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Parkson Retail Group Ltd reports 192% CAPEX growth while 6.4% Revenue decline

23/02/2016 • About Parkson Retail Group Ltd ($3368) • By InTwits

Parkson Retail Group Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Parkson Retail Group Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -1.0%
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 7.4% in 2015 vs. 16.1% in 2014 vs. 39.9% in 2011
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 7.4% in 2015, 16.1% in 2014, 20.5% in 2013, 30.8% in 2012, 39.9% in 2011
  • Parkson Retail Group Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 10.7%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 6.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 882 in 2015, 302 in 2014, 442 in 2013, 333 in 2012, 389 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -1.0%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 9.8x while industry average is -0.4x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Parkson Retail Group Ltd ($3368) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue4,3644,4504,5374,5244,233-6.4%
EBITDA1,7411,371931729311-57.3%
Net Income1,123851354235-186-179.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,6901,4241,0361,124981-12.8%
Short Term Debt02,4910700644-8.0%
Long Term Debt2,46703,1963,0353,37311.2%
Cash flow
Capex389333442302882191.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth14.3%2.0%2.0%-0.3%-6.4%
EBITDA growth7.3%-21.3%-32.1%-21.7%-57.3%
EBITDA Margin39.9%30.8%20.5%16.1%7.4%-8.8%
Net Income Margin25.7%19.1%7.8%5.2%-4.4%-9.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue8.9%7.5%9.7%6.7%20.8%14.2%
ROIC17.7%13.3%6.3%3.5%-1.0%-4.5%
ROE23.0%15.7%6.3%4.2%-3.5%-7.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.4x0.8x2.3x3.6x9.8x6.2x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 6.4% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.2 pp from 11.2% to 12.4% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 9.6 pp from 5.2% to -4.4% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 20.8%. CAPEX/Revenue jumped on 13.3 pp from 7.5% in 2012 to 20.8% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 12.4%.The company has spent a lot to CAPEX (283% of EBITDA) which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-1.02%) and ROE (-3.53%). ROIC decreased on 4.5 pp from 3.5% to -1.0% in 2015. ROE decreased on 7.7 pp from 4.2% to -3.5% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 9.8x and Debt / EBITDA is 12.9x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 6.2x from 3.6x to 9.8x in 2015. Debt increased on 7.6% in 2015 while cash dropped on 12.8% in 2015.

Management team


Chong Sui Hiong "Shaun" is a the company's CEO. Chong Sui Hiong "Shaun" has spent 4 years at the company. Parkson Retail Group Ltd's CFO is Au Chen Sum. Au Chen Sum has 5 years tenure at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Retail


Below we provide Parkson Retail Group Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Retail industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Household Holdings Ltd ($692)-87.0%-32.8%5,357.9%76.2%
Ming Fung Jewellery Group Ltd ($860)3.3%-14.9%54.3%-70.8%
Merry Garden Holdings Ltd ($1237)53.9%37.1%12.8%47.6%
Luk Fook Holdings International Ltd ($590)47.2%12.6%43.3%-17.1%
NewOcean Energy Holdings Ltd ($342)19.3%23.1%15.9%36.0%
 
Median (109 companies)23.5%10.3%6.0%3.1%-3.6%
Parkson Retail Group Ltd ($3368)2.0%2.0%-0.3%-6.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Culture Landmark Investment Ltd ($674)77.5%91.1%99.4%99.5%
Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Ltd ($919)97.3%97.4%95.9%96.8%96.7%
Vongroup Ltd ($318)95.1%99.1%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)80.6%86.5%89.3%90.9%
Embry Holdings Ltd ($1388)82.3%81.2%80.4%82.3%
 
Median (99 companies)40.0%37.7%38.0%35.6%45.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Maoye International Holdings Ltd ($848)45.5%47.4%46.3%73.2%
China Dongxiang Group Co Ltd ($3818)5.6%6.0%5.6%58.3%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)47.8%51.6%56.9%54.4%
Lifestyle International Holdings Ltd ($1212)49.6%47.5%47.0%44.7%
Golden Eagle Retail Group Ltd ($3308)52.1%48.5%47.3%42.8%
 
Median (109 companies)13.1%9.6%7.1%7.9%6.5%
Parkson Retail Group Ltd ($3368)39.9%30.8%20.5%16.1%7.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Intime Retail Group Co Ltd ($1833)58.4%28.3%55.4%37.0%
Future Bright Holdings Ltd ($703)6.2%2.6%3.7%36.8%
Sage International Group Ltd ($8082)20.4%236.6%28.2%35.4%
Maoye International Holdings Ltd ($848)30.9%32.8%24.1%31.5%
Tsui Wah Holdings Ltd ($1314)5.2%8.3%9.3%30.5%10.6%
 
Median (109 companies)3.8%4.0%3.6%3.4%2.4%
Parkson Retail Group Ltd ($3368)8.9%7.5%9.7%6.7%20.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Ltd ($919)48.1%50.7%-4.6%81.3%71.8%
Starbucks Corp ($4337)36.4%36.4%-6.0%52.8%51.4%
Sa Sa International Holdings Ltd ($178)45.7%53.5%52.7%49.0%39.8%
Coach Inc ($6388)82.0%82.3%68.7%45.0%20.8%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)57.4%67.3%68.1%32.2%
 
Median (109 companies)16.6%11.8%8.2%8.4%4.4%
Parkson Retail Group Ltd ($3368)17.7%13.3%6.3%3.5%-1.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sparkle Roll Group Ltd ($970)-0.8x0.6x4.0x9.3x23.5x
China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings Ltd ($3669)3.3x3.4x4.7x5.5x
Zhongsheng Group Holdings Ltd ($881)2.2x4.6x4.5x5.3x
NewOcean Energy Holdings Ltd ($342)35.2x6.2x6.1x5.3x
Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Ltd ($162)6.5x2.0x2.5x4.8x
 
Median (85 companies)-0.8x-0.6x-0.9x-0.3x-0.7x
Parkson Retail Group Ltd ($3368)0.4x0.8x2.3x3.6x9.8x