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China Zenith Chemical Group Ltd reports 61.5% revenue decline in FY2015 and 140 pp EBITDA Margin decline from -98.1% to -238%

01/10/2015 • About China Zenith Chemical Group Ltd ($362) • By InTwits

China Zenith Chemical Group Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Zenith Chemical Group Ltd is a company in decline: FY2015 revenue growth was -61.5%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -46.1%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -238.0%
  • China Zenith Chemical Group Ltd motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2011-FY2015 was 0.0%. On average EBITDA Margin was -18.2% for the sames years0
  • China Zenith Chemical Group Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 91.9%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 28.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 95.7 in FY2015, 110 in FY2014, 166 in FY2013, 315 in FY2012, 522 in FY2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -9.6%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Zenith Chemical Group Ltd ($362) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue1,41521429716363-61.5%
Gross Profit2804-30-282-108.1%
SG&A124129118-8.7%
EBITDA276-180-178-160-150-6.6%
Net Income96-390-311-560-249-55.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash755178641-51.7%
Short Term Debt297354269217167-22.9%
Long Term Debt41393725832325.2%
Cash flow
Capex52231516611096-13.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth2.5%-84.9%39.1%-45.0%-61.5%
EBITDA growth-27.3%-165.1%-1.0%-9.9%-6.6%
Gross Margin19.8%2.1%-10.1%-16.9%3.6%20.4%
EBITDA Margin19.5%-84.1%-59.8%-98.1%-238.0%-139.9%
Net Income Margin6.7%-182.5%-104.4%-342.3%-395.0%-52.8%
SG&A, % of revenue41.8%79.1%187.7%108.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue36.8%147.3%55.7%67.4%152.2%84.8%
ROIC4.6%-7.7%-8.7%-9.6%-9.6%0.0%
ROE3.1%-12.7%-10.8%-21.6%-11.2%10.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.0x0.0x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 61.5% in FY2015. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 140 pp from -98.1% to -238% in FY2015.

Gross Margin jumped on 20.4 pp from -16.9% to 3.6% in FY2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue surged on 109 pp from 79.1% to 188% in FY2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 52.8 pp from -342% to -395% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


China Zenith Chemical Group Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 152% in FY2015. The company's CAPEX/Revenue increased on 4.9 pp from 147% in FY2012 to 152% in FY2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 91.7%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-9.55%) and ROE (-11.23%). ROIC showed almost no change in FY2015. ROE surged on 10.4 pp from -21.6% to -11.2% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.6x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in FY2015. Debt increased on 3.2% in FY2015 while cash dropped on 51.7% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Chemicals


Below you can find China Zenith Chemical Group Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Chemicals industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Bestway International Holdings Ltd ($718)-25.4%-62.1%330.3%238.4%
Jilin Qifeng Chemical Fiber Co Ltd ($549)39.7%-33.6%5.5%29.1%
China XLX Fertiliser Ltd ($1866)29.3%7.0%0.6%28.0%
Century Sunshine Group Holdings Ltd ($509)49.2%68.7%32.0%26.4%
Landing International Development Ltd ($582)-50.7%2.1%15.9%23.3%
 
Median (31 companies)26.0%2.1%9.4%2.2%2.1%
China Zenith Chemical Group Ltd ($362)-84.9%39.1%-45.0%-61.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huabao International Holdings Ltd ($336)74.3%70.5%69.1%70.8%69.9%
China Flavors & Fragrances Co Ltd ($3318)41.3%46.8%48.6%47.8%
Smartac Group China Holdings Ltd ($395)17.3%-1.8%11.2%40.4%
Bracell Ltd ($1768)40.1%30.5%37.3%37.3%
Yingde Gases Group Co Ltd ($2168)34.2%31.7%31.0%32.1%
 
Median (31 companies)19.8%19.5%18.5%17.7%40.4%
China Zenith Chemical Group Ltd ($362)19.8%2.1%-10.1%-16.9%3.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huabao International Holdings Ltd ($336)66.4%63.8%59.1%60.0%58.3%
Bracell Ltd ($1768)30.1%22.3%30.8%38.2%
Yingde Gases Group Co Ltd ($2168)32.3%29.4%29.8%32.3%
China First Chemical Holdings Ltd ($2121)29.7%26.6%30.0%29.6%
Century Sunshine Group Holdings Ltd ($509)15.5%24.2%28.1%27.6%
 
Median (31 companies)15.2%15.8%14.5%13.8%2.7%
China Zenith Chemical Group Ltd ($362)19.5%-84.1%-59.8%-98.1%-238.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Landing International Development Ltd ($582)27.9%7.2%29.6%419.5%
Smartac Group China Holdings Ltd ($395)22.5%14.0%4.7%49.3%
China Flavors & Fragrances Co Ltd ($3318)16.4%15.8%20.1%42.4%
Bracell Ltd ($1768)24.4%22.3%64.3%35.4%
China XLX Fertiliser Ltd ($1866)13.0%30.1%41.1%32.1%
 
Median (31 companies)8.3%7.2%8.3%5.1%1.6%
China Zenith Chemical Group Ltd ($362)36.8%147.3%55.7%67.4%152.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huabao International Holdings Ltd ($336)34.6%28.7%25.2%26.2%23.3%
Tiande Chemical Holdings Ltd ($609)24.4%26.2%29.4%20.7%
Century Sunshine Group Holdings Ltd ($509)3.5%11.3%15.9%16.4%
Fufeng Group Ltd ($546)13.9%9.6%10.8%11.6%
Yingde Gases Group Co Ltd ($2168)14.7%10.6%11.5%11.5%
 
Median (31 companies)8.2%6.9%8.1%5.9%3.1%
China Zenith Chemical Group Ltd ($362)4.6%-7.7%-8.7%-9.6%-9.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals Co Ltd ($2198)2.4x2.2x4.6x18.1x
China XLX Fertiliser Ltd ($1866)2.4x2.6x5.1x5.8x
Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd ($1047)4.8x11.7x5.3x5.4x5.3x
Jilin Qifeng Chemical Fiber Co Ltd ($549)4.3x14.1x6.5x5.3x
Sinofert Holdings Ltd ($297)4.3x2.9x32.4x5.0x
 
Median (25 companies)1.5x1.6x2.2x1.4x2.2x