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Asia Commercial Holdings Ltd revenue dropped on 25.7% in 2015 while EBITDA Margin increased on 6.9 pp from -13.3% to -6.4%

30/06/2015 • About Asia Commercial Holdings Ltd ($104) • By InTwits

Asia Commercial Holdings Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Asia Commercial Holdings Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: FY2015 ROIC is -9.9%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -6.4%
  • Asia Commercial Holdings Ltd spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2011-FY2015 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -6.1%0
  • Asia Commercial Holdings Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 5.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 6.8 in FY2015, 7.0 in FY2014, 38.9 in FY2013, 85.8 in FY2012, 15.0 in FY2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -9.9%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is -0.6x while industry average is -0.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Asia Commercial Holdings Ltd ($104) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue1,0351,0361,099967719-25.7%
Gross Profit320295270213148-30.5%
SG&A458387259-33.0%
EBITDA86-48-158-129-46-64.4%
Net Income92-61-209-153-31-79.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash141861173722-41.6%
Short Term Debt6298270187109-41.8%
Long Term Debt5030000
Cash flow
Capex15863977-3.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth33.2%0.1%6.0%-11.9%-25.7%
EBITDA growth35.2%-156.6%226.5%-18.4%-64.4%
Gross Margin30.9%28.5%24.6%22.0%20.6%-1.4%
EBITDA Margin8.3%-4.7%-14.4%-13.3%-6.4%6.9%
Net Income Margin8.9%-5.9%-19.0%-15.8%-4.3%11.5%
SG&A, % of revenue41.7%40.0%36.0%-3.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.5%8.3%3.5%0.7%0.9%0.2%
ROIC13.6%-8.5%-22.2%-22.0%-9.9%12.0%
ROE19.2%-11.1%-38.8%-32.8%-7.7%25.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.0x0.0x

Revenue and profitability


Asia Commercial Holdings Ltd's Revenue dropped on 25.7% in FY2015. Revenue decline happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin increased on 6.9 pp from -13.3% to -6.4% in FY2015.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.4 pp from 22.0% to 20.6% in FY2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 3.9 pp from 40.0% to 36.0% in FY2015.

Net Income marign surged on 11.5 pp from -15.8% to -4.3% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Asia Commercial Holdings Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.94% in FY2015. The company showed decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 7.3 pp from 8.3% in FY2012 to 0.94% in FY2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.7%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-9.94%) and ROE (-7.66%). ROIC surged on 12.0 pp from -22.0% to -9.9% in FY2015. ROE jumped on 25.2 pp from -32.8% to -7.7% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.6x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in FY2015. Debt dropped on 41.8% in FY2015 while cash dropped on 41.6% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Retail


Below you can find Asia Commercial Holdings Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Retail industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Household Holdings Ltd ($692)-87.0%-32.8%5,357.9%76.2%
Ming Fung Jewellery Group Ltd ($860)21.9%3.3%-14.9%54.3%
Merry Garden Holdings Ltd ($1237)53.9%37.1%12.8%47.6%
Luk Fook Holdings International Ltd ($590)47.2%12.6%43.3%-17.1%
NewOcean Energy Holdings Ltd ($342)19.3%23.1%15.9%36.0%
 
Median (109 companies)21.5%10.3%5.9%3.1%-2.8%
Asia Commercial Holdings Ltd ($104)0.1%6.0%-11.9%-25.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Culture Landmark Investment Ltd ($674)77.5%91.1%99.4%99.5%
Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Ltd ($919)97.3%97.4%95.9%96.8%96.7%
Vongroup Ltd ($318)95.1%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)80.6%86.5%89.3%90.9%
Embry Holdings Ltd ($1388)82.3%81.2%80.4%82.3%
 
Median (98 companies)40.4%37.8%39.5%37.6%44.9%
Asia Commercial Holdings Ltd ($104)30.9%28.5%24.6%22.0%20.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Maoye International Holdings Ltd ($848)45.5%47.4%46.3%73.2%
China Dongxiang Group Co Ltd ($3818)5.6%6.0%5.6%58.3%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)47.8%51.6%56.9%54.4%
Lifestyle International Holdings Ltd ($1212)49.6%47.5%47.0%44.7%
Golden Eagle Retail Group Ltd ($3308)52.1%48.5%47.3%42.8%
 
Median (109 companies)13.3%9.9%7.2%8.8%7.1%
Asia Commercial Holdings Ltd ($104)8.3%-4.7%-14.4%-13.3%-6.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Intime Retail Group Co Ltd ($1833)58.4%28.3%55.4%37.0%
Future Bright Holdings Ltd ($703)6.2%2.6%3.7%36.8%
Sage International Group Ltd ($8082)20.4%236.6%28.2%35.4%
Maoye International Holdings Ltd ($848)30.9%32.8%24.1%31.5%
Tsui Wah Holdings Ltd ($1314)5.2%8.3%9.3%30.5%10.6%
 
Median (109 companies)3.9%4.0%3.6%3.5%2.5%
Asia Commercial Holdings Ltd ($104)1.5%8.3%3.5%0.7%0.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Ltd ($919)48.1%50.7%-4.6%81.3%71.8%
Starbucks Corp ($4337)36.4%36.4%-6.0%52.8%
Sa Sa International Holdings Ltd ($178)45.7%53.5%52.7%49.0%39.8%
Coach Inc ($6388)82.0%82.3%68.7%45.0%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)57.4%67.3%68.1%32.2%
 
Median (109 companies)17.2%12.0%8.2%8.4%5.8%
Asia Commercial Holdings Ltd ($104)13.6%-8.5%-22.2%-22.0%-9.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sparkle Roll Group Ltd ($970)-0.8x0.6x4.0x9.3x23.5x
China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings Ltd ($3669)3.3x3.4x4.7x5.5x
Zhongsheng Group Holdings Ltd ($881)2.2x4.6x4.5x5.3x
NewOcean Energy Holdings Ltd ($342)35.2x6.2x6.1x5.3x
Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Ltd ($162)6.5x2.0x2.5x4.8x
 
Median (86 companies)-0.8x-0.6x-0.9x-0.2x-0.5x