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Celebrate International Holdings Ltd CAPEX jumped on 1,107% in 2015 and Revenue surged on 117%

22/09/2015 • About Celebrate International Holdings Ltd ($8212) • By InTwits

Celebrate International Holdings Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Celebrate International Holdings Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: FY2015 ROIC is 0.9%
  • Celebrate International Holdings Ltd spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2011-FY2015 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -108.1%0
  • Celebrate International Holdings Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 81.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 8.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 14.5 in FY2015, 1.2 in FY2014, 2.5 in FY2013, 2.9 in FY2012, 19.4 in FY2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 0.9%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 22.2x while industry average is -22.9x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Celebrate International Holdings Ltd ($8212) key annual financial indicators

mln. 201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue13.7711.36020.91219.59242.509117.0%
Gross Profit7.4780.0960.7540.0090.031244.4%
SG&A20.89725.43321.7%
EBITDA-50.251-14.023-17.342-30.0885.594-118.6%
Net Income-95.347-1,050.110-40.570-50.318-6.595-86.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash20.9763.7840.90824.60416.862-31.5%
Short Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.1810.1905.0%
Long Term Debt110.824119.587123.830141.314141.040-0.2%
Cash flow
Capex19.4002.8792.5191.20514.5491,107.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth264.3%-90.1%1,437.6%-6.3%117.0%
EBITDA growth34.5%-72.1%23.7%73.5%-118.6%
Gross Margin54.3%7.1%3.6%0.0%0.1%0.0%
EBITDA Margin-364.9%-1,031.1%-82.9%-153.6%13.2%166.7%
Net Income Margin-692.4%-77,214.0%-194.0%-256.8%-15.5%241.3%
SG&A, % of revenue106.7%59.8%-46.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue140.9%211.7%12.0%6.2%34.2%28.1%
ROIC-5.1%-2.8%-37.0%-41.0%0.9%41.9%
ROE-12.2%0.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA22.2x22.2x

Revenue and profitability


Celebrate International Holdings Ltd's Revenue surged on 117% in FY2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 17.5 pp from -4.6% to -22.1% in 2015.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in FY2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue dropped on 46.8 pp from 107% to 59.8% in FY2015.

Net Income marign jumped on 241 pp from -257% to -15.5% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 34.2% in FY2015. Celebrate International Holdings Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 177 pp from 212% in FY2012 to 34.2% in FY2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 17.5%.Celebrate International Holdings Ltd has spent a lot to CAPEX (260% of EBITDA) to fuel its growth.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 22.2x and Debt / EBITDA is 25.2x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped22.2x from to 22.2x in FY2015. Debt showed almost no change in FY2015 while cash dropped on 31.5% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Commercial Services


Below you can find Celebrate International Holdings Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Commercial Services industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Global Energy Resources International Group Ltd ($8192)429.3%-61.9%-27.8%2,912.9%
Dingyi Group Investment Ltd ($508)8.8%-95.9%1,361.2%-32.6%
China Smartpay Group Holdings Ltd ($8325)60.0%274.7%75.6%124.5%
Goldpac Group Ltd ($3315)24.4%52.3%64.4%36.8%
Wonderful Sky Financial Group Holdings Ltd ($1260)21.3%4.5%33.5%14.2%
 
Median (56 companies)19.1%8.0%4.3%9.4%3.9%
Celebrate International Holdings Ltd ($8212)-90.1%1,437.6%-6.3%117.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
HC International Inc ($2280)84.7%87.5%91.9%92.5%
Fu Shou Yuan International Group Ltd ($1448)81.6%80.5%80.4%80.0%
China Communication Telecom Services Co Ltd ($8206)-56.6%61.6%58.6%69.1%70.2%
Dingyi Group Investment Ltd ($508)76.5%75.8%64.5%86.0%
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd ($1052)67.1%66.2%66.8%62.8%
 
Median (52 companies)33.0%31.9%30.5%30.9%38.0%
Celebrate International Holdings Ltd ($8212)54.3%7.1%3.6%0.0%0.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Shenzhen International Holdings Ltd ($152)69.3%60.2%65.8%97.1%
Shenzhen Expressway Co Ltd ($548)80.4%74.3%79.4%76.6%
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd ($1052)74.3%78.3%74.5%74.0%
Anhui Expressway Co Ltd ($995)62.7%56.9%54.1%60.4%
Dragon Crown Group Holdings Ltd ($935)57.8%67.3%62.9%60.2%
 
Median (56 companies)16.4%16.0%13.4%9.3%3.3%
Celebrate International Holdings Ltd ($8212)-364.9%-1,031.1%-82.9%-153.6%13.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Kai Yuan Holdings Ltd ($1215)16.8%3.9%7.0%59.8%
COSCO Pacific Ltd ($1199)111.3%96.6%66.6%43.3%
Finet Group Ltd ($8317)3.9%10.3%9.1%26.0%8.4%
HC International Inc ($2280)15.1%8.5%28.7%24.7%
Dragon Crown Group Holdings Ltd ($935)2.5%37.2%52.0%23.0%
 
Median (55 companies)3.6%3.2%4.0%4.0%2.1%
Celebrate International Holdings Ltd ($8212)140.9%211.7%12.0%6.2%34.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Mega Expo Holdings Ltd ($1360)270.5%481.1%54.4%10.1%
China Packaging Holdings Development Ltd ($1439)50.0%52.0%46.6%34.1%
Wonderful Sky Financial Group Holdings Ltd ($1260)136.8%51.5%26.6%30.0%29.5%
1010 Printing Group Ltd ($1127)14.4%13.5%20.8%17.8%
Poly Culture Group Corp Ltd ($3636)48.0%29.1%33.0%16.3%
 
Median (56 companies)5.2%6.0%4.2%3.2%2.2%
Celebrate International Holdings Ltd ($8212)-5.1%-2.8%-37.0%-41.0%0.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Dalian Port PDA Co Ltd ($2880)5.7x5.7x4.8x4.7x
Sichuan Expressway Co Ltd ($107)1.8x2.7x3.8x4.3x
Anxian Yuan China Holdings Ltd ($922)4.6x3.8x0.8x
Eagle Legend Asia Ltd ($936)4.3x4.0x4.0x3.3x
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd ($1052)2.9x4.5x3.1x2.7x
 
Median (36 companies)-0.1x0.0x-0.7x-0.7x-2.2x