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PCCW Ltd Net Income dropped on 30.7% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin decreased on 8.6 pp from 39.2% to 30.6%

26/02/2016 • About PCCW Ltd ($8) • By InTwits

PCCW Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • PCCW Ltd is a growth stock: 2015 revenue growth was 18.1%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 11.4% at 2015 ROIC 10.3%
  • PCCW Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 10.6%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 1,161 in FY2015, 1,939 in FY2014, 1,111 in FY2013, 839 in FY2012, 533 in FY2011
  • The company has business model with average profitability: ROIC is at 10.3%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.9x while industry average is 2.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

PCCW Ltd ($8) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue24,63825,31827,31733,27739,31418.1%
Gross Profit13,24113,50214,20618,12620,34912.3%
SG&A5,6555,7296,1647,7888,4748.8%
EBITDA7,7428,1128,71513,04812,025-7.8%
Net Income1,6071,6611,8853,3102,295-30.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash5,3654,5535,5197,9437,504-5.5%
Short Term Debt408,54014,8233,879-19.6%
Long Term Debt23,47017,92629,07436,49438,0904.4%
Cash flow
Capex1,9872,2553,9963,7764,0336.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth7.3%2.8%7.9%21.8%18.1%
EBITDA growth-9.7%4.8%7.4%49.7%-7.8%
Gross Margin53.7%53.3%52.0%54.5%51.8%-2.7%
EBITDA Margin31.4%32.0%31.9%39.2%30.6%-8.6%
Net Income Margin6.5%6.6%6.9%9.9%5.8%-4.1%
SG&A, % of revenue23.0%22.6%22.6%23.4%21.6%-1.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue8.1%8.9%14.6%11.3%10.3%-1.1%
ROIC10.7%10.3%10.6%13.8%10.3%-3.5%
ROE22.3%21.0%34.2%21.7%-12.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.3x2.7x2.7x2.6x2.9x0.3x

Revenue and profitability


PCCW Ltd's Revenue surged on 18.1% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 1.6 pp from 2.3% to 0.72% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 2.7 pp from 54.5% to 51.8% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.8 pp from 23.4% to 21.6% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 4.1 pp from 9.9% to 5.8% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 10.3%. PCCW Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 1.4 pp from 8.9% in 2012 to 10.3% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 12.1%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (21.67%) while ROIC is low (10.30%). ROIC decreased on 3.5 pp from 13.8% to 10.3% in 2015. ROE dropped on 12.6 pp from 34.2% to 21.7% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 2.9x and Debt / EBITDA is 3.5x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.3x from 2.6x to 2.9x in 2015. Debt increased slightly on 1.6% in 2015 while cash decreased on 5.5% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Telecommunications


Below you can find PCCW Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Telecommunications industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Energine International Holdings Ltd ($1185)-41.8%143.6%34.3%103.1%
MOBI Development Co Ltd ($947)-23.4%-13.8%29.1%85.6%
Vodatel Networks Holdings Ltd ($8033)34.4%-5.9%-4.6%81.7%
Gold Tat Group International Ltd ($8266)29.4%1,582.2%77.0%26.5%
Great World Co Holdings Ltd ($8003)1,651.8%-81.7%61.9%-3.7%
 
Median (51 companies)12.9%9.1%8.3%6.9%9.8%
PCCW Ltd ($8)2.8%7.9%21.8%18.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
HKBN Ltd ($1310)84.3%86.5%86.9%
Synertone Communication Corp ($1613)65.4%68.1%64.1%70.5%50.3%
Zhi Cheng Holdings Ltd ($8130)61.6%45.9%41.0%64.0%19.6%
APT Satellite Holdings Ltd ($1045)52.3%58.7%64.1%62.5%
Hong Kong Television Network Ltd ($1137)-59.6%-101.3%59.7%
 
Median (45 companies)28.1%25.5%28.1%27.1%46.8%
PCCW Ltd ($8)53.7%53.3%52.0%54.5%51.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Asia Satellite Telecommunications Holdings Ltd ($1135)83.5%86.5%85.8%81.6%
APT Satellite Holdings Ltd ($1045)76.7%81.0%78.9%77.5%
Synertone Communication Corp ($1613)49.5%44.9%48.5%49.4%51.5%
HKBN Ltd ($1310)39.2%40.1%39.0%
China Mobile Ltd ($941)47.1%43.7%38.2%36.9%
 
Median (51 companies)14.0%9.5%6.7%7.9%15.7%
PCCW Ltd ($8)31.4%32.0%31.9%39.2%30.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Hong Kong Television Network Ltd ($1137)12,435.9%504.9%1,283.5%
Asia Satellite Telecommunications Holdings Ltd ($1135)61.8%93.8%71.7%75.0%
Hanny Holdings Ltd ($275)80.8%19.8%11.6%28.3%0.2%
APT Satellite Holdings Ltd ($1045)155.2%74.3%2.5%27.2%
China Electronics Corp Holdings Co Ltd ($85)1.5%1.8%8.3%27.1%
 
Median (50 companies)3.0%2.5%3.7%4.1%2.5%
PCCW Ltd ($8)8.1%8.9%14.6%11.3%10.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
VTech Holdings Ltd ($303)40.5%37.6%39.5%40.0%39.8%
Telecom Service One Holdings Ltd ($8145)95.0%5.4%26.7%39.8%
TCL Communication Technology Holdings Ltd ($2618)6.4%-1.6%6.0%17.2%
China Fiber Optic Network System Group Ltd ($3777)23.1%18.8%17.6%16.6%
China U-Ton Holdings Ltd ($6168)69.5%35.7%25.0%16.2%
 
Median (51 companies)7.1%5.2%5.4%5.7%4.3%
PCCW Ltd ($8)10.7%10.3%10.6%13.8%10.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
CCT Land Holdings Ltd ($261)10.1x23.8x48.4x
China Energine International Holdings Ltd ($1185)13.3x
China Electronics Corp Holdings Co Ltd ($85)-2.1x-2.0x-1.3x12.5x
China All Access Holdings Ltd ($633)-1.0x0.9x1.8x5.2x
Synertone Communication Corp ($1613)-0.3x-0.4x-2.2x4.8x2.5x
 
Median (36 companies)-0.2x-0.2x0.6x0.7x1.4x
PCCW Ltd ($8)2.3x2.7x2.7x2.6x2.9x