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China Hongqiao Group Ltd CAPEX surged on 86.0% in 2015 and Revenue jumped on 22.2%

11/03/2016 • About China Hongqiao Group Ltd ($1378) • By InTwits

China Hongqiao Group Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Hongqiao Group Ltd is a growth stock: 2015 revenue growth was 22.2%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 23.9% at 2015 ROIC 10.6%
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 30.3% in 2015 vs. 34.1% in 2014 vs. 38.7% in 2011
  • China Hongqiao Group Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 39.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 1,439 in 2015, 1,258 in 2014, 994 in 2013, 761 in 2012, 444 in 2011
  • The company has business model with average profitability: ROIC is at 10.6%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.4x while industry average is 1.8x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Hongqiao Group Ltd ($1378) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue23,62624,80529,40436,08644,11022.2%
Gross Profit8,1768,0038,1439,2968,951-3.7%
SG&A21136550070596737.1%
EBITDA9,1409,39510,28712,32213,3728.5%
Net Income5,8755,4535,5935,3143,649-31.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash7,4859,1756,3627,6768,48910.6%
Short Term Debt3,2116,65913,66117,12125,98651.8%
Long Term Debt3,9829,66016,83022,88527,87721.8%
Cash flow
Capex8,97810,84014,1179,36817,42786.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth56.1%5.0%18.5%22.7%22.2%
EBITDA growth42.5%2.8%9.5%19.8%8.5%
Gross Margin34.6%32.3%27.7%25.8%20.3%-5.5%
EBITDA Margin38.7%37.9%35.0%34.1%30.3%-3.8%
Net Income Margin24.9%22.0%19.0%14.7%8.3%-6.5%
SG&A, % of revenue0.9%1.5%1.7%2.0%2.2%0.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue38.0%43.7%48.0%26.0%39.5%13.5%
ROIC44.6%24.8%17.0%14.1%10.6%-3.5%
ROE45.7%26.8%22.8%18.1%10.8%-7.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.0x0.8x2.3x2.6x3.4x0.8x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 22.2% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 10.1 pp from 8.1% to -2.0% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 5.5 pp from 25.8% to 20.3% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 6.5 pp from 14.7% to 8.3% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


China Hongqiao Group Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 39.5% in 2015. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 4.2 pp from 43.7% in 2012 to 39.5% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 37.8%.The company has spent a lot to CAPEX (130% of EBITDA) to secure its growth.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (10.62%) and ROE (10.80%). ROIC decreased on 3.5 pp from 14.1% to 10.6% in 2015. ROE decreased on 7.3 pp from 18.1% to 10.8% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 3.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and 4.0x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.8x from 2.6x to 3.4x in 2015. Debt jumped on 34.6% in 2015 while cash jumped on 10.6% in 2015.

Management team


China Hongqiao Group Ltd's CEO is Zhang Bo. Zhang Bo has 7 years tenure at the company. Zhang Ruilian is a The company's CFO. Zhang Ruilian has spent 4 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Mining


Below we provide China Hongqiao Group Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Mining industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry Co Ltd ($3833)24.0%4.8%-44.7%303.0%
Huili Resources Group Ltd ($1303)-47.8%-33.6%-91.6%219.4%
North Mining Shares Co Ltd ($433)1.7%-5.5%-57.1%187.0%
China Kingstone Mining Holdings Ltd ($1380)4,275.3%-94.5%-55.6%155.2%
Ding He Mining Holdings Ltd ($705)31.6%29.9%43.8%89.8%
 
Median (47 companies)33.0%5.4%0.6%-6.5%-7.5%
China Hongqiao Group Ltd ($1378)5.0%18.5%22.7%22.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Billion Resources Ltd ($274)20.3%71.4%47.2%73.4%
Sun International Resources Ltd ($8029)77.6%83.2%73.1%64.8%69.4%
China Polymetallic Mining Ltd ($2133)76.9%81.8%74.2%51.8%38.9%
China Precious Metal Resources Holdings Co Ltd ($1194)64.7%63.9%54.9%51.2%
Hengshi Mining Investments Ltd ($1370)54.6%32.4%55.3%50.1%
 
Median (47 companies)19.1%13.4%14.0%15.3%28.4%
China Hongqiao Group Ltd ($1378)34.6%32.3%27.7%25.8%20.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Precious Metal Resources Holdings Co Ltd ($1194)73.1%70.0%64.6%59.6%
China Polymetallic Mining Ltd ($2133)-322.0%62.8%58.5%54.1%2.8%
G-Resources Group Ltd ($1051)54.5%53.4%
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($2099)41.7%38.3%47.3%33.7%
Hengshi Mining Investments Ltd ($1370)45.7%22.8%52.0%45.4%
 
Median (47 companies)5.9%4.7%7.5%4.4%8.7%
China Hongqiao Group Ltd ($1378)38.7%37.9%35.0%34.1%30.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Mongolia Energy Corp Ltd ($276)8,006.5%1,061.7%30,555.4%1,973.0%
Huili Resources Group Ltd ($1303)3.9%181.0%1,508.6%279.5%
Kaz Minerals ($847)19.8%36.6%136.5%168.8%168.7%
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($2099)64.7%156.1%95.6%81.4%
IRC Ltd ($1029)129.7%102.1%70.6%82.5%
 
Median (47 companies)14.3%17.0%15.3%11.1%11.0%
China Hongqiao Group Ltd ($1378)38.0%43.7%48.0%26.0%39.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Silver Group Ltd ($815)48.0%57.6%31.6%35.8%
Hengshi Mining Investments Ltd ($1370)153.0%50.1%60.1%20.7%
China Nonferrous Mining Corp Ltd ($1258)10.9%14.7%10.8%11.8%
Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd ($98)3.8%7.6%8.8%11.7%
CGN Mining Co Ltd ($1164)-6.4%2.6%3.3%7.9%
 
Median (48 companies)2.9%1.5%3.0%0.7%-0.1%
China Hongqiao Group Ltd ($1378)44.6%24.8%17.0%14.1%10.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Xinjiang Xinxin Mining Industry Co Ltd ($3833)0.9x8.4x39.4x10.3x
MMG Ltd ($1208)-0.0x2.1x2.0x10.2x20.2x
China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd ($661)5.8x9.2x9.7x9.2x
Midas Holdings Ltd ($1021)1.4x4.3x6.5x8.7x8.0x
Lingbao Gold Co Ltd ($3330)3.5x5.3x8.3x
 
Median (26 companies)1.4x2.1x1.9x4.5x4.5x
China Hongqiao Group Ltd ($1378)-0.0x0.8x2.3x2.6x3.4x