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Zhong Fa Zhan Holdings Ltd revenue dropped on 15.5% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin decreased on 8.3 pp from -28.6% to -36.9%

26/06/2015 • About Zhong Fa Zhan Holdings Ltd ($475) • By InTwits

Zhong Fa Zhan Holdings Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Zhong Fa Zhan Holdings Ltd is a company in decline: FY2015 revenue growth was -15.5%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -35.7%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -36.9%
  • Zhong Fa Zhan Holdings Ltd spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2011-FY2015 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -18.0%0
  • Zhong Fa Zhan Holdings Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 20.2%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 6.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 0.90 in FY2015, 3.2 in FY2014, 0.10 in FY2013, 2.6 in FY2012, 41.9 in FY2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -104.7%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Zhong Fa Zhan Holdings Ltd ($475) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue46.00174.35875.77067.59157.092-15.5%
Gross Profit5.70311.9646.8817.3857.222-2.2%
SG&A39.14828.35929.9685.7%
EBITDA10.4782.954-30.783-19.298-21.0619.1%
Net Income7.61310.119-31.123-19.992-22.15410.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash14.30310.5387.55213.37214.75810.4%
Short Term Debt258.0640.0000.0000.0000.000
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex41.8552.5550.1003.1680.904-71.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth-91.2%61.6%1.9%-10.8%-15.5%
EBITDA growth-42.6%-71.8%-1,142.1%-37.3%9.1%
Gross Margin12.4%16.1%9.1%10.9%12.6%1.7%
EBITDA Margin22.8%4.0%-40.6%-28.6%-36.9%-8.3%
Net Income Margin16.5%13.6%-41.1%-29.6%-38.8%-9.2%
SG&A, % of revenue51.7%42.0%52.5%10.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue91.0%3.4%0.1%4.7%1.6%-3.1%
ROIC0.0%-1.4%-70.8%-75.5%-104.7%-29.2%
ROE2.9%6.2%-70.3%-74.1%-103.6%-29.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA23.3x-3.6x0.0x

Revenue and profitability


Zhong Fa Zhan Holdings Ltd's Revenue dropped on 15.5% in FY2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin jumped on 38.0 pp from -70.9% to -33.0% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 1.7 pp from 10.9% to 12.6% in FY2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue jumped on 10.5 pp from 42.0% to 52.5% in FY2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 9.2 pp from -29.6% to -38.8% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2015 Zhong Fa Zhan Holdings Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.6%. Zhong Fa Zhan Holdings Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 1.9 pp from 3.4% in FY2012 to 1.6% in FY2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.1%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-104.66%) and ROE (-103.57%). ROIC dropped on 29.2 pp from -75.5% to -105% in FY2015. ROE dropped on 29.4 pp from -74.1% to -104% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash surged on 10.4% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Retail


Below we provide Zhong Fa Zhan Holdings Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Retail industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Household Holdings Ltd ($692)-87.0%-32.8%5,357.9%76.2%
Ming Fung Jewellery Group Ltd ($860)21.9%3.3%-14.9%54.3%
Merry Garden Holdings Ltd ($1237)53.9%37.1%12.8%47.6%
Luk Fook Holdings International Ltd ($590)47.2%12.6%43.3%-17.1%
NewOcean Energy Holdings Ltd ($342)19.3%23.1%15.9%36.0%
 
Median (108 companies)21.8%9.9%5.9%2.9%-0.0%
Zhong Fa Zhan Holdings Ltd ($475)61.6%1.9%-10.8%-15.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Culture Landmark Investment Ltd ($674)77.5%91.1%99.4%99.5%
Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Ltd ($919)97.3%97.4%95.9%96.8%96.7%
Vongroup Ltd ($318)95.1%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)80.6%86.5%89.3%90.9%
Embry Holdings Ltd ($1388)82.3%81.2%80.4%82.3%
 
Median (97 companies)40.8%38.0%39.9%39.5%44.9%
Zhong Fa Zhan Holdings Ltd ($475)12.4%16.1%9.1%10.9%12.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Maoye International Holdings Ltd ($848)45.5%47.4%46.3%73.2%
China Dongxiang Group Co Ltd ($3818)5.6%6.0%5.6%58.3%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)47.8%51.6%56.9%54.4%
Lifestyle International Holdings Ltd ($1212)49.6%47.5%47.0%44.7%
Golden Eagle Retail Group Ltd ($3308)52.1%48.5%47.3%42.8%
 
Median (108 companies)13.2%10.3%7.3%8.8%8.7%
Zhong Fa Zhan Holdings Ltd ($475)22.8%4.0%-40.6%-28.6%-36.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Intime Retail Group Co Ltd ($1833)58.4%28.3%55.4%37.0%
Future Bright Holdings Ltd ($703)6.2%2.6%3.7%36.8%
Sage International Group Ltd ($8082)20.4%236.6%28.2%35.4%
Maoye International Holdings Ltd ($848)30.9%32.8%24.1%31.5%
Tsui Wah Holdings Ltd ($1314)5.2%8.3%9.3%30.5%10.6%
 
Median (108 companies)3.8%4.1%3.6%3.4%2.5%
Zhong Fa Zhan Holdings Ltd ($475)91.0%3.4%0.1%4.7%1.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Ltd ($919)48.1%50.7%-4.6%81.3%71.8%
Starbucks Corp ($4337)36.4%36.4%-6.0%52.8%
Sa Sa International Holdings Ltd ($178)45.7%53.5%52.7%49.0%39.8%
Coach Inc ($6388)82.0%82.3%68.7%45.0%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)57.4%67.3%68.1%32.2%
 
Median (108 companies)17.2%11.9%8.2%8.3%10.7%
Zhong Fa Zhan Holdings Ltd ($475)0.0%-1.4%-70.8%-75.5%-104.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sparkle Roll Group Ltd ($970)-0.8x0.6x4.0x9.3x23.5x
China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings Ltd ($3669)3.3x3.4x4.7x5.5x
Zhongsheng Group Holdings Ltd ($881)2.2x4.6x4.5x5.3x
NewOcean Energy Holdings Ltd ($342)35.2x6.2x6.1x5.3x
Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Ltd ($162)6.5x2.0x2.5x4.8x
 
Median (85 companies)-0.8x-0.6x-0.9x-0.3x-0.6x