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Harbour Centre Development Ltd EBITDA jumped on 63.8% in 2015 while Revenue dropped on 10.6%

02/03/2016 • About Harbour Centre Development Ltd ($51) • By InTwits

Harbour Centre Development Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Harbour Centre Development Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 31.4%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 18.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 1,044 in 2015, 1,182 in 2014, 5,187 in 2013, 489 in 2012, 229 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 6.7%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is -1.1x while industry average is -29.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Harbour Centre Development Ltd ($51) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue1,2976,2615,7585,6465,048-10.6%
SG&A29524720622810.7%
EBITDA4362,2711,2489391,53863.8%
Net Income1,0963,0581,2761,0821,23113.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash5,8427,7315,8255,1856,44724.3%
Short Term Debt30080050025040060.0%
Long Term Debt2,8412,3505,7384,1684,4005.6%
Cash flow
Capex2294895,1871,1821,044-11.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth94.3%382.8%-8.0%-1.9%-10.6%
EBITDA growth234.9%421.2%-45.0%-24.8%63.8%
EBITDA Margin33.6%36.3%21.7%16.6%30.5%13.8%
Net Income Margin84.5%48.8%22.2%19.2%24.4%5.2%
SG&A, % of revenue4.7%4.3%3.6%4.5%0.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue17.7%7.8%90.1%20.9%20.7%-0.3%
ROIC2.6%12.8%5.7%3.9%6.7%2.8%
ROE9.9%23.5%8.5%6.9%7.6%0.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA-6.2x-2.0x0.3x-0.8x-1.1x-0.3x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 10.6% in 2015. Revenue decline happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin surged on 13.8 pp from 16.6% to 30.5% in 2015.

SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.87 pp from 3.6% to 4.5% in 2015.

Net Income marign increased on 5.2 pp from 19.2% to 24.4% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Harbour Centre Development Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 20.7% in 2015. Harbour Centre Development Ltd showed fast CAPEX/Revenue growth of 12.9 pp from 7.8% in 2012 to 20.7% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 43.9%.Battling declining revenue Harbour Centre Development Ltd invested a large share of EBITDA (67.9%) to CAPEX but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (6.69%) and ROE (7.60%). ROIC increased on 2.8 pp from 3.9% to 6.7% in 2015. ROE increased slightly on 0.75 pp from 6.9% to 7.6% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -1.1x Net Debt / EBITDA and 3.1x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.3x from -0.8x to -1.1x in 2015. Debt increased on 8.6% in 2015 while cash jumped on 24.3% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Lodging


Below you can find Harbour Centre Development Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Lodging industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Zhuhai Holdings Investment Group Ltd ($908)13.4%229.8%14.5%57.0%
Carrianna Group Holdings Co Ltd ($126)69.3%-36.2%35.4%-33.8%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)24.6%23.7%17.2%24.6%
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)35.9%13.8%11.7%-10.2%
Far East Consortium International Ltd/HK ($35)6.4%111.9%9.0%25.7%
 
Median (21 companies)24.6%14.4%13.8%0.8%-17.2%
Harbour Centre Development Ltd ($51)382.8%-8.0%-1.9%-10.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
SJM Holdings Ltd ($880)99.7%99.7%99.7%99.7%99.5%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)97.6%97.9%98.3%98.5%
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)70.9%77.1%75.6%76.8%70.9%
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)52.5%60.7%73.4%72.1%67.6%
Sino Hotels Holdings Ltd ($1221)69.7%71.3%70.4%68.9%65.8%
 
Median (16 companies)49.1%53.1%51.1%49.6%65.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)69.1%-23.9%65.2%49.9%40.4%
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)38.7%44.9%46.4%46.9%43.1%
Sino Hotels Holdings Ltd ($1221)42.8%46.5%45.9%43.1%39.6%
Far East Consortium International Ltd/HK ($35)50.1%57.2%34.5%43.0%36.4%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)49.2%49.8%50.1%42.8%45.3%
 
Median (21 companies)23.7%25.0%26.4%26.2%30.1%
Harbour Centre Development Ltd ($51)33.6%36.3%21.7%16.6%30.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Macau Legend Development Ltd ($1680)1.3%5.0%24.2%73.0%
Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd ($78)4.9%7.4%7.2%60.4%
Shangri-La Asia Ltd ($69)26.5%48.5%33.1%41.2%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)3.2%5.2%11.0%28.2%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)20.3%25.9%17.2%24.0%27.8%
 
Median (21 companies)6.3%6.3%8.9%10.8%12.3%
Harbour Centre Development Ltd ($51)17.7%7.8%90.1%20.9%20.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
MGM China Holdings Ltd ($2282)47.3%46.2%53.8%54.5%24.0%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)66.1%53.9%42.3%29.9%
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ($27)14.7%25.2%30.0%27.5%10.2%
Sands China Ltd ($1928)14.5%14.2%24.4%26.7%15.8%
SJM Holdings Ltd ($880)26.2%29.7%31.0%24.8%8.6%
 
Median (21 companies)8.8%7.6%6.7%5.0%8.6%
Harbour Centre Development Ltd ($51)2.6%12.8%5.7%3.9%6.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd ($78)5.0x8.7x11.8x
Century City International Holdings Ltd ($355)-58.1x6.5x9.3x11.2x
Shangri-La Asia Ltd ($69)4.0x6.0x6.8x6.9x
Zhuhai Holdings Investment Group Ltd ($908)-3.7x-4.1x11.1x6.7x
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)3.5x3.7x5.2x5.5x
 
Median (20 companies)0.6x0.5x0.6x0.7x1.0x
Harbour Centre Development Ltd ($51)-6.2x-2.0x0.3x-0.8x-1.1x