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AIA Group Ltd Net Income dropped on 19.9% in 2015

25/02/2016 • About AIA Group Ltd ($1299) • By InTwits

AIA Group Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • AIA Group Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.4%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 5.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 139 in FY2015, 456 in FY2014, 472 in FY2013, 406 in FY2012, 88 in FY2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 2.5%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 6.4x while industry average is
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

AIA Group Ltd ($1299) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue14,16320,15421,89225,43323,347-8.2%
Net Income1,6003,0192,8243,4502,765-19.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash4,3032,9482,3161,8351,9928.6%
Short Term Debt6701,7921,8893,7533,085-17.8%
Long Term Debt5597661,9502,9343,1958.9%
Cash flow
Capex88406472456139-69.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth-22.6%42.3%8.6%16.2%-8.2%
Net Income Margin11.3%15.0%12.9%13.6%11.8%-1.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.6%2.0%2.2%1.8%0.6%-1.2%
ROIC2.0%3.1%2.9%3.2%2.5%-0.7%
ROE7.8%12.6%11.0%12.4%8.9%-3.5%

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 8.2% in FY2015.

Net Income marign decreased slightly on 1.7 pp from 13.6% to 11.8% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


AIA Group Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.60% in FY2015. The company showed small CAPEX/Revenue decline of 1.4 pp from 2.0% in FY2012 to 0.60% in FY2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.5%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (2.49%) and ROE (8.93%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.70 pp from 3.2% to 2.5% in FY2015. ROE decreased on 3.5 pp from 12.4% to 8.9% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt decreased on 6.1% in FY2015 while cash increased on 8.6% in FY2015.

Management team


The company's CEO Mark Edward Tucker has spent 8 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Insurance


Below we provide AIA Group Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Insurance industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Manulife Financial Corp ($945)-43.8%-37.7%203.5%-38.2%
Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd ($2318)39.5%25.1%24.2%25.8%
PICC Property & Casualty Co Ltd ($2328)6.9%18.7%18.1%16.9%
People's Insurance Co Group of China Ltd ($1339)7.5%8.9%18.4%15.3%
China Pacific Insurance Group Co Ltd ($2601)10.0%7.5%15.0%12.5%
 
Median (9 companies)6.3%8.9%15.0%12.5%-38.2%
AIA Group Ltd ($1299)42.3%8.6%16.2%-8.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Asia Financial Holdings Ltd ($662)0.1%0.3%0.0%14.0%
China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd ($966)0.7%1.2%2.3%4.9%
Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd ($2318)2.0%2.5%2.4%2.6%
China Pacific Insurance Group Co Ltd ($2601)1.1%1.8%1.9%1.7%
New China Life Insurance Co Ltd ($1336)1.4%1.2%1.6%1.6%
 
Median (9 companies)1.4%1.4%1.2%1.6%0.0%
AIA Group Ltd ($1299)0.6%2.0%2.2%1.8%0.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
PICC Property & Casualty Co Ltd ($2328)6.3%7.0%6.4%7.4%
Asia Financial Holdings Ltd ($662)-2.7%4.7%2.6%3.7%
People's Insurance Co Group of China Ltd ($1339)3.1%3.1%2.7%3.2%
China Pacific Insurance Group Co Ltd ($2601)2.6%1.7%2.5%2.6%
China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd ($966)0.8%1.1%1.3%2.2%
 
Median (9 companies)1.4%1.4%1.9%2.2%1.1%
AIA Group Ltd ($1299)2.0%3.1%2.9%3.2%2.5%