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Pokfulam Development Co reports 80.9 pp EBITDA Margin growth from -7.3% to 73.6% in 2015 while 2.7% Revenue decline

11/11/2015 • About Pokfulam Development Co ($225) • By InTwits

Pokfulam Development Co reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 73.6% in FY2015, -7.3% in FY2014, -5.3% in FY2013, 5.2% in FY2012, 56.9% in FY2011
  • Pokfulam Development Co has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 13.7%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 37.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 16.7 in FY2015, 30.7 in FY2014, 34.6 in FY2013, 7.5 in FY2012, 1.6 in FY2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 2.2%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Pokfulam Development Co ($225) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue120.8133.5131.0136.2132.5-2.7%
Gross Profit73.886.182.486.783.2-4.0%
SG&A12.213.613.813.0-5.9%
EBITDA68.86.9-7.0-9.997.5-1,082.4%
Net Income471.4459.5223.5178.0172.4-3.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash23.172.6118.9151.5173.514.5%
Short Term Debt42.042.070.085.070.0-17.6%
Long Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Cash flow
Capex1.67.534.630.716.7-45.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth2.1%10.5%-1.9%4.0%-2.7%
EBITDA growth0.9%-89.9%-200.8%41.7%-1,082.4%
Gross Margin61.1%64.5%62.9%63.6%62.8%-0.8%
EBITDA Margin56.9%5.2%-5.3%-7.3%73.6%80.9%
Net Income Margin390.2%344.1%170.6%130.7%130.2%-0.5%
SG&A, % of revenue9.1%10.4%10.1%9.8%-0.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.4%5.6%26.4%22.5%12.6%-9.9%
ROIC2.1%0.1%-0.2%-0.3%2.2%2.4%
ROE17.0%13.3%5.6%4.3%4.0%-0.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.3x-4.4x-1.1x-1.1x

Revenue and profitability


Pokfulam Development Co's Revenue decreased on 2.7% in FY2015. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin jumped on 80.9 pp from -7.3% to 73.6% in FY2015.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 0.84 pp from 63.6% to 62.8% in FY2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2015.

Net Income marign decreased slightly on 0.51 pp from 131% to 130% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 12.6% in FY2015. CAPEX/Revenue increased on 7.0 pp from 5.6% in FY2012 to 12.6% in FY2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 20.5%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (2.17%) and ROE (3.99%). ROIC increased on 2.4 pp from -0.26% to 2.2% in FY2015. ROE showed almost no change in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -1.1x Net Debt / EBITDA and 0.7x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped1.1x from to -1.1x in FY2015. Debt dropped on 17.6% in FY2015 while cash surged on 14.5% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below you can find Pokfulam Development Co benchmarking vs. other companies in Real Estate industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Common Splendor International Health Industry Group Ltd ($286)-0.9%-0.5%1.9%4,120.2%
Landsea Green Properties Co Ltd ($106)-91.1%-35.1%-51.2%3,097.3%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)-0.1%-27.5%-21.9%3,008.3%
Rivera Holdings Ltd ($281)222.2%197.1%-89.9%2,067.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-94.0%-73.9%-49.8%1,922.5%
 
Median (172 companies)15.2%15.6%13.1%5.1%1.7%
Pokfulam Development Co ($225)10.5%-1.9%4.0%-2.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)37.4%39.3%98.2%
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)29.8%22.8%92.9%95.2%62.7%
 
Median (154 companies)43.4%41.9%40.0%38.9%50.7%
Pokfulam Development Co ($225)61.1%64.5%62.9%63.6%62.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)24.0%-125.5%-2,995.7%1,685.3%-525.1%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)73.6%105.3%133.1%143.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-5.9%-382.7%-1,024.0%126.8%
 
Median (172 companies)35.2%28.9%28.1%26.9%31.6%
Pokfulam Development Co ($225)56.9%5.2%-5.3%-7.3%73.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)25.6%56.2%4,202.4%1,304.7%189.7%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)5.9%24.1%1,091.1%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%
Liu Chong Hing Investment Ltd ($194)9.4%18.5%6.1%269.7%
 
Median (173 companies)6.0%5.3%6.1%4.5%3.0%
Pokfulam Development Co ($225)1.4%5.6%26.4%22.5%12.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Rykadan Capital Ltd ($2288)17.2%-1.8%-2.6%48.4%-3.7%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)0.2%-0.2%-1.1%22.1%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)39.0%19.2%17.6%18.7%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%
Hong Kong Ferry Holdings Co Ltd ($50)4.7%3.8%0.6%18.0%
 
Median (176 companies)4.6%4.0%3.9%3.8%1.9%
Pokfulam Development Co ($225)2.1%0.1%-0.2%-0.3%2.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Properties Group Ltd ($1838)16.9x43.0x21.4x1,523.0x
SRE Group Ltd ($1207)10.6x14.1x24.7x1,184.6x
Cheuk Nang Holdings Ltd ($131)53.2x177.3x901.7x
Tian An China Investment Co Ltd ($28)2.4x13.2x15.1x486.6x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x
 
Median (140 companies)2.1x2.4x2.8x3.0x1.4x