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Tsim Sha Tsui Properties Ltd reports 192% revenue growth in FY2015 and 48.2 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 71.7% to 23.5%

26/08/2015 • About Tsim Sha Tsui Properties Ltd ($247) • By InTwits

Tsim Sha Tsui Properties Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 23.5% in FY2015, 71.7% in FY2014, 44.4% in FY2013, 45.0% in FY2012, 51.5% in FY2011
  • Tsim Sha Tsui Properties Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.4%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 14.4%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 1,293 in 2015, 3,161 in 2014, 5,204 in 2013, 3,669 in 2012, 3,412 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 3.9%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Tsim Sha Tsui Properties Ltd ($247) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue6,0108,4617,8807,51121,896191.5%
Gross Profit3,4744,5003,4194,6315,82625.8%
SG&A695
EBITDA3,0953,8043,5005,3855,140-4.5%
Net Income5,4375,3815,9774,5134,7475.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash7,9305,04611,62514,09119,60839.1%
Short Term Debt4,2242,9845,062310899189.7%
Long Term Debt16,87914,04711,21712,5907,375-41.4%
Cash flow
Capex443260330428319-25.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth-22.7%40.8%-6.9%-4.7%191.5%
EBITDA growth-22.9%22.9%-8.0%53.9%-4.5%
Gross Margin57.8%53.2%43.4%61.7%26.6%-35.0%
EBITDA Margin51.5%45.0%44.4%71.7%23.5%-48.2%
Net Income Margin90.5%63.6%75.9%60.1%21.7%-38.4%
SG&A, % of revenue3.2%3.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue7.4%3.1%4.2%5.7%1.5%-4.2%
ROIC3.1%3.5%2.9%4.3%3.9%-0.3%
ROE16.7%13.6%12.8%8.7%8.4%-0.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA4.3x3.2x1.3x-0.2x-2.2x-2.0x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue surged on 192% in FY2015. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 48.2 pp from 71.7% to 23.5% in FY2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 35.0 pp from 61.7% to 26.6% in FY2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 38.4 pp from 60.1% to 21.7% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.5%. CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 1.6 pp from 3.1% in FY2012 to 1.5% in FY2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.8%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (3.94%) and ROE (8.37%). ROIC showed almost no change in FY2015. ROE showed almost no change in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -2.2x Net Debt / EBITDA and 1.6x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 2.0x from -0.2x to -2.2x in FY2015. Debt dropped on 35.9% in FY2015 while cash jumped on 39.1% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below we provide Tsim Sha Tsui Properties Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Real Estate industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Common Splendor International Health Industry Group Ltd ($286)-0.9%-0.5%1.9%4,120.2%
Landsea Green Properties Co Ltd ($106)-91.1%-35.1%-51.2%3,097.3%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)-0.1%-27.5%-21.9%3,008.3%
Rivera Holdings Ltd ($281)222.2%197.1%-89.9%2,067.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-94.0%-73.9%-49.8%1,922.5%
 
Median (172 companies)15.7%15.2%13.1%5.1%2.9%
Tsim Sha Tsui Properties Ltd ($247)40.8%-6.9%-4.7%191.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)37.4%39.3%98.2%
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)29.8%22.8%92.9%95.2%62.7%
 
Median (154 companies)43.4%41.9%40.0%38.9%53.0%
Tsim Sha Tsui Properties Ltd ($247)57.8%53.2%43.4%61.7%26.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)24.0%-125.5%-2,995.7%1,685.3%-525.1%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)73.6%105.3%133.1%143.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-5.9%-382.7%-1,024.0%126.8%
 
Median (172 companies)35.2%28.9%27.9%26.4%27.8%
Tsim Sha Tsui Properties Ltd ($247)51.5%45.0%44.4%71.7%23.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)25.6%56.2%4,202.4%1,304.7%189.7%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)5.9%24.1%1,091.1%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%
Liu Chong Hing Investment Ltd ($194)9.4%18.5%6.1%269.7%
 
Median (173 companies)5.9%5.6%6.1%4.5%1.5%
Tsim Sha Tsui Properties Ltd ($247)7.4%3.1%4.2%5.7%1.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Rykadan Capital Ltd ($2288)17.2%-1.8%-2.6%48.4%-3.7%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)0.2%-0.2%-1.1%22.1%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)39.0%19.2%17.6%18.7%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%
Hong Kong Ferry Holdings Co Ltd ($50)4.7%3.8%0.6%18.0%
 
Median (176 companies)4.6%4.0%3.9%3.8%2.2%
Tsim Sha Tsui Properties Ltd ($247)3.1%3.5%2.9%4.3%3.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Properties Group Ltd ($1838)16.9x43.0x21.4x1,523.0x
SRE Group Ltd ($1207)10.6x14.1x24.7x1,184.6x
Cheuk Nang Holdings Ltd ($131)53.2x177.3x901.7x
Tian An China Investment Co Ltd ($28)2.4x13.2x15.1x486.6x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x
 
Median (139 companies)2.1x2.3x2.8x3.0x0.6x
Tsim Sha Tsui Properties Ltd ($247)4.3x3.2x1.3x-0.2x-2.2x