1%68.3%97.5%
New Century Group Hong Kong Ltd ($234)82.5%-5.5%78.8%58.3%85.0%
China Merchants Holdings International Co Ltd ($144)63.7%56.4%50.8%45.2%
Wisdom Holdings Group ($1661)25.0%32.4%45.1%44.4%
 
Median (44 companies)5.2%1.7%1.9%5.6%7.8%
Magnificent Estates ($201)42.1%45.5%47.8%53.0%40.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Far East Holdings International Ltd ($36)2.7%0.1%13.2%422.1%
China Investments Holdings Ltd ($132)20.7%4.8%81.9%382.2%
Heng Fai Enterprises Ltd ($185)217.5%4.8%77.1%310.0%458.1%
New Century Group Hong Kong Ltd ($234)1.0%97.2%1.0%142.7%32.2%
Chinney Investments Ltd ($216)37.6%17.5%103.4%111.3%230.9%
 
Median (44 companies)4.1%2.2%3.6%6.1%15.6%
Magnificent Estates ($201)55.8%29.9%7.7%22.5%12.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Wisdom Holdings Group ($1661)62.7%68.6%42.1%28.8%
Chinney Alliance Group Ltd ($385)3.4%6.4%8.1%13.6%
Hutchison Whampoa Ltd ($13)3.3%3.7%4.2%8.1%
Code Agriculture Holdings Ltd ($8153)-0.1%2.4%-3.3%7.9%-6.2%
C C Land Holdings Ltd ($1224)4.5%7.4%5.3%7.9%
 
Median (44 companies)0.3%-0.2%-0.2%0.5%0.3%
Magnificent Estates ($201)2.7%3.5%4.2%3.3%1.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Chinney Investments Ltd ($216)111.3x10.3x63.7x48.6x93.7x
Carnival Group International Holdings Ltd ($996)23.7x
Van Shung Chong Holdings Ltd ($1001)3.4x0.9x12.3x7.7x
Southeast Asia Properties & Finance Ltd ($252)6.8x6.7x5.7x9.2x4.3x
Code Agriculture Holdings Ltd ($8153)24.3x11.9x42.8x8.7x
 
Median (26 companies)2.7x2.4x3.1x3.2x5.1x
Magnificent Estates ($201)7.0x4.6x1.4x-1.3x-2.0x