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China Motor Bus Co Ltd reports 30.2% Net Income decline and 7.5 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 73.4% to 66.0%

21/09/2015 • About China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26) • By InTwits

China Motor Bus Co Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Motor Bus Co Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: FY2015 ROIC is 0.8%
  • China Motor Bus Co Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.2%.
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 0.8%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue260.583.890.193.596.73.4%
Gross Profit162.889.1
SG&A8.7
EBITDA142.357.863.168.763.8-7.1%
Net Income664.2358.9443.5666.4465.1-30.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash2,587.82,523.42,504.82,024.91,906.2-5.9%
Short Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Long Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Cash flow
Capex0.00.10.00.50.3-44.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth-49.3%-67.9%7.5%3.8%3.4%
EBITDA growth-54.7%-59.4%9.2%8.8%-7.1%
Gross Margin62.5%98.9%0.0%
EBITDA Margin54.6%69.0%70.1%73.4%66.0%-7.5%
Net Income Margin254.9%428.5%492.4%712.7%481.1%-231.7%
SG&A, % of revenue9.0%9.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.0%0.1%0.0%0.5%0.3%-0.2%
ROIC2.4%0.9%1.0%1.0%0.8%-0.1%
ROE11.4%6.0%7.1%9.5%6.2%-3.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA-18.2x-43.7x-39.7x-29.5x-29.9x-0.4x

Revenue and profitability


China Motor Bus Co Ltd's Revenue increased on 3.4% in FY2015. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 7.5 pp from 73.4% to 66.0% in FY2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 232 pp from 713% to 481% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.28% in FY2015. China Motor Bus Co Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2012 to FY2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.28%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (0.85%) and ROE (6.24%). ROIC showed almost no change in FY2015. ROE decreased on 3.3 pp from 9.5% to 6.2% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash decreased on 5.9% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below you can find China Motor Bus Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Real Estate industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Common Splendor International Health Industry Group Ltd ($286)-0.9%-0.5%1.9%4,120.2%
Landsea Green Properties Co Ltd ($106)-91.1%-35.1%-51.2%3,097.3%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)-0.1%-27.5%-21.9%3,008.3%
Rivera Holdings Ltd ($281)222.2%197.1%-89.9%2,067.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-94.0%-73.9%-49.8%1,922.5%
 
Median (172 companies)15.7%15.6%13.1%5.1%2.9%
China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26)-67.9%7.5%3.8%3.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)37.4%39.3%98.2%
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)29.8%22.8%92.9%95.2%62.7%
 
Median (155 companies)43.4%41.9%40.0%39.1%48.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)24.0%-125.5%-2,995.7%1,685.3%-525.1%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)73.6%105.3%133.1%143.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-5.9%-382.7%-1,024.0%126.8%
 
Median (172 companies)35.2%28.9%27.9%26.4%27.8%
China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26)54.6%69.0%70.1%73.4%66.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)25.6%56.2%4,202.4%1,304.7%189.7%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)5.9%24.1%1,091.1%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%
Liu Chong Hing Investment Ltd ($194)9.4%18.5%6.1%269.7%
 
Median (173 companies)6.0%5.6%6.1%4.7%1.5%
China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26)0.0%0.1%0.0%0.5%0.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Rykadan Capital Ltd ($2288)17.2%-1.8%-2.6%48.4%-3.7%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)0.2%-0.2%-1.1%22.1%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)39.0%19.2%17.6%18.7%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%
Hong Kong Ferry Holdings Co Ltd ($50)4.7%3.8%0.6%18.0%
 
Median (176 companies)4.6%4.0%3.9%3.8%2.2%
China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26)2.4%0.9%1.0%1.0%0.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Properties Group Ltd ($1838)16.9x43.0x21.4x1,523.0x
SRE Group Ltd ($1207)10.6x14.1x24.7x1,184.6x
Cheuk Nang Holdings Ltd ($131)53.2x177.3x901.7x
Tian An China Investment Co Ltd ($28)2.4x13.2x15.1x486.6x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x
 
Median (139 companies)2.1x2.4x2.8x3.0x0.6x
China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26)-18.2x-43.7x-39.7x-29.5x-29.9x