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PNG Resources Holdings Ltd reports 136% EBITDA growth and 14.3 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 12.2% to 26.5%

25/06/2015 • About PNG Resources Holdings Ltd ($221) • By InTwits

PNG Resources Holdings Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • PNG Resources Holdings Ltd is a fast growth stock: FY2015 revenue growth was 8.7%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 80.3% at FY2015 ROIC 19.9%
  • EBITDA Margin is expanding: 26.5% in FY2015 vs. 12.2% in FY2014 vs. -68.2% in FY2011
  • PNG Resources Holdings Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 112.3%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 11.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 504 in FY2015, 548 in FY2014, 339 in FY2013, 364 in FY2012, 190 in FY2011
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 19.9%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

PNG Resources Holdings Ltd ($221) key annual financial indicators

mln. 201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue652749531,0341,1248.7%
Gross Profit215317825039759.0%
SG&A89127104-18.0%
EBITDA-44-1792126298136.4%
Net Income424427714588.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash157215270565524-7.2%
Short Term Debt150185392198146-26.1%
Long Term Debt340455195310202-34.7%
Cash flow
Capex190364339548504-8.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth9.5%323.7%248.6%8.5%8.7%
EBITDA growth107.1%-62.3%-652.5%37.2%136.4%
Gross Margin31.9%19.4%18.6%24.2%35.3%11.2%
EBITDA Margin-68.2%-6.1%9.6%12.2%26.5%14.3%
Net Income Margin64.8%1.4%4.4%7.4%12.9%5.5%
SG&A, % of revenue9.3%12.3%9.3%-3.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue294.9%133.1%35.6%53.0%44.8%-8.2%
ROIC-3.6%-1.2%5.8%8.3%19.9%11.6%
ROE7.3%0.6%6.7%9.9%14.9%5.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.5x-0.5x-0.6x-0.1x

Revenue and profitability


PNG Resources Holdings Ltd's Revenue increased on 8.7% in FY2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 2.1 pp from 5.6% to 3.4% in 2015.

Gross Margin jumped on 11.2 pp from 24.2% to 35.3% in FY2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 3.0 pp from 12.3% to 9.3% in FY2015.

Net Income marign increased on 5.5 pp from 7.4% to 12.9% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


PNG Resources Holdings Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 44.8% in FY2015. PNG Resources Holdings Ltd showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 88.3 pp from 133% in FY2012 to 44.8% in FY2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 44.5%.PNG Resources Holdings Ltd investments to CAPEX were large: 169% of EBITDA.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (19.92%) and ROE (14.89%). ROIC jumped on 11.6 pp from 8.3% to 19.9% in FY2015. ROE increased on 5.0 pp from 9.9% to 14.9% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.6x Net Debt / EBITDA and 1.2x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.1x from -0.5x to -0.6x in FY2015. Debt dropped on 31.4% in FY2015 while cash decreased on 7.2% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Forest Products&Paper


Below you can find PNG Resources Holdings Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Forest Products&Paper industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Merdeka Mobile Group Ltd ($8163)32.4%-11.0%415.4%71.4%
KuangChi Science Ltd ($439)39.7%
Hop Fung Group Holdings Ltd ($2320)0.8%-27.0%-2.3%6.9%
Samson Paper Holdings Ltd ($731)7.4%-7.1%6.4%6.2%
Youyuan International Holdings Ltd ($2268)16.7%0.4%6.7%0.8%
 
Median (11 companies)10.0%0.4%4.5%0.7%6.2%
PNG Resources Holdings Ltd ($221)323.7%248.6%8.5%8.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Youyuan International Holdings Ltd ($2268)29.6%29.8%32.9%31.3%
Greenheart Group Ltd ($94)47.3%37.6%33.7%21.6%
Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Ltd ($1812)15.5%15.2%18.0%19.4%
China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co Ltd ($2002)16.8%16.6%16.5%19.0%
KuangChi Science Ltd ($439)20.3%17.3%
 
Median (11 companies)16.2%15.6%16.5%16.7%9.4%
PNG Resources Holdings Ltd ($221)31.9%19.4%18.6%24.2%35.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Youyuan International Holdings Ltd ($2268)27.6%27.2%30.8%29.8%
Nine Dragons Paper Holdings Ltd ($2689)17.1%16.4%17.2%18.6%
Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Ltd ($1812)11.6%11.4%13.2%14.5%
China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co Ltd ($2002)13.8%14.3%12.7%14.5%
Hop Fung Group Holdings Ltd ($2320)9.7%10.3%10.3%10.2%
 
Median (11 companies)2.6%10.3%11.2%3.8%3.7%
PNG Resources Holdings Ltd ($221)-68.2%-6.1%9.6%12.2%26.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Agroforestry Low-Carbon Holdings Ltd ($1069)0.1%0.2%11.5%26.7%
Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Ltd ($1812)28.7%14.4%18.8%16.3%
Nine Dragons Paper Holdings Ltd ($2689)34.3%16.8%15.5%8.9%
China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co Ltd ($2002)10.4%14.8%9.9%8.7%
Youyuan International Holdings Ltd ($2268)35.7%28.4%14.8%8.4%
 
Median (11 companies)32.6%14.4%9.9%8.4%2.3%
PNG Resources Holdings Ltd ($221)294.9%133.1%35.6%53.0%44.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Youyuan International Holdings Ltd ($2268)15.6%12.6%12.9%10.4%
Nine Dragons Paper Holdings Ltd ($2689)7.5%6.5%6.1%5.9%
China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co Ltd ($2002)7.5%6.8%5.1%5.5%
Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Ltd ($1812)2.4%1.9%3.3%3.0%
Samson Paper Holdings Ltd ($731)3.0%3.2%1.8%2.9%2.9%
 
Median (12 companies)2.4%1.8%2.0%-0.5%2.9%
PNG Resources Holdings Ltd ($221)-3.6%-1.2%5.8%8.3%19.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Greenheart Group Ltd ($94)7.1x26.8x
Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Ltd ($1812)9.0x10.4x9.0x10.9x
Samson Paper Holdings Ltd ($731)11.3x8.3x13.0x9.3x8.9x
China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co Ltd ($2002)6.1x5.9x6.9x6.0x
Nine Dragons Paper Holdings Ltd ($2689)5.2x4.9x5.7x5.1x
 
Median (7 companies)5.2x4.9x5.7x6.0x8.9x
PNG Resources Holdings Ltd ($221)3.5x-0.5x-0.6x