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Continental Holdings Ltd Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 4,110.6x from 92.9x to 4,203.6x in 2015 and Debt surged on 23.0%

29/09/2015 • About Continental Holdings Ltd ($513) • By InTwits

Continental Holdings Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Continental Holdings Ltd is a company in decline: FY2015 revenue growth was -15.8%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -6.7%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 0.0% in FY2015, 0.5% in FY2014, 2.1% in FY2013, -0.9% in FY2012, 2.9% in FY2011
  • Continental Holdings Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.6%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 12.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 40.6 in FY2015, 25.7 in FY2014, 6.3 in FY2013, 11.5 in FY2012, 23.8 in FY2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -0.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 4,203.6x while industry average is 319.9x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Continental Holdings Ltd ($513) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue973.5955.7949.2868.1730.9-15.8%
Gross Profit124.9134.6120.3114.3105.3-7.8%
SG&A112.4114.3128.312.3%
EBITDA28.3-8.420.14.60.1-97.1%
Net Income33.5214.985.850.6141.6179.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash49.985.237.978.155.6-28.8%
Short Term Debt235.1379.1336.3416.3469.012.7%
Long Term Debt50.8118.7105.090.3154.170.6%
Cash flow
Capex23.811.56.325.740.657.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth-5.6%-1.8%-0.7%-8.5%-15.8%
EBITDA growth-177.6%-129.5%-340.1%-77.1%-97.1%
Gross Margin12.8%14.1%12.7%13.2%14.4%1.2%
EBITDA Margin2.9%-0.9%2.1%0.5%0.0%-0.5%
Net Income Margin3.4%22.5%9.0%5.8%19.4%13.5%
SG&A, % of revenue11.8%13.2%17.6%4.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.4%1.2%0.7%3.0%5.6%2.6%
ROIC1.7%-0.9%0.4%-0.2%-0.4%-0.2%
ROE3.3%16.0%5.0%2.8%7.3%4.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA8.3x20.1x92.9x4,203.6x4,110.6x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 15.8% in FY2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 3.8 pp from 36.8% to 40.6% in FY2015.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 1.2 pp from 13.2% to 14.4% in FY2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 4.4 pp from 13.2% to 17.6% in FY2015.

Net Income marign surged on 13.5 pp from 5.8% to 19.4% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 5.6%. CAPEX/Revenue increased on 4.4 pp from 1.2% in FY2012 to 5.6% in FY2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.1%.Battling declining revenue the company made large investments to CAPEX (30,084% of EBITDA) but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-0.41%) and low but positive ROE (7.34%). ROIC showed almost no change in FY2015. ROE increased on 4.6 pp from 2.8% to 7.3% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 4,203.6x Net Debt / EBITDA and 4,615.7x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 4,110.6x from 92.9x to 4,203.6x in FY2015. Debt surged on 23.0% in FY2015 while cash dropped on 28.8% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Miscellaneous Manufactur


Below we provide Continental Holdings Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Miscellaneous Manufactur industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
CSR Corp Ltd ($1766)24.0%12.0%9.7%123.7%
Sunny Optical Technology Group Co Ltd ($2382)37.4%59.5%45.9%45.0%
Zhuzhou CSR Times Electric Co Ltd ($3898)21.4%1.5%22.2%43.2%
Time Watch Investments Ltd ($2033)28.2%25.4%25.6%10.4%
China International Marine Containers Group Co Ltd ($2039)23.4%-15.6%6.6%21.4%
 
Median (25 companies)23.7%-7.1%0.1%8.2%-11.5%
Continental Holdings Ltd ($513)-1.8%-0.7%-8.5%-15.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Time Watch Investments Ltd ($2033)58.5%60.2%60.6%65.0%68.1%
Man Sang International Ltd ($938)34.7%42.4%32.8%60.3%78.6%
Lee & Man Chemical Co Ltd ($746)46.7%34.3%35.7%41.9%
Zhuzhou CSR Times Electric Co Ltd ($3898)35.0%33.2%35.1%37.4%
Launch Tech Co Ltd ($2488)39.2%27.4%33.6%33.6%
 
Median (24 companies)21.0%19.8%20.8%24.9%23.1%
Continental Holdings Ltd ($513)12.8%14.1%12.7%13.2%14.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Lee & Man Chemical Co Ltd ($746)42.8%30.4%31.3%38.4%
Man Sang International Ltd ($938)18.7%24.9%15.4%37.0%33.8%
IPE Group Ltd ($929)24.9%25.6%22.5%29.5%
Zhuzhou CSR Times Electric Co Ltd ($3898)19.5%18.4%19.8%20.6%
Time Watch Investments Ltd ($2033)16.8%17.6%16.8%19.4%20.5%
 
Median (25 companies)10.7%8.1%9.8%9.8%5.9%
Continental Holdings Ltd ($513)2.9%-0.9%2.1%0.5%0.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Lee & Man Chemical Co Ltd ($746)1.4%5.8%51.1%33.7%
KEE Holdings Co Ltd ($2011)20.9%21.8%43.7%24.9%
China International Marine Containers Group Co Ltd ($2039)4.7%3.9%12.1%18.5%
China Environmental Energy Investment Ltd ($986)77.7%6.1%0.4%17.9%47.6%
TK Group Holdings Ltd ($2283)8.9%13.3%8.1%13.7%
 
Median (25 companies)5.2%4.9%4.3%4.4%4.3%
Continental Holdings Ltd ($513)2.4%1.2%0.7%3.0%5.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
TK Group Holdings Ltd ($2283)34.0%36.8%31.1%29.4%
Time Watch Investments Ltd ($2033)30.5%34.5%27.1%27.8%27.9%
Zhuzhou CSR Times Electric Co Ltd ($3898)21.4%16.9%17.7%20.0%
Sunny Optical Technology Group Co Ltd ($2382)12.2%19.7%17.8%16.5%
CSR Corp Ltd ($1766)13.4%11.1%11.2%15.3%
 
Median (25 companies)8.0%4.4%4.4%4.4%1.5%
Continental Holdings Ltd ($513)1.7%-0.9%0.4%-0.2%-0.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
South China China Ltd ($413)2.3x37.5x2,842.3x
China International Marine Containers Group Co Ltd ($2039)2.8x4.0x4.7x5.8x
VS International Group Ltd ($1002)8.6x5.1x6.5x4.4x3.3x
Launch Tech Co Ltd ($2488)-0.4x7.6x2.4x3.9x
Lee & Man Chemical Co Ltd ($746)-0.3x-0.2x1.5x2.2x
 
Median (21 companies)-0.3x-0.3x-0.3x-0.2x-1.2x
Continental Holdings Ltd ($513)8.3x20.1x92.9x4,203.6x