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Kai Shi China Holdings Co Ltd revenue surged on 424% in 2015 while EBITDA Margin dropped on 17.0 pp from 23.7% to 6.8%

04/03/2016 • About Kai Shi China Holdings Co Ltd ($1281) • By InTwits

Kai Shi China Holdings Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 6.8% in 2015, 23.7% in 2014, 14.6% in 2013, 15.8% in 2012, 48.6% in 2011
  • Kai Shi China Holdings Co Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 6.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 4.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 0.79 in 2015, 0.52 in 2014, 17.5 in 2013, 2.1 in 2012, 5.1 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 4.5%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Kai Shi China Holdings Co Ltd ($1281) key annual financial indicators

mln. 201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue505.3105.761.161.8324.2424.3%
Gross Profit287.053.716.020.031.858.8%
SG&A39.410.47.910.532.9%
EBITDA245.416.79.014.722.049.8%
Net Income150.431.06.3-70.213.0-118.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash116.588.339.16.3158.52,420.2%
Short Term Debt0.0200.0118.978.0220.0182.1%
Long Term Debt200.00.00.00.0300.0
Cash flow
Capex5.12.117.50.50.850.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth82.5%-79.1%-42.2%1.2%424.3%
EBITDA growth162.4%-93.2%-46.4%64.0%49.8%
Gross Margin56.8%50.8%26.2%32.4%9.8%-22.6%
EBITDA Margin48.6%15.8%14.6%23.7%6.8%-17.0%
Net Income Margin29.8%29.4%10.3%-113.5%4.0%117.5%
SG&A, % of revenue37.3%16.9%12.8%3.2%-9.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.0%2.0%28.7%0.8%0.2%-0.6%
ROIC54.9%2.3%0.9%2.5%4.5%2.0%
ROE98.4%12.2%1.9%-23.6%7.7%31.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.3x6.7x8.9x4.9x16.4x11.6x

Revenue and profitability


Kai Shi China Holdings Co Ltd's Revenue jumped on 424% in 2015. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin surged on 13.9 pp from 31.9% to 45.8% in 2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 22.6 pp from 32.4% to 9.8% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 9.5 pp from 12.8% to 3.2% in 2015.

Net Income marign jumped on 117 pp from -113% to 4.0% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Kai Shi China Holdings Co Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.24% in 2015. CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 1.7 pp from 2.0% in 2012 to 0.24% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 9.9%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (4.45%) and ROE (7.72%). ROIC increased slightly on 2.0 pp from 2.5% to 4.5% in 2015. ROE surged on 31.3 pp from -23.6% to 7.7% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 16.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and 23.7x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 11.6x from 4.9x to 16.4x in 2015. Debt surged on 567% in 2015 while cash jumped on 2,420% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below we provide Kai Shi China Holdings Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Real Estate industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Common Splendor International Health Industry Group Ltd ($286)-0.9%-0.5%1.9%4,120.2%
Landsea Green Properties Co Ltd ($106)-91.1%-35.1%-51.2%3,097.3%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)-0.1%-27.5%-21.9%3,008.3%
Rivera Holdings Ltd ($281)222.2%197.1%-89.9%2,067.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-94.0%-73.9%-49.8%1,922.5%
 
Median (173 companies)13.8%15.8%13.1%5.2%3.4%
Kai Shi China Holdings Co Ltd ($1281)-79.1%-42.2%1.2%424.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)37.4%39.3%98.2%
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)29.8%22.8%92.9%95.2%62.7%
 
Median (155 companies)43.6%41.9%41.8%39.3%48.6%
Kai Shi China Holdings Co Ltd ($1281)56.8%50.8%26.2%32.4%9.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)24.0%-125.5%-2,995.7%1,685.3%-525.1%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)73.6%105.3%133.1%143.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-5.9%-382.7%-1,024.0%126.8%
 
Median (173 companies)35.1%29.1%28.2%27.3%34.3%
Kai Shi China Holdings Co Ltd ($1281)48.6%15.8%14.6%23.7%6.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)25.6%56.2%4,202.4%1,304.7%189.7%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)5.9%24.1%1,091.1%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%
Liu Chong Hing Investment Ltd ($194)9.4%18.5%6.1%269.7%0.9%
 
Median (174 companies)5.9%5.5%6.1%4.7%6.8%
Kai Shi China Holdings Co Ltd ($1281)1.0%2.0%28.7%0.8%0.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Rykadan Capital Ltd ($2288)17.2%-1.8%-2.6%48.4%-3.7%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)0.2%-0.2%-1.1%22.1%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)39.0%19.2%17.6%18.7%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%
 
Median (177 companies)4.6%4.1%3.9%3.9%2.4%
Kai Shi China Holdings Co Ltd ($1281)54.9%2.3%0.9%2.5%4.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Properties Group Ltd ($1838)16.9x43.0x21.4x1,523.0x
SRE Group Ltd ($1207)10.6x14.1x24.7x1,184.6x
Cheuk Nang Holdings Ltd ($131)53.2x177.3x901.7x
Tian An China Investment Co Ltd ($28)2.4x13.2x15.1x486.6x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x
 
Median (140 companies)2.1x2.2x2.7x2.9x1.5x
Kai Shi China Holdings Co Ltd ($1281)0.3x6.7x8.9x4.9x16.4x