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China Fortune Financial Group Ltd revenue dropped on 11.8% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin dropped on 46.3 pp from -63.4% to -110%

26/06/2015 • About China Fortune Financial Group Ltd ($290) • By InTwits

China Fortune Financial Group Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Fortune Financial Group Ltd is a company in decline: FY2015 revenue growth was -11.8%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -10.9%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -109.6%
  • China Fortune Financial Group Ltd spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2011-FY2015 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -51.0%0
  • China Fortune Financial Group Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 9.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.5%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 2.1 in FY2015, 0.20 in FY2014, 4.2 in FY2013, 10.8 in FY2012, 6.5 in FY2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -11.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Fortune Financial Group Ltd ($290) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue75.31147.35446.81051.14045.083-11.8%
Gross Profit65.27843.28443.87246.86440.110-14.4%
SG&A41.16036.88939.2026.3%
EBITDA3.864-24.073-33.478-32.415-49.43252.5%
Net Income-65.370-69.602-69.002-15.254-156.732927.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash44.747107.484104.131206.365187.067-9.4%
Short Term Debt108.48885.75252.95441.24281.41397.4%
Long Term Debt76.74340.04667.23076.04098.49329.5%
Cash flow
Capex6.45610.7934.1740.2022.083931.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth-6.4%-37.1%-1.1%9.3%-11.8%
EBITDA growth-38.0%-723.0%39.1%-3.2%52.5%
Gross Margin86.7%91.4%93.7%91.6%89.0%-2.7%
EBITDA Margin5.1%-50.8%-71.5%-63.4%-109.6%-46.3%
Net Income Margin-86.8%-147.0%-147.4%-29.8%-347.7%-317.8%
SG&A, % of revenue87.9%72.1%87.0%14.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue8.6%22.8%8.9%0.4%4.6%4.2%
ROIC-0.7%-5.5%-7.3%-7.5%-11.3%-3.8%
ROE-28.1%-20.7%-20.9%-5.0%-67.5%-62.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA36.4x0.0x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 11.8% in FY2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin surged on 28.4 pp from -16.7% to 11.7% in FY2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 2.7 pp from 91.6% to 89.0% in FY2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue jumped on 14.8 pp from 72.1% to 87.0% in FY2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 318 pp from -29.8% to -348% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 4.6%. The company showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 18.2 pp from 22.8% in FY2012 to 4.6% in FY2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.6%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-11.32%) and ROE (-67.52%). ROIC decreased on 3.8 pp from -7.5% to -11.3% in FY2015. ROE dropped on 62.5 pp from -5.0% to -67.5% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -88.5x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in FY2015. Debt surged on 53.4% in FY2015 while cash decreased on 9.4% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Diversified Finan Serv


Below we provide China Fortune Financial Group Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Diversified Finan Serv industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China New Energy Power Group Ltd ($1041)100.0%0.0%64,246.0%
ReOrient Group Ltd ($376)63.3%112.8%75.1%1,106.9%
Global Strategic Group Ltd ($8007)2.2%-3.9%2.1%806.3%
AID Partners Capital Holdings Ltd ($8088)-38.7%0.9%-79.5%655.2%
Willie International Holdings Ltd ($273)543.9%
 
Median (62 companies)5.7%1.2%14.7%26.5%24.9%
China Fortune Financial Group Ltd ($290)-37.1%-1.1%9.3%-11.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Roma Group Ltd ($8072)99.4%98.7%
Freeman Financial Corp Ltd ($279)97.1%52.3%99.3%98.5%
Chinese Strategic Holdings Ltd ($8089)97.9%99.1%97.9%97.0%
First China Financial Network Holdings Ltd ($8123)98.6%93.4%94.5%
Allied Group Ltd ($373)94.5%95.1%94.4%93.6%
 
Median (12 companies)75.0%57.7%72.7%81.8%94.3%
China Fortune Financial Group Ltd ($290)86.7%91.4%93.7%91.6%89.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Styland Holdings Ltd ($211)68.6%198.6%91.5%161.0%17.9%
Roma Group Ltd ($8072)81.4%18.1%36.8%143.0%44.7%
First China Financial Network Holdings Ltd ($8123)-231.6%-329.2%-211.2%124.3%
Willie International Holdings Ltd ($273)75.3%95.2%
Get Nice Holdings Ltd ($64)28.4%2.6%153.4%92.7%83.9%
 
Median (63 companies)30.3%16.4%36.2%47.2%44.7%
China Fortune Financial Group Ltd ($290)5.1%-50.8%-71.5%-63.4%-109.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd ($174)14.9%479.1%37.3%216.0%
China Assurance Finance Group Ltd ($8090)94.7%68.9%53.3%
Chinese Strategic Holdings Ltd ($8089)93.2%376.0%5.7%32.6%
AID Partners Capital Holdings Ltd ($8088)196.3%4.1%2.9%28.4%
Asian Capital Holdings Ltd ($8295)2.3%0.1%0.2%15.6%
 
Median (63 companies)2.2%1.8%1.7%1.1%1.2%
China Fortune Financial Group Ltd ($290)8.6%22.8%8.9%0.4%4.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ReOrient Group Ltd ($376)-24.9%-45.6%-53.5%128.6%
Roma Group Ltd ($8072)19.6%43.7%107.8%13.3%
Convoy Financial Holdings Ltd ($1019)31.1%3.4%39.3%47.3%
Willie International Holdings Ltd ($273)-28.1%-9.5%4.7%30.9%
Value Partners Group Ltd ($806)8.7%16.8%16.5%26.8%
 
Median (65 companies)4.9%3.9%4.0%4.8%3.6%
China Fortune Financial Group Ltd ($290)-0.7%-5.5%-7.3%-7.5%-11.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Cash Financial Services Group Ltd ($510)-1.1x7.8x67.5x
Far East Horizon Ltd ($3360)17.8x16.9x21.7x20.0x
Bright Smart Securities & Commodities Group Ltd ($1428)7.3x2.1x10.3x9.3x39.3x
China Cinda Asset Management Co Ltd ($1359)2.1x5.0x7.7x8.4x
Aeon Credit Service Asia Co Ltd ($900)6.3x5.2x6.0x6.9x5.5x
 
Median (46 companies)-1.1x-1.0x0.1x-0.0x0.6x