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Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd reports 65.6% Net Income decline and 9.5 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 49.9% to 40.4%

24/06/2015 • About Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292) • By InTwits

Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 40.4% in FY2015, 49.9% in FY2014, 65.2% in FY2013, -23.9% in FY2012, 69.1% in FY2011
  • Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 14.6%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 17.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 85.8 in FY2015, 141 in FY2014, 218 in FY2013, 7.6 in FY2012, 29.1 in FY2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 3.9%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 5.5x while industry average is -29.6x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue695.9822.6646.7651.4699.67.4%
Gross Profit365.6499.0474.4470.0473.20.7%
SG&A133.0
EBITDA480.6-196.8421.8325.1282.8-13.0%
Net Income326.2-311.5423.8349.0120.1-65.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash111.7133.7136.1113.0182.461.4%
Short Term Debt842.3668.1332.8618.0238.1-61.5%
Long Term Debt968.2917.81,354.61,175.61,511.028.5%
Cash flow
Capex29.17.6218.1141.385.8-39.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth17.1%18.2%-21.4%0.7%7.4%
EBITDA growth-16.6%-140.9%-314.4%-22.9%-13.0%
Gross Margin52.5%60.7%73.4%72.1%67.6%-4.5%
EBITDA Margin69.1%-23.9%65.2%49.9%40.4%-9.5%
Net Income Margin46.9%-37.9%65.5%53.6%17.2%-36.4%
SG&A, % of revenue19.0%19.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.2%0.9%33.7%21.7%12.3%-9.4%
ROIC9.2%-6.6%7.7%5.0%3.9%-1.1%
ROE12.6%-11.9%15.9%11.4%3.7%-7.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.5x3.7x5.2x5.5x0.4x

Revenue and profitability


Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd's Revenue increased on 7.4% in FY2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 43.2 pp from 32.3% to -10.9% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 4.5 pp from 72.1% to 67.6% in FY2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 36.4 pp from 53.6% to 17.2% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 12.3%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue jumped on 11.3 pp from 0.92% in FY2012 to 12.3% in FY2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 22.6%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (3.86%) and ROE (3.71%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.1 pp from 5.0% to 3.9% in FY2015. ROE decreased on 7.7 pp from 11.4% to 3.7% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 5.5x Net Debt / EBITDA and 6.2x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.4x from 5.2x to 5.5x in FY2015. Debt decreased on 2.5% in FY2015 while cash surged on 61.4% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Lodging


Below we provide Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Lodging industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Zhuhai Holdings Investment Group Ltd ($908)13.4%229.8%14.5%57.0%
Carrianna Group Holdings Co Ltd ($126)13.0%69.3%-36.2%35.4%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)48.7%24.6%23.7%17.2%
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)35.9%13.8%11.7%-10.2%
Far East Consortium International Ltd/HK ($35)6.4%111.9%9.0%25.7%
 
Median (21 companies)32.0%14.4%13.8%0.8%7.7%
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)18.2%-21.4%0.7%7.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
SJM Holdings Ltd ($880)99.7%99.7%99.7%99.7%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)97.6%97.9%98.3%98.5%
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)70.9%77.1%75.6%76.8%70.9%
Sino Hotels Holdings Ltd ($1221)69.7%71.3%70.4%68.9%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)73.2%72.9%72.1%67.4%
 
Median (15 companies)45.7%50.4%46.3%48.0%54.5%
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)52.5%60.7%73.4%72.1%67.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Emperor Entertainment Hotel Ltd ($296)38.7%44.9%46.4%46.9%43.1%
Sino Hotels Holdings Ltd ($1221)42.8%46.5%45.9%43.1%
Far East Consortium International Ltd/HK ($35)50.1%57.2%34.5%43.0%36.4%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)49.2%49.8%50.1%42.8%
Macau Legend Development Ltd ($1680)56.6%48.6%39.8%41.8%
 
Median (21 companies)23.7%26.8%24.5%25.8%39.8%
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)69.1%-23.9%65.2%49.9%40.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Macau Legend Development Ltd ($1680)1.3%5.0%24.2%73.0%
Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd ($78)4.9%7.4%7.2%60.4%
Shangri-La Asia Ltd ($69)26.5%48.5%33.1%41.2%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)3.2%5.2%11.0%28.2%
NagaCorp Ltd ($3918)20.3%25.9%17.2%24.0%
 
Median (21 companies)6.5%7.4%8.9%10.8%6.5%
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)4.2%0.9%33.7%21.7%12.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
MGM China Holdings Ltd ($2282)47.3%46.2%53.8%54.5%
Wynn Macau Ltd ($1128)66.1%53.9%42.3%29.9%
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd ($27)14.7%25.2%30.0%27.5%
Sands China Ltd ($1928)14.5%14.2%24.4%26.7%
SJM Holdings Ltd ($880)26.2%29.7%31.0%24.8%
 
Median (21 companies)5.2%7.9%5.7%3.9%9.8%
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)9.2%-6.6%7.7%5.0%3.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Regal Hotels International Holdings Ltd ($78)5.0x8.7x11.8x
Century City International Holdings Ltd ($355)-58.1x6.5x9.3x11.2x
Shangri-La Asia Ltd ($69)4.0x6.0x6.8x6.9x
Zhuhai Holdings Investment Group Ltd ($908)-3.7x-4.1x11.1x6.7x
Far East Consortium International Ltd/HK ($35)4.8x5.0x4.0x4.5x4.0x
 
Median (20 companies)0.1x0.2x0.4x0.4x2.0x
Asia Standard Hotel Group Ltd ($292)3.5x3.7x5.2x5.5x