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Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd revenue returned to growth in 2015: increased 40.9% vs. 1.2% decline a year earliner

11/03/2016 • About Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ($2777) • By InTwits

Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 1,439 in 2015, 1,258 in 2014, 994 in 2013, 761 in 2012, 444 in 2011
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 9.2%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ($2777) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue27,37026,38931,79931,43044,29140.9%
Gross Profit11,41610,29711,95711,12214,20727.7%
SG&A1,9241,9722,4553,1043,3066.5%
EBITDA10,32912,725
Net Income4,8425,5107,6406,5546,7212.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash4,82612,86224,34419,83013,970-29.5%
Short Term Debt10,0937,21218,09522,10532,67947.8%
Long Term Debt18,28528,27243,24945,49449,7599.4%
Cash flow
Capex4447619941,2581,43914.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth11.1%-3.6%20.5%-1.2%40.9%
EBITDA growth11.8%
Gross Margin41.7%39.0%37.6%35.4%32.1%-3.3%
EBITDA Margin37.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%28.7%28.7%
Net Income Margin17.7%20.9%24.0%20.9%15.2%-5.7%
SG&A, % of revenue7.0%7.5%7.7%9.9%7.5%-2.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.6%2.9%3.1%4.0%3.2%-0.8%
ROIC18.2%13.7%11.7%7.3%9.2%2.0%
ROE22.9%22.5%25.7%15.5%12.2%-3.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.3x5.4x5.4x

Revenue and profitability


Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd's Revenue surged on 40.9% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 3.3 pp from 35.4% to 32.1% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 2.4 pp from 9.9% to 7.5% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 5.7 pp from 20.9% to 15.2% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 3.2%. CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from 2012 to 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.5%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (12.17%) while ROIC is low (9.21%). ROIC increased slightly on 2.0 pp from 7.3% to 9.2% in 2015. ROE decreased on 3.3 pp from 15.5% to 12.2% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 5.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and 6.5x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped5.4x from to 5.4x in 2015. Debt surged on 22.0% in 2015 while cash dropped on 29.5% in 2015.

Management team


Zhang Li is a the company's CEO. Zhang Li has spent 13 years at the company. Zhu Ling is a Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd's CFO. Zhu Ling has spent 13 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below we provide Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Real Estate industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Common Splendor International Health Industry Group Ltd ($286)-0.9%-0.5%1.9%4,120.2%
Landsea Green Properties Co Ltd ($106)-91.1%-35.1%-51.2%3,097.3%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)-0.1%-27.5%-21.9%3,008.3%
Rivera Holdings Ltd ($281)222.2%197.1%-89.9%2,067.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-94.0%-73.9%-49.8%1,922.5%
 
Median (173 companies)13.8%15.8%13.0%5.2%3.9%
Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ($2777)-3.6%20.5%-1.2%40.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)37.4%39.3%98.2%
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)29.8%22.8%92.9%95.2%62.7%
 
Median (155 companies)43.8%42.2%41.8%39.3%50.8%
Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ($2777)41.7%39.0%37.6%35.4%32.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)24.0%-125.5%-2,995.7%1,685.3%-525.1%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)73.6%105.3%133.1%143.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-5.9%-382.7%-1,024.0%126.8%
 
Median (174 companies)35.1%28.9%28.1%26.9%34.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)25.6%56.2%4,202.4%1,304.7%189.7%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)5.9%24.1%1,091.1%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%
Liu Chong Hing Investment Ltd ($194)9.4%18.5%6.1%269.7%0.9%
 
Median (174 companies)5.9%5.5%6.2%4.7%7.7%
Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ($2777)1.6%2.9%3.1%4.0%3.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Rykadan Capital Ltd ($2288)17.2%-1.8%-2.6%48.4%-3.7%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)0.2%-0.2%-1.1%22.1%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)39.0%19.2%17.6%18.7%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%
 
Median (177 companies)4.6%4.0%3.8%3.8%3.0%
Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd ($2777)18.2%13.7%11.7%7.3%9.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Properties Group Ltd ($1838)16.9x43.0x21.4x1,523.0x
SRE Group Ltd ($1207)10.6x14.1x24.7x1,184.6x
Cheuk Nang Holdings Ltd ($131)53.2x177.3x901.7x
Tian An China Investment Co Ltd ($28)2.4x13.2x15.1x486.6x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x
 
Median (141 companies)2.1x2.3x2.7x3.0x2.0x