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Great Eagle Holdings Ltd reports 180% CAPEX growth and 1.8% Revenue growth

01/03/2016 • About Great Eagle Holdings Ltd ($41) • By InTwits

Great Eagle Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Great Eagle Holdings Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 32.5%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 5.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 3,109 in 2015, 1,110 in 2014, 6,356 in 2013, 1,328 in 2012, 222 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 2.4%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Great Eagle Holdings Ltd ($41) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue4,7466,7477,3018,1278,2711.8%
Gross Profit1,5643,0783,2513,4883,461-0.8%
SG&A223255341571413-27.7%
EBITDA1,3392,8222,9092,9173,0514.6%
Net Income4,2273,5522,3992,1153,31256.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash2,4394,96210,7125,6285,164-8.2%
Short Term Debt2,5856,3817,0423,2319,968208.6%
Long Term Debt80910,37219,34724,68217,192-30.3%
Cash flow
Capex2221,3286,3561,1103,109180.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth1.1%42.1%8.2%11.3%1.8%
EBITDA growth-15.2%110.7%3.1%0.3%4.6%
Gross Margin33.0%45.6%44.5%42.9%41.8%-1.1%
EBITDA Margin28.2%41.8%39.8%35.9%36.9%1.0%
Net Income Margin89.1%52.6%32.9%26.0%40.0%14.0%
SG&A, % of revenue4.7%3.8%4.7%7.0%5.0%-2.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.7%19.7%87.1%13.7%37.6%23.9%
ROIC2.8%4.2%2.9%2.5%2.4%-0.1%
ROE13.4%9.3%5.2%4.2%6.2%2.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.7x4.2x5.4x7.6x7.2x-0.4x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased slightly on 1.8% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 3.5 pp from 30.7% to 34.2% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.1 pp from 42.9% to 41.8% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 2.0 pp from 7.0% to 5.0% in 2015.

Net Income marign jumped on 14.0 pp from 26.0% to 40.0% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Great Eagle Holdings Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 37.6%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue surged on 17.9 pp from 19.7% in 2012 to 37.6% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 46.1%.Great Eagle Holdings Ltd investments to CAPEX were large: 102% of EBITDA.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (2.44%) and ROE (6.24%). ROIC showed almost no change in 2015. ROE increased on 2.1 pp from 4.2% to 6.2% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 7.2x Net Debt / EBITDA and 8.9x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.4x from 7.6x to 7.2x in 2015. Debt decreased on 2.7% in 2015 while cash decreased on 8.2% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below we provide Great Eagle Holdings Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Real Estate industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Common Splendor International Health Industry Group Ltd ($286)-0.9%-0.5%1.9%4,120.2%
Landsea Green Properties Co Ltd ($106)-91.1%-35.1%-51.2%3,097.3%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)-0.1%-27.5%-21.9%3,008.3%
Rivera Holdings Ltd ($281)222.2%197.1%-89.9%2,067.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-94.0%-73.9%-49.8%1,922.5%
 
Median (172 companies)15.5%15.2%13.1%5.0%2.9%
Great Eagle Holdings Ltd ($41)42.1%8.2%11.3%1.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)37.4%39.3%98.2%
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)29.8%22.8%92.9%95.2%62.7%
 
Median (154 companies)43.7%41.9%40.0%38.9%50.8%
Great Eagle Holdings Ltd ($41)33.0%45.6%44.5%42.9%41.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)24.0%-125.5%-2,995.7%1,685.3%-525.1%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)73.6%105.3%133.1%143.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-5.9%-382.7%-1,024.0%126.8%
 
Median (172 companies)35.4%28.9%27.9%26.4%34.3%
Great Eagle Holdings Ltd ($41)28.2%41.8%39.8%35.9%36.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)25.6%56.2%4,202.4%1,304.7%189.7%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)5.9%24.1%1,091.1%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%
Liu Chong Hing Investment Ltd ($194)9.4%18.5%6.1%269.7%
 
Median (173 companies)6.0%5.3%6.1%4.5%6.8%
Great Eagle Holdings Ltd ($41)4.7%19.7%87.1%13.7%37.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Rykadan Capital Ltd ($2288)17.2%-1.8%-2.6%48.4%-3.7%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)0.2%-0.2%-1.1%22.1%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)39.0%19.2%17.6%18.7%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%
Hong Kong Ferry Holdings Co Ltd ($50)4.7%3.8%0.6%18.0%
 
Median (176 companies)4.6%3.9%3.9%3.8%2.3%
Great Eagle Holdings Ltd ($41)2.8%4.2%2.9%2.5%2.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Properties Group Ltd ($1838)16.9x43.0x21.4x1,523.0x
SRE Group Ltd ($1207)10.6x14.1x24.7x1,184.6x
Cheuk Nang Holdings Ltd ($131)53.2x177.3x901.7x
Tian An China Investment Co Ltd ($28)2.4x13.2x15.1x486.6x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x
 
Median (139 companies)2.1x2.3x2.7x3.0x1.5x
Great Eagle Holdings Ltd ($41)0.7x4.2x5.4x7.6x7.2x