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Northeast Electric Development Co Ltd EBITDA dropped on 26.2% in 2015 and Revenue dropped on 23.3%

19/02/2016 • About Northeast Electric Development Co Ltd ($42) • By InTwits

Northeast Electric Development Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Northeast Electric Development Co Ltd is a company in decline: 2015 revenue growth was -23.3%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -15.4%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 9.3% in 2015, 9.6% in 2014, 8.3% in 2013, 9.0% in 2012, 0.1% in 2011
  • Northeast Electric Development Co Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 0.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 2.8 in 2015, 10.8 in 2014, 11.2 in 2013, 3.7 in 2012, 1.5 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 2.0%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Northeast Electric Development Co Ltd ($42) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue248.7215.4194.6196.2150.6-23.3%
Gross Profit56.659.256.147.139.4-16.4%
SG&A80.448.945.044.140.0-9.2%
EBITDA0.219.416.218.914.0-26.2%
Net Income-33.411.19.96.24.9-20.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash42.181.3108.0124.2123.4-0.6%
Short Term Debt8.08.08.09.029.5227.9%
Long Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Cash flow
Capex1.53.711.210.82.8-74.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth-28.6%-13.4%-9.7%0.8%-23.3%
EBITDA growth-95.6%7,842.8%-16.6%16.9%-26.2%
Gross Margin22.8%27.5%28.8%24.0%26.1%2.2%
EBITDA Margin0.1%9.0%8.3%9.6%9.3%-0.4%
Net Income Margin-13.4%5.2%5.1%3.1%3.3%0.1%
SG&A, % of revenue32.4%22.7%23.1%22.4%26.6%4.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.6%1.7%5.7%5.5%1.8%-3.7%
ROIC-2.2%2.8%2.0%2.8%2.0%-0.7%
ROE-11.4%4.1%3.6%2.2%1.7%-0.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA-139.7x-3.8x-6.2x-6.1x-6.7x-0.6x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 23.3% in 2015. EBITDA Margin showed almost no change in 2015.

Gross Margin increased on 2.2 pp from 24.0% to 26.1% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 4.1 pp from 22.4% to 26.6% in 2015.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 1.8% in 2015. The company showed almost no change in CAPEX/Revenue from 2012 to 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.4%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (2.05%) and ROE (1.69%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.75 pp from 2.8% to 2.0% in 2015. ROE showed almost no change in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -6.7x Net Debt / EBITDA and 2.1x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.6x from -6.1x to -6.7x in 2015. Debt surged on 228% in 2015 while cash decreased slightly on 0.65% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Electrical Compo&Equip


Below we provide Northeast Electric Development Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Electrical Compo&Equip industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Enterprise Development Holdings Ltd ($1808)225.9%2.5%37.3%83.9%
FDG Electric Vehicles Ltd ($729)-23.1%-7.0%54.0%270.8%
Boer Power Holdings Ltd ($1685)11.4%20.4%10.9%51.3%
Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd ($2208)-27.0%-12.0%8.7%44.1%
CEC International Holdings Ltd ($759)23.9%60.8%43.0%32.3%
 
Median (31 companies)13.4%-2.9%8.7%16.1%5.5%
Northeast Electric Development Co Ltd ($42)-13.4%-9.7%0.8%-23.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Boer Power Holdings Ltd ($1685)37.1%36.8%36.0%35.3%
China Titans Energy Technology Group Co Ltd ($2188)45.4%41.4%27.3%33.7%
Sun King Power Electronics Group ($580)16.2%25.4%30.0%30.8%
CEC International Holdings Ltd ($759)18.5%23.6%27.9%29.9%31.8%
Johnson Electric Holdings Ltd ($179)27.5%27.3%28.0%29.5%29.6%
 
Median (30 companies)20.4%18.6%16.7%15.9%15.2%
Northeast Electric Development Co Ltd ($42)22.8%27.5%28.8%24.0%26.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Shougang Concord Technology Holdings ($521)22.7%12.3%28.1%31.9%
Boer Power Holdings Ltd ($1685)28.1%26.3%27.8%28.5%
China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ($658)21.0%20.2%19.2%20.8%
Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd ($2208)9.2%5.7%7.4%16.9%
Johnson Electric Holdings Ltd ($179)14.9%14.2%14.5%15.5%15.4%
 
Median (32 companies)10.8%7.3%6.8%3.3%-18.2%
Northeast Electric Development Co Ltd ($42)0.1%9.0%8.3%9.6%9.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Applied Development Holdings Ltd ($519)46.4%79.7%1,285.3%89.8%
FDG Electric Vehicles Ltd ($729)177.5%374.3%82.3%71.1%417.0%
Sun King Power Electronics Group ($580)9.2%16.5%7.7%15.5%
Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd ($2208)23.7%23.1%50.7%13.5%
Coslight Technology International Group Co Ltd ($1043)11.0%9.3%11.4%11.5%
 
Median (32 companies)10.0%6.5%4.9%3.6%5.6%
Northeast Electric Development Co Ltd ($42)0.6%1.7%5.7%5.5%1.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Boer Power Holdings Ltd ($1685)18.2%18.0%17.0%21.2%
Jiangnan Group Ltd ($1366)17.0%14.9%14.1%13.5%
Johnson Electric Holdings Ltd ($179)13.1%11.7%11.6%12.7%11.2%
Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co Ltd ($2208)5.1%1.8%3.0%10.4%
Hengxin Technology Ltd ($1085)13.9%8.1%9.3%9.0%
 
Median (32 companies)6.2%2.7%3.0%0.6%-5.4%
Northeast Electric Development Co Ltd ($42)-2.2%2.8%2.0%2.8%2.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tianneng Power International Ltd ($819)0.7x1.8x4.0x162.7x
Coslight Technology International Group Co Ltd ($1043)11.2x51.9x8.7x54.7x
China Titans Energy Technology Group Co Ltd ($2188)0.2x1.5x16.9x
Shougang Concord Technology Holdings ($521)12.7x16.3x4.9x13.8x
Sun King Power Electronics Group ($580)1.7x1.4x10.0x
 
Median (24 companies)0.4x1.5x1.4x2.5x1.7x
Northeast Electric Development Co Ltd ($42)-139.7x-3.8x-6.2x-6.1x-6.7x