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Hang Lung Properties Ltd Net Income dropped on 56.5% in 2015 and Revenue dropped on 47.5%

28/01/2016 • About Hang Lung Properties Ltd ($101) • By InTwits

Hang Lung Properties Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Hang Lung Properties Ltd is a company in decline: 2015 revenue growth was -47.5%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -5.8%
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 73.1% in 2015 vs. 82.9% in 2014 vs. 136.7% in 2011
  • Hang Lung Properties Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 80.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 4.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 203 in 2015, 123 in 2014, 251 in 2013, 435 in 2012, 501 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 3.6%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Hang Lung Properties Ltd ($101) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue5,1647,3729,13817,0308,948-47.5%
Gross Profit6,83713,0086,548-49.7%
SG&A5126266426446551.7%
EBITDA7,0579,8218,72214,1216,543-53.7%
Net Income5,7928,3957,21211,7045,092-56.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash19,79827,98933,76139,88726,870-32.6%
Short Term Debt4,5001,1131,6575,6574,693-17.0%
Long Term Debt12,27128,62333,32229,44128,078-4.6%
Cash flow
Capex6,3165,3289,8865,3016,18016.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth-57.2%42.8%24.0%86.4%-47.5%
EBITDA growth-76.3%39.2%-11.2%61.9%-53.7%
Gross Margin74.8%76.4%73.2%-3.2%
EBITDA Margin136.7%133.2%95.4%82.9%73.1%-9.8%
Net Income Margin112.2%113.9%78.9%68.7%56.9%-11.8%
SG&A, % of revenue9.9%8.5%7.0%3.8%7.3%3.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue122.3%72.3%108.2%31.1%69.1%37.9%
ROIC5.5%6.4%5.1%7.8%3.6%-4.2%
ROE5.7%7.4%5.9%9.1%3.9%-5.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.4x0.2x0.1x-0.3x0.9x1.2x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 47.5% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.7 pp from 8.6% to 10.2% in FY2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 3.2 pp from 76.4% to 73.2% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 3.5 pp from 3.8% to 7.3% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 11.8 pp from 68.7% to 56.9% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Hang Lung Properties Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 69.1%. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 3.2 pp from 72.3% in 2012 to 69.1% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 69.5%.The company invested a big chunk of EBITDA (94.5%) to CAPEX which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (3.58%) and ROE (3.90%). ROIC decreased on 4.2 pp from 7.8% to 3.6% in 2015. ROE decreased on 5.2 pp from 9.1% to 3.9% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 0.9x and Debt / EBITDA is 5.0x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 1.2x from -0.3x to 0.9x in 2015. Debt decreased on 6.6% in 2015 while cash dropped on 32.6% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below we provide Hang Lung Properties Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Real Estate industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Common Splendor International Health Industry Group Ltd ($286)-0.9%-0.5%1.9%4,120.2%
Landsea Green Properties Co Ltd ($106)-91.1%-35.1%-51.2%3,097.3%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)-0.1%-27.5%-21.9%3,008.3%
Rivera Holdings Ltd ($281)222.2%197.1%-89.9%2,067.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-94.0%-73.9%-49.8%1,922.5%
 
Median (172 companies)15.9%15.2%12.4%5.0%1.7%
Hang Lung Properties Ltd ($101)42.8%24.0%86.4%-47.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)37.4%39.3%98.2%
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)29.8%22.8%92.9%95.2%62.7%
 
Median (154 companies)43.6%41.9%40.0%38.9%53.0%
Hang Lung Properties Ltd ($101)74.8%76.4%73.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)24.0%-125.5%-2,995.7%1,685.3%-525.1%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)73.6%105.3%133.1%143.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-5.9%-382.7%-1,024.0%126.8%
 
Median (172 companies)35.2%28.9%27.9%26.4%35.2%
Hang Lung Properties Ltd ($101)136.7%133.2%95.4%82.9%73.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)25.6%56.2%4,202.4%1,304.7%189.7%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)5.9%24.1%1,091.1%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%
Liu Chong Hing Investment Ltd ($194)9.4%18.5%6.1%269.7%
 
Median (173 companies)5.9%5.3%6.1%4.5%6.7%
Hang Lung Properties Ltd ($101)122.3%72.3%108.2%31.1%69.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Rykadan Capital Ltd ($2288)17.2%-1.8%-2.6%48.4%-3.7%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)0.2%-0.2%-1.1%22.1%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)39.0%19.2%17.6%18.7%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%
Hong Kong Ferry Holdings Co Ltd ($50)4.7%3.8%0.6%18.0%
 
Median (176 companies)4.6%3.9%3.8%3.8%2.2%
Hang Lung Properties Ltd ($101)5.5%6.4%5.1%7.8%3.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Properties Group Ltd ($1838)16.9x43.0x21.4x1,523.0x
SRE Group Ltd ($1207)10.6x14.1x24.7x1,184.6x
Cheuk Nang Holdings Ltd ($131)53.2x177.3x901.7x
Tian An China Investment Co Ltd ($28)2.4x13.2x15.1x486.6x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x
 
Median (139 companies)2.1x2.4x2.8x3.0x1.3x
Hang Lung Properties Ltd ($101)-0.4x0.2x0.1x-0.3x0.9x