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New World Development Co Ltd reports 96.5% Net Income growth while 2.2% Revenue decline

24/09/2015 • About New World Development Co Ltd ($17) • By InTwits

New World Development Co Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • New World Development Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 12.3%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 13.4%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 8,987 in FY2015, 6,352 in FY2014, 5,487 in FY2013, 2,755 in FY2012, 4,764 in FY2011
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 8.1%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

New World Development Co Ltd ($17) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue32,88235,62046,78056,50155,245-2.2%
Gross Profit12,20915,69418,42521,55319,306-10.4%
SG&A5,6746,4837,7978,7169,80912.5%
EBITDA12,32017,36120,22519,19330,15957.1%
Net Income9,15410,13914,1499,72519,11296.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash23,97227,91040,09161,72659,352-3.8%
Short Term Debt21,75920,86627,18332,34933,5183.6%
Long Term Debt38,74567,75177,39886,35082,709-4.2%
Cash flow
Capex4,7642,7555,4876,3528,98741.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth8.8%8.3%31.3%20.8%-2.2%
EBITDA growth-14.7%40.9%16.5%-5.1%57.1%
Gross Margin37.1%44.1%39.4%38.1%34.9%-3.2%
EBITDA Margin37.5%48.7%43.2%34.0%54.6%20.6%
Net Income Margin27.8%28.5%30.2%17.2%34.6%17.4%
SG&A, % of revenue17.3%18.2%16.7%15.4%17.8%2.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue14.5%7.7%11.7%11.2%16.3%5.0%
ROIC6.0%6.8%6.6%5.4%8.1%2.7%
ROE9.5%8.9%10.8%6.5%11.3%4.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.0x3.5x3.2x3.0x1.9x-1.1x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 2.2% in FY2015. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin surged on 20.6 pp from 34.0% to 54.6% in FY2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 3.2 pp from 38.1% to 34.9% in FY2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 2.3 pp from 15.4% to 17.8% in FY2015.

Net Income marign jumped on 17.4 pp from 17.2% to 34.6% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 16.3% in FY2015. CAPEX/Revenue increased on 8.5 pp from 7.7% in FY2012 to 16.3% in FY2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 13.1%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (8.11%) and ROE (11.28%). ROIC increased on 2.7 pp from 5.4% to 8.1% in FY2015. ROE increased on 4.8 pp from 6.5% to 11.3% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.9x Net Debt / EBITDA and 3.9x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1.1x from 3.0x to 1.9x in FY2015. Debt decreased on 2.1% in FY2015 while cash decreased on 3.8% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below we provide New World Development Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Real Estate industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Common Splendor International Health Industry Group Ltd ($286)-0.9%-0.5%1.9%4,120.2%
Landsea Green Properties Co Ltd ($106)-91.1%-35.1%-51.2%3,097.3%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)-0.1%-27.5%-21.9%3,008.3%
Rivera Holdings Ltd ($281)222.2%197.1%-89.9%2,067.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-94.0%-73.9%-49.8%1,922.5%
 
Median (172 companies)15.7%15.6%12.4%5.0%2.9%
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)8.3%31.3%20.8%-2.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)37.4%39.3%98.2%
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)29.8%22.8%92.9%95.2%62.7%
 
Median (154 companies)43.7%41.9%41.1%39.2%50.7%
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)37.1%44.1%39.4%38.1%34.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)24.0%-125.5%-2,995.7%1,685.3%-525.1%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)73.6%105.3%133.1%143.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-5.9%-382.7%-1,024.0%126.8%
 
Median (172 companies)35.2%28.9%27.9%26.4%27.8%
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)37.5%48.7%43.2%34.0%54.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)25.6%56.2%4,202.4%1,304.7%189.7%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)5.9%24.1%1,091.1%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%
Liu Chong Hing Investment Ltd ($194)9.4%18.5%6.1%269.7%
 
Median (173 companies)5.9%5.3%6.1%4.5%1.5%
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)14.5%7.7%11.7%11.2%16.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Rykadan Capital Ltd ($2288)17.2%-1.8%-2.6%48.4%-3.7%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)0.2%-0.2%-1.1%22.1%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)39.0%19.2%17.6%18.7%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%
Hong Kong Ferry Holdings Co Ltd ($50)4.7%3.8%0.6%18.0%
 
Median (176 companies)4.6%3.9%3.8%3.8%2.2%
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)6.0%6.8%6.6%5.4%8.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Properties Group Ltd ($1838)16.9x43.0x21.4x1,523.0x
SRE Group Ltd ($1207)10.6x14.1x24.7x1,184.6x
Cheuk Nang Holdings Ltd ($131)53.2x177.3x901.7x
Tian An China Investment Co Ltd ($28)2.4x13.2x15.1x486.6x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x
 
Median (139 companies)2.1x2.3x2.7x3.0x0.6x
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)3.0x3.5x3.2x3.0x1.9x