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Agritrade Resources Ltd reports 28.4% revenue growth in FY2015 and 2.3 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 33.4% to 31.1%

26/06/2015 • About Agritrade Resources Ltd ($1131) • By InTwits

Agritrade Resources Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 31.1% in FY2015, 33.4% in FY2014, 37.3% in FY2013, 41.6% in FY2012, 1.4% in FY2011
  • Agritrade Resources Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 29.2%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 17.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 321 in FY2015, 272 in FY2014, 97.0 in FY2013, 231 in FY2012, 51.3 in FY2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 6.9%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Agritrade Resources Ltd ($1131) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue2174277019611,23428.4%
Gross Profit179820630637021.1%
SG&A60136
EBITDA317826132138419.5%
Net Income44-185311514727.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash57221617126555.1%
Short Term Debt316715714925369.3%
Long Term Debt279291230205165-19.5%
Cash flow
Capex512319727232117.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth36.2%97.2%64.1%37.2%28.4%
EBITDA growth-130.1%5,652.4%46.8%22.9%19.5%
Gross Margin7.6%22.9%29.4%31.8%30.0%-1.8%
EBITDA Margin1.4%41.6%37.3%33.4%31.1%-2.3%
Net Income Margin20.4%-4.1%7.6%12.0%11.9%-0.1%
SG&A, % of revenue27.7%11.1%11.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue23.7%54.1%13.8%28.3%26.0%-2.4%
ROIC-2.3%2.7%5.8%6.4%6.9%0.5%
ROE6.4%-1.7%5.2%9.5%9.9%0.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA81.9x1.9x1.4x0.6x0.4x-0.2x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue surged on 28.4% in FY2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin surged on 17.3 pp from -7.8% to 9.5% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.8 pp from 31.8% to 30.0% in FY2015.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 26.0% in FY2015. The company's CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 28.2 pp from 54.1% in FY2012 to 26.0% in FY2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 22.7%.To maintain this fast growth Agritrade Resources Ltd invested a large share of EBITDA (83.6%) to CAPEX.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (6.93%) and ROE (9.88%). ROIC increased slightly on 0.50 pp from 6.4% to 6.9% in FY2015. ROE showed almost no change in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 0.4x and Debt / EBITDA is 1.1x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.2x from 0.6x to 0.4x in FY2015. Debt jumped on 18.0% in FY2015 while cash surged on 55.1% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Coal


Below we provide Agritrade Resources Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Coal industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd ($1277)299.9%563.4%
Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd ($1738)172.1%34.9%25.8%103.6%
Loudong General Nice Resources China Holdings Ltd ($988)8.5%-12.7%39.1%87.6%
Rosan Resources Holdings Ltd ($578)-19.9%-74.1%71.1%49.1%
Asia Coal Ltd ($835)13.6%32.1%-15.3%43.2%
 
Median (22 companies)21.3%-6.5%-8.6%-12.5%30.8%
Agritrade Resources Ltd ($1131)97.2%64.1%37.2%28.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Asia Coal Ltd ($835)32.4%56.7%62.6%76.7%
Shougang Fushan Resources Group Ltd ($639)70.4%63.5%50.9%40.1%
Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd ($1277)20.6%28.8%30.3%
China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd ($1088)39.9%31.4%28.7%29.6%
Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd ($3948)44.7%35.2%33.7%27.4%
 
Median (22 companies)31.5%19.9%17.3%9.4%-5.2%
Agritrade Resources Ltd ($1131)7.6%22.9%29.4%31.8%30.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd ($1088)41.2%35.6%31.6%34.2%
Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd ($1277)-277.0%-51.9%29.3%
Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd ($3948)40.9%33.1%30.7%22.8%
Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd ($1738)-9.2%-13.1%-32.9%19.0%
Yanzhou Coal Mining Co Ltd ($1171)32.3%14.9%11.5%12.2%
 
Median (23 companies)17.4%-1.1%-4.3%-8.6%-33.2%
Agritrade Resources Ltd ($1131)1.4%41.6%37.3%33.4%31.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Up Energy Development Group Ltd ($307)279.5%75.2%
Siberian Mining Group Co Ltd ($1142)129.1%4.6%78.8%217.3%
King Stone Energy Group Ltd ($663)82.7%58.5%135.3%205.7%
Asia Coal Ltd ($835)121.4%12.5%25.8%111.0%
Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ($1393)74.1%82.3%144.6%92.3%
 
Median (23 companies)21.9%13.7%26.0%17.8%26.9%
Agritrade Resources Ltd ($1131)23.7%54.1%13.8%28.3%26.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd ($1088)21.0%19.5%17.4%14.6%
Loudong General Nice Resources China Holdings Ltd ($988)11.5%4.1%8.2%9.6%
Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd ($1277)-2.6%-6.6%-5.7%8.5%
Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co Ltd ($3948)37.6%28.5%15.2%8.5%
Yanzhou Coal Mining Co Ltd ($1171)16.8%5.3%2.0%3.7%
 
Median (23 companies)4.8%-2.6%-2.1%-5.2%-14.8%
Agritrade Resources Ltd ($1131)-2.3%2.7%5.8%6.4%6.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Feishang Anthracite Resources Ltd ($1738)24.3x
China Coal Energy Co Ltd ($1898)0.5x1.9x4.9x9.7x
Loudong General Nice Resources China Holdings Ltd ($988)2.0x5.8x4.4x6.0x
Yanzhou Coal Mining Co Ltd ($1171)1.1x2.9x6.2x4.9x
Kinetic Mines and Energy Ltd ($1277)4.5x
 
Median (8 companies)1.0x2.9x4.7x4.7x-1.8x
Agritrade Resources Ltd ($1131)81.9x1.9x1.4x0.6x0.4x