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Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd reports 59.8% Net Income decline and 2.5 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 16.9% to 14.4%

25/02/2016 • About Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ($27) • By InTwits

Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 9.7%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.3%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 6,541 in 2015, 9,475 in 2014, 5,123 in 2013, 2,227 in 2012, 4,522 in 2011
  • The company has business model with average profitability: ROIC is at 10.2%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is -0.9x while industry average is -29.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ($27) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue41,18656,74666,03371,75250,991-28.9%
EBITDA4,6169,45612,11812,0997,347-39.3%
Net Income3,0047,37810,05210,3404,161-59.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash7,2518,9079,0288,3317,979-4.2%
Short Term Debt1,1424,96640641271974.7%
Long Term Debt10,5316,29123757667116.5%
Cash flow
Capex4,5222,2275,1239,4756,541-31.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth113.8%37.8%16.4%8.7%-28.9%
EBITDA growth176.3%104.9%28.2%-0.2%-39.3%
EBITDA Margin11.2%16.7%18.4%16.9%14.4%-2.5%
Net Income Margin7.3%13.0%15.2%14.4%8.2%-6.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue11.0%3.9%7.8%13.2%12.8%-0.4%
ROIC14.7%25.2%30.0%27.5%10.2%-17.3%
ROE25.7%40.9%37.0%29.2%10.5%-18.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.0x0.2x-0.7x-0.6x-0.9x-0.3x

Revenue and profitability


Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd's Revenue dropped on 28.9% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 2.5 pp from 16.9% to 14.4% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 6.2 pp from 14.4% to 8.2% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 12.8%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue increased on 8.9 pp from 3.9% in 2012 to 12.8% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 11.3%.Battling declining revenue Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd invested a large share of EBITDA (89.0%) to CAPEX but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (10.19%) and ROE (10.47%). ROIC dropped on 17.3 pp from 27.5% to 10.2% in 2015. ROE dropped on 18.7 pp from 29.2% to 10.5% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.9x Net Debt / EBITDA and 0.2x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.3x from -0.6x to -0.9x in 2015. Debt surged on 40.7% in 2015 while cash decreased on 4.2% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Lodging


Below we provide Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Lodging industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Zhuhai Holdings Investment Group Ltd ($908)13.4%229.8%14.5%57.0%
Carrianna Group Holdings Co Ltd ($126)69.3%-36.2%35.4%-33.8%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)24.6%23.7%17.2%24.6%
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)35.9%13.8%11.7%-10.2%
Far East Consortium International Ltd/HK ($35)6.4%111.9%9.0%25.7%
 
Median (21 companies)26.4%14.4%10.2%0.7%-13.7%
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ($27)37.8%16.4%8.7%-28.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
SJM Holdings Ltd ($880)99.7%99.7%99.7%99.7%99.5%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)97.6%97.9%98.3%98.5%
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)70.9%77.1%75.6%76.8%70.9%
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)52.5%60.7%73.4%72.1%67.6%
Sino Hotels Holdings Ltd ($1221)69.7%71.3%70.4%68.9%65.8%
 
Median (16 companies)49.1%53.1%51.1%49.6%65.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)69.1%-23.9%65.2%49.9%40.4%
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)38.7%44.9%46.4%46.9%43.1%
Sino Hotels Holdings Ltd ($1221)42.8%46.5%45.9%43.1%39.6%
Far East Consortium International Ltd/HK ($35)50.1%57.2%34.5%43.0%36.4%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)49.2%49.8%50.1%42.8%45.3%
 
Median (21 companies)24.2%26.8%26.4%26.2%33.3%
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ($27)11.2%16.7%18.4%16.9%14.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Macau Legend Development Ltd ($1680)1.3%5.0%24.2%73.0%
Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd ($78)4.9%7.4%7.2%60.4%
Shangri-La Asia Ltd ($69)26.5%48.5%33.1%41.2%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)3.2%5.2%11.0%28.2%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)20.3%25.9%17.2%24.0%27.8%
 
Median (21 companies)6.3%7.4%11.0%10.8%10.1%
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ($27)11.0%3.9%7.8%13.2%12.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
MGM China Holdings Ltd ($2282)47.3%46.2%53.8%54.5%24.0%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)66.1%53.9%42.3%29.9%
Sands China Ltd ($1928)14.5%14.2%24.4%26.7%15.8%
SJM Holdings Ltd ($880)26.2%29.7%31.0%24.8%8.6%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)27.6%30.6%28.9%22.6%28.6%
 
Median (21 companies)5.2%7.6%5.7%3.9%8.1%
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ($27)14.7%25.2%30.0%27.5%10.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd ($78)5.0x8.7x11.8x
Century City International Holdings Ltd ($355)-58.1x6.5x9.3x11.2x
Shangri-La Asia Ltd ($69)4.0x6.0x6.8x6.9x
Zhuhai Holdings Investment Group Ltd ($908)-3.7x-4.1x11.1x6.7x
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)3.5x3.7x5.2x5.5x
 
Median (20 companies)0.1x0.5x0.6x0.7x1.3x
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ($27)1.0x0.2x-0.7x-0.6x-0.9x