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Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd reports 44.9% Net Income growth and almost no change in EBITDA Margin of 8.3%

30/06/2015 • About Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd ($794) • By InTwits

Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 9.9%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 6.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 39.3 in FY2015, 17.5 in FY2014, 181 in FY2013, 82.7 in FY2012, 63.8 in FY2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 4.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.4x while industry average is 0.3x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd ($794) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue697.6772.1766.7895.4921.22.9%
Gross Profit123.5135.4159.0200.1206.63.2%
SG&A120.7136.7162.4165.51.9%
EBITDA43.640.652.172.376.96.3%
Net Income18.411.320.137.253.944.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash138.9102.3126.3174.9204.216.8%
Short Term Debt77.4206.7324.5436.8457.14.7%
Long Term Debt12.943.216.512.910.1-21.5%
Cash flow
Capex63.882.7181.017.539.3124.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth45.8%10.7%-0.7%16.8%2.9%
EBITDA growth7.8%-6.9%28.3%39.0%6.3%
Gross Margin17.7%17.5%20.7%22.3%22.4%0.1%
EBITDA Margin6.2%5.3%6.8%8.1%8.3%0.3%
Net Income Margin2.6%1.5%2.6%4.2%5.9%1.7%
SG&A, % of revenue15.6%17.8%18.1%18.0%-0.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue9.1%10.7%23.6%2.0%4.3%2.3%
ROIC3.9%2.5%2.4%4.2%4.4%0.2%
ROE4.2%2.3%3.7%6.3%8.6%2.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.1x3.6x4.1x3.8x3.4x-0.4x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 2.9% in FY2015. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin surged on 11.0 pp from 26.9% to 37.9% in 2015.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in FY2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2015.

Net Income marign increased slightly on 1.7 pp from 4.2% to 5.9% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 4.3% in FY2015. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 6.4 pp from 10.7% in FY2012 to 4.3% in FY2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 9.9%.Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd maintained rich investment policy and has spent a big chunk of EBITDA (51.1%) to CAPEX.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (4.38%) and ROE (8.59%). ROIC showed almost no change in FY2015. ROE increased on 2.3 pp from 6.3% to 8.6% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 3.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and 6.1x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.4x from 3.8x to 3.4x in FY2015. Debt increased on 3.9% in FY2015 while cash jumped on 16.8% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Packaging&Containers


Below you can find Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Packaging&Containers industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China For You Group Co Ltd ($572)19.6%-46.9%-99.7%36,225.6%
China Aluminum Cans Holdings Ltd ($6898)19.6%15.5%-5.0%189.1%
Zhengye International Holdings Co Ltd ($3363)10.5%6.8%16.4%18.6%
Huajun Holdings Ltd ($377)11.2%3.3%3.4%10.4%
Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co Ltd ($468)35.7%10.8%23.8%3.3%
 
Median (17 companies)19.6%4.2%5.0%0.8%11.5%
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd ($794)10.7%-0.7%16.8%2.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd ($1689)13.1%19.0%28.2%40.9%37.5%
Sheen Tai Holdings Grp Co Ltd ($1335)36.5%36.4%37.8%39.6%
Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd ($1250)39.6%36.6%39.1%37.7%
China For You Group Co Ltd ($572)18.7%12.4%34.6%
Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd ($3366)30.2%34.3%36.5%32.8%
 
Median (17 companies)18.6%19.9%19.7%21.1%22.3%
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd ($794)17.7%17.5%20.7%22.3%22.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sheen Tai Holdings Grp Co Ltd ($1335)35.5%31.9%32.2%32.1%
Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd ($1250)35.7%33.2%26.1%27.6%
Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd ($3366)25.5%27.9%30.7%27.4%
Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd ($1689)7.8%14.5%21.2%27.1%29.1%
Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co Ltd ($468)24.1%25.9%23.1%21.6%
 
Median (18 companies)11.5%13.2%13.9%13.5%6.6%
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd ($794)6.2%5.3%6.8%8.1%8.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Aluminum Cans Holdings Ltd ($6898)1.3%6.9%9.5%20.7%
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Ltd ($2314)13.5%19.7%13.7%13.1%
Hao Tian Development Group Ltd ($474)88.2%81.6%13.0%25.4%
CPMC Holdings Ltd ($906)13.7%16.7%19.7%8.6%
Jin Bao Bao Holdings Ltd ($1239)3.8%5.2%3.3%8.3%
 
Median (18 companies)5.2%6.1%4.8%4.7%5.4%
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd ($794)9.1%10.7%23.6%2.0%4.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huaxi Holdings Co Ltd ($1689)21.4%28.5%26.2%23.6%
Sheen Tai Holdings Grp Co Ltd ($1335)32.5%26.8%26.2%24.7%
China Aluminum Cans Holdings Ltd ($6898)14.8%19.7%14.6%20.2%
Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co Ltd ($468)19.6%20.2%18.9%15.7%
Jin Cai Holdings Co Ltd ($1250)38.7%35.3%18.4%15.4%
 
Median (18 companies)11.3%7.9%6.7%6.3%1.9%
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd ($794)3.9%2.5%2.4%4.2%4.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Zhengye International Holdings Co Ltd ($3363)4.0x6.2x6.4x7.8x
Overseas Chinese Town Asia Holdings Ltd ($3366)0.7x9.4x6.7x7.4x
Sino Haijing Holdings Ltd ($1106)4.7x6.4x6.1x6.2x
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Ltd ($2314)2.5x4.1x3.5x3.4x
Kith Holdings Ltd ($1201)2.9x3.0x3.2x2.9x
 
Median (17 companies)0.7x0.9x0.5x0.3x0.5x
Come Sure Group Holdings Ltd ($794)-1.1x3.6x4.1x3.8x3.4x