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I-CABLE Communications Ltd EBITDA dropped on 47.7% in 2015 and Revenue decreased on 9.4%

25/02/2016 • About I-CABLE Communications Ltd ($1097) • By InTwits

I-CABLE Communications Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • I-CABLE Communications Ltd is a company in decline: 2015 revenue growth was -9.4%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -5.5%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 7.2% in 2015, 12.5% in 2014, 11.6% in 2013, 2.2% in 2012, 7.9% in 2011
  • I-CABLE Communications Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 10.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.5%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 18.9 in FY2015, 20.5 in FY2014, 79.6 in FY2013, 247 in FY2012, 272 in FY2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -27.9%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.0x while industry average is -1.9x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

I-CABLE Communications Ltd ($1097) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue2,1102,1271,9321,6661,510-9.4%
Gross Profit2,0182,0171,8291,5671,425-9.1%
SG&A4093893723343422.7%
EBITDA16647225208109-47.7%
Net Income-180-278-93-139-23367.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash338288182628232.1%
Short Term Debt000100300200.0%
Long Term Debt0100000
Cash flow
Capex2232151471881974.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth5.4%0.8%-9.2%-13.8%-9.4%
EBITDA growth72.8%-71.8%378.5%-7.2%-47.7%
Gross Margin95.6%94.8%94.7%94.1%94.4%0.3%
EBITDA Margin7.9%2.2%11.6%12.5%7.2%-5.3%
Net Income Margin-8.5%-13.1%-4.8%-8.4%-15.4%-7.1%
SG&A, % of revenue19.4%18.3%19.2%20.0%22.7%2.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue10.6%10.1%7.6%11.3%13.0%1.8%
ROIC-12.7%-25.1%-10.3%-15.3%-27.9%-12.6%
ROE-10.9%-19.6%-7.5%-12.4%-24.9%-12.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA-2.0x-4.0x-0.8x0.2x2.0x1.8x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 9.4% in 2015. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 5.3 pp from 12.5% to 7.2% in 2015.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 2.7 pp from 20.0% to 22.7% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 7.1 pp from -8.4% to -15.4% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 I-CABLE Communications Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 13.0%. CAPEX/Revenue increased on 3.0 pp from 10.1% in 2012 to 13.0% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 10.6%.Battling declining revenue I-CABLE Communications Ltd made large investments to CAPEX (180% of EBITDA) but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-27.88%) and ROE (-24.91%). ROIC dropped on 12.6 pp from -15.3% to -27.9% in 2015. ROE dropped on 12.5 pp from -12.4% to -24.9% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 2.0x Net Debt / EBITDA and 2.7x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 1.8x from 0.2x to 2.0x in 2015. Debt jumped on 200% in 2015 while cash surged on 32.1% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Media


Below we provide I-CABLE Communications Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Media industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
CMMB Vision Holdings Ltd ($471)168.1%27.8%
Culturecom Holdings Ltd ($343)-24.2%-7.7%16.4%-20.3%
Sing Pao Media Enterprises Ltd ($8010)20.7%15.3%26.9%9.7%
Focus Media Network Ltd ($8112)23.7%-10.6%34.6%5.6%
Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Ltd ($423)5.6%2.7%3.1%5.3%
 
Median (19 companies)10.6%4.5%-1.8%-3.9%-9.0%
I-CABLE Communications Ltd ($1097)0.8%-9.2%-13.8%-9.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Television Broadcasts Ltd ($511)65.3%62.9%60.9%59.0%
Modern Media Holdings ($72)57.1%57.5%55.8%55.6%
One Media Group Ltd ($426)52.0%57.3%56.7%54.5%52.7%
Focus Media Network Ltd ($8112)81.0%68.0%67.2%50.8%
Next Media Ltd ($282)33.1%36.6%37.4%41.3%38.5%
 
Median (16 companies)43.6%37.5%38.5%36.1%38.5%
I-CABLE Communications Ltd ($1097)95.6%94.8%94.7%94.1%94.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
SCMP Group Ltd ($583)26.9%23.5%20.5%218.1%
Television Broadcasts Ltd ($511)45.2%43.2%42.3%37.3%
Phoenix Satellite Television Holdings Ltd ($2008)29.8%30.1%31.1%24.6%
One Media Group Ltd ($426)14.4%18.7%23.0%22.8%15.2%
Media Chinese International Ltd ($685)20.0%20.0%18.3%18.1%16.5%
 
Median (19 companies)15.1%12.9%11.5%9.8%12.9%
I-CABLE Communications Ltd ($1097)7.9%2.2%11.6%12.5%7.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
SCMP Group Ltd ($583)3.6%7.0%5.3%52.2%
Culturecom Holdings Ltd ($343)12.5%10.2%38.6%24.5%7.0%
Phoenix Satellite Television Holdings Ltd ($2008)14.6%12.0%8.5%11.4%
V1 Group Ltd ($82)1.4%1.9%3.2%10.1%
Focus Media Network Ltd ($8112)3.4%2.7%2.4%9.6%
 
Median (19 companies)4.0%2.7%5.2%2.3%2.1%
I-CABLE Communications Ltd ($1097)10.6%10.1%7.6%11.3%13.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Media Chinese International Ltd ($685)18.7%18.6%17.8%18.4%15.6%
One Media Group Ltd ($426)17.1%25.6%21.8%16.0%8.9%
Television Broadcasts Ltd ($511)26.5%23.8%22.4%15.1%
Phoenix Satellite Television Holdings Ltd ($2008)21.5%18.5%18.4%11.7%
Modern Media Holdings ($72)23.8%20.6%10.4%9.3%
 
Median (19 companies)9.8%5.6%5.1%2.6%6.0%
I-CABLE Communications Ltd ($1097)-12.7%-25.1%-10.3%-15.3%-27.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tom Group Ltd ($2383)8.1x
Media Chinese International Ltd ($685)-1.1x-1.4x0.8x0.6x0.2x
Modern Media Holdings ($72)-0.9x-0.8x-0.9x0.1x
Next Media Ltd ($282)0.0x0.4x0.4x-0.2x-0.3x
Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Ltd ($423)-0.8x-1.3x-4.6x-0.7x-0.1x
 
Median (13 companies)-1.3x-1.4x-1.5x-1.5x-0.1x
I-CABLE Communications Ltd ($1097)-2.0x-4.0x-0.8x0.2x2.0x