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Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd CAPEX dropped on 41.6% in 2015 and Revenue decreased on 9.8%

24/09/2015 • About Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd ($682) • By InTwits

Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd is a company in decline: FY2015 revenue growth was -9.8%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -28.3%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -458.9%
  • Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2011-FY2015 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -60.7%0
  • Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 30.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 8.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 164 in FY2015, 280 in FY2014, 249 in FY2013, 1,645 in FY2012, 4,464 in FY2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -56.2%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd ($682) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue8,0653,1602,2821,4591,317-9.8%
Gross Profit4,988-247-141-271-38441.5%
SG&A1,3061,052648412354-14.1%
EBITDA3,772-4,125-2,321-1,159-6,043421.5%
Net Income3,277-4,934-3,220-1,941-6,627241.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash3,333520371432239-44.6%
Short Term Debt000294-85.8%
Long Term Debt1,0390000
Cash flow
Capex4,4641,645249280164-41.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth15.8%-60.8%-27.8%-36.0%-9.8%
EBITDA growth-10.7%-209.4%-43.7%-50.1%421.5%
Gross Margin61.8%-7.8%-6.2%-18.6%-29.1%-10.6%
EBITDA Margin46.8%-130.5%-101.7%-79.4%-458.9%-379.5%
Net Income Margin40.6%-156.1%-141.1%-133.0%-503.3%-370.3%
SG&A, % of revenue16.2%33.3%28.4%28.2%26.9%-1.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue55.4%52.1%10.9%19.2%12.4%-6.8%
ROIC12.8%-20.2%-16.8%-11.6%-56.2%-44.6%
ROE14.0%-21.4%-17.2%-12.1%-56.2%-44.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.6x0.0x

Revenue and profitability


Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd's Revenue decreased on 9.8% in FY2015. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 380 pp from -79.4% to -459% in FY2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 10.6 pp from -18.6% to -29.1% in FY2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.3 pp from 28.2% to 26.9% in FY2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 370 pp from -133% to -503% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2015 Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 12.4%. Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 39.6 pp from 52.1% in FY2012 to 12.4% in FY2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 14.2%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-56.23%) and ROE (-56.15%). ROIC dropped on 44.6 pp from -11.6% to -56.2% in FY2015. ROE dropped on 44.1 pp from -12.1% to -56.2% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -14.2x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in FY2015. Debt dropped on 85.8% in FY2015 while cash dropped on 44.6% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Agriculture


Below we provide Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Agriculture industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
CP Pokphand Co Ltd ($43)85.7%36.9%9.2%1.7%
China Putian Food Holdings Ltd ($1699)16.9%11.7%7.9%-0.3%
China Agri-Industries Holdings Ltd ($606)53.9%10.9%3.5%-1.4%
Cypress Jade Agricultural Holdings Ltd ($875)4.7%1,594.6%0.2%-61.3%
 
Median (4 companies)35.4%24.3%5.7%-0.9%
Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd ($682)-60.8%-27.8%-36.0%-9.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Putian Food Holdings Ltd ($1699)23.5%25.8%25.9%23.0%
CP Pokphand Co Ltd ($43)15.3%13.6%12.7%15.5%
China Agri-Industries Holdings Ltd ($606)8.2%6.4%6.0%4.6%
Cypress Jade Agricultural Holdings Ltd ($875)2.6%32.8%30.6%-19.2%
 
Median (4 companies)11.8%19.7%19.3%10.1%
Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd ($682)61.8%-7.8%-6.2%-18.6%-29.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Putian Food Holdings Ltd ($1699)20.0%20.1%20.7%16.1%
CP Pokphand Co Ltd ($43)8.3%7.6%6.1%8.0%
China Agri-Industries Holdings Ltd ($606)5.3%3.7%2.7%1.7%
Cypress Jade Agricultural Holdings Ltd ($875)-76.7%1.9%-5.7%-68.5%
 
Median (4 companies)6.8%5.6%4.4%4.9%
Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd ($682)46.8%-130.5%-101.7%-79.4%-458.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Cypress Jade Agricultural Holdings Ltd ($875)0.0%17.7%16.2%14.6%
China Putian Food Holdings Ltd ($1699)5.7%18.8%26.8%9.0%
CP Pokphand Co Ltd ($43)2.3%3.6%5.2%5.9%
China Agri-Industries Holdings Ltd ($606)7.4%5.4%3.5%2.0%
 
Median (4 companies)4.0%11.5%10.7%7.5%
Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd ($682)55.4%52.1%10.9%19.2%12.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
CP Pokphand Co Ltd ($43)22.3%19.7%13.5%15.2%
China Putian Food Holdings Ltd ($1699)39.3%27.8%20.4%11.4%
China Agri-Industries Holdings Ltd ($606)6.5%3.5%1.8%-0.1%
Cypress Jade Agricultural Holdings Ltd ($875)-15.4%-17.7%-52.2%
 
Median (4 companies)22.3%11.6%7.7%5.7%
Chaoda Modern Agriculture Holdings Ltd ($682)12.8%-20.2%-16.8%-11.6%-56.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Agri-Industries Holdings Ltd ($606)5.4x6.7x7.6x13.8x
China Putian Food Holdings Ltd ($1699)0.6x0.1x1.1x2.0x
CP Pokphand Co Ltd ($43)1.2x1.0x1.8x1.9x
 
Median (3 companies)1.2x1.1x1.8x2.0x