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Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd CAPEX dropped on 98.9% in 2015 and Revenue dropped on 75.4%

29/02/2016 • About Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd ($174) • By InTwits

Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -0.5%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -129.5%
  • Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2011-2015 was 0.0%. On average EBITDA Margin was -19.1% for the sames years0
  • Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 151.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 4.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 2.3 in 2015, 198 in 2014, 69.7 in 2013, 242 in 2012, 10.0 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -0.5%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd ($174) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue67.450.5186.791.922.6-75.4%
EBITDA1.418.5-2.9-67.9-29.3-56.8%
Net Income-18.76.639.2-144.8-1,135.3683.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash280.3401.2715.32,157.9851.5-60.5%
Short Term Debt0.061.7549.80.0863.31,962,020.5%
Long Term Debt500.0496.81,000.21,522.61,601.65.2%
Cash flow
Capex10.0242.269.7198.52.3-98.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth259.7%-25.0%269.3%-50.8%-75.4%
EBITDA growth-66.2%1,220.2%-115.5%2,270.5%-56.8%
EBITDA Margin2.1%36.6%-1.5%-73.8%-129.5%-55.7%
Net Income Margin-27.8%13.1%21.0%-157.6%-5,015.9%-4,858.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue14.9%479.1%37.3%216.0%10.0%-205.9%
ROIC0.2%1.8%-0.2%-1.8%-0.5%1.3%
ROE-3.8%1.4%7.6%-30.4%-487.2%-456.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA156.6x8.5x0.0x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 75.4% in 2015. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 55.7 pp from -73.8% to -130% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 4,858 pp from -158% to -5,016% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 10.0%. CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 469 pp from 479% in 2012 to 10.0% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 87.8%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-0.51%) and ROE (-487.23%). ROIC increased slightly on 1.3 pp from -1.8% to -0.51% in 2015. ROE dropped on 457 pp from -30.4% to -487% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in 2015. Debt surged on 61.9% in 2015 while cash dropped on 60.5% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Diversified Finan Serv


Below we provide Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Diversified Finan Serv industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China New Energy Power Group Ltd ($1041)100.0%0.0%64,246.0%
ReOrient Group Ltd ($376)112.8%75.1%1,106.9%-90.8%
Global Strategic Group Ltd ($8007)-3.9%2.1%806.3%681.2%
AID Partners Capital Holdings Ltd ($8088)-38.7%0.9%-79.5%655.2%
Willie International Holdings Ltd ($273)543.9%
 
Median (62 companies)3.8%1.2%12.9%26.5%24.9%
Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd ($174)-25.0%269.3%-50.8%-75.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Roma Group Ltd ($8072)99.4%98.7%
Freeman Financial Corp Ltd ($279)97.1%52.3%99.3%98.5%
Chinese Strategic Holdings Ltd ($8089)97.9%99.1%97.9%97.0%
First China Financial Network Holdings Ltd ($8123)98.6%93.4%94.5%
Allied Group Ltd ($373)94.5%95.1%94.4%93.6%
 
Median (13 companies)80.8%64.2%75.1%88.2%89.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Styland Holdings Ltd ($211)68.6%198.6%91.5%161.0%17.9%
Roma Group Ltd ($8072)81.4%18.1%36.8%143.0%44.7%
First China Financial Network Holdings Ltd ($8123)-231.6%-329.2%-211.2%124.3%
Willie International Holdings Ltd ($273)75.3%95.2%
Get Nice Holdings Ltd ($64)28.4%2.6%153.4%92.7%83.9%
 
Median (63 companies)30.3%14.0%36.2%47.2%30.5%
Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd ($174)2.1%36.6%-1.5%-73.8%-129.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Assurance Finance Group Ltd ($8090)94.7%68.9%53.3%
Chinese Strategic Holdings Ltd ($8089)93.2%376.0%5.7%32.6%
AID Partners Capital Holdings Ltd ($8088)196.3%4.1%2.9%28.4%
Asian Capital Holdings Ltd ($8295)2.3%0.1%0.2%15.6%
Crown International Corp Ltd ($727)168.4%71.6%147.6%12.1%7.1%
 
Median (63 companies)2.2%1.8%1.7%1.1%1.6%
Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd ($174)14.9%479.1%37.3%216.0%10.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ReOrient Group Ltd ($376)-24.9%-45.6%-53.5%128.6%-2.8%
Roma Group Ltd ($8072)19.6%43.7%107.8%13.3%
Convoy Financial Holdings Ltd ($1019)31.1%3.4%39.3%47.3%
Willie International Holdings Ltd ($273)-28.1%-9.5%4.7%30.9%
Value Partners Group Ltd ($806)8.7%16.8%16.5%26.8%
 
Median (65 companies)4.9%3.9%4.0%4.8%2.2%
Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd ($174)0.2%1.8%-0.2%-1.8%-0.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Cash Financial Services Group Ltd ($510)-1.1x7.8x67.5x
Far East Horizon Ltd ($3360)17.8x16.9x21.7x20.0x
Bright Smart Securities & Commodities Group Ltd ($1428)7.3x2.1x10.3x9.3x39.3x
China Cinda Asset Management Co Ltd ($1359)2.1x5.0x7.7x8.4x
Aeon Credit Service Asia Co Ltd ($900)6.3x5.2x6.0x6.9x5.5x
 
Median (46 companies)-1.1x-1.3x0.1x-0.0x-1.5x