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Asia Orient Holdings Ltd reports 776% CAPEX growth and 3.9% Revenue growth

24/06/2015 • About Asia Orient Holdings Ltd ($214) • By InTwits

Asia Orient Holdings Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 64.5% in FY2015, 112.0% in FY2014, 141.6% in FY2013, -82.0% in FY2012, 229.8% in FY2011
  • Asia Orient Holdings Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 26.2%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 6.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 1,304 in FY2015, 149 in FY2014, 223 in FY2013, 19.8 in FY2012, 0.47 in FY2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 2.7%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Asia Orient Holdings Ltd ($214) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue1941,2531,0271,3081,3593.9%
Gross Profit1568778369781,11614.0%
SG&A2091962149.1%
EBITDA446-1,0271,4551,465876-40.2%
Net Income2,791-891,364774513-33.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash3194084141,4621,244-14.9%
Short Term Debt1,7921,5274799781,09912.5%
Long Term Debt2,2702,4262,9674,4605,49923.3%
Cash flow
Capex0202231491,304775.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth288.8%545.5%-18.0%27.3%3.9%
EBITDA growth35.6%-330.4%-241.6%0.7%-40.2%
Gross Margin80.3%70.0%81.4%74.8%82.1%7.3%
EBITDA Margin229.8%-82.0%141.6%112.0%64.5%-47.5%
Net Income Margin1,438.2%-7.1%132.8%59.2%37.8%-21.4%
SG&A, % of revenue20.3%15.0%15.7%0.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.2%1.6%21.7%11.4%96.0%84.6%
ROIC3.5%-6.1%6.2%5.5%2.7%-2.8%
ROE49.9%-1.3%17.8%8.8%5.4%-3.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA8.4x2.1x2.7x6.1x3.4x

Revenue and profitability


Asia Orient Holdings Ltd's Revenue increased on 3.9% in FY2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin surged on 10.3 pp from 46.3% to 56.6% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased on 7.3 pp from 74.8% to 82.1% in FY2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.75 pp from 15.0% to 15.7% in FY2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 21.4 pp from 59.2% to 37.8% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2015 Asia Orient Holdings Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 96.0%. Asia Orient Holdings Ltd showed fast CAPEX/Revenue growth of 94.4 pp from 1.6% in FY2012 to 96.0% in FY2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 43.0%.The company maintained rich investment policy and has spent a lot to CAPEX (149% of EBITDA).

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (2.70%) and ROE (5.38%). ROIC decreased on 2.8 pp from 5.5% to 2.7% in FY2015. ROE decreased on 3.4 pp from 8.8% to 5.4% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 6.1x Net Debt / EBITDA and 7.5x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 3.4x from 2.7x to 6.1x in FY2015. Debt surged on 21.4% in FY2015 while cash dropped on 14.9% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below you can find Asia Orient Holdings Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Real Estate industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Common Splendor International Health Industry Group Ltd ($286)-0.9%-0.5%1.9%4,120.2%
Landsea Green Properties Co Ltd ($106)-91.1%-35.1%-51.2%3,097.3%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)-0.1%-27.5%-21.9%3,008.3%
Rivera Holdings Ltd ($281)222.2%197.1%-89.9%2,067.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-94.0%-73.9%-49.8%1,922.5%
 
Median (172 companies)15.0%15.2%13.1%5.0%2.9%
Asia Orient Holdings Ltd ($214)545.5%-18.0%27.3%3.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)37.4%39.3%98.2%
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)29.8%22.8%92.9%95.2%
 
Median (154 companies)43.4%41.9%40.0%38.9%36.9%
Asia Orient Holdings Ltd ($214)80.3%70.0%81.4%74.8%82.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)24.0%-125.5%-2,995.7%1,685.3%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)73.6%105.3%133.1%143.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-5.9%-382.7%-1,024.0%126.8%
 
Median (172 companies)35.2%28.9%27.9%26.4%20.4%
Asia Orient Holdings Ltd ($214)229.8%-82.0%141.6%112.0%64.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)25.6%56.2%4,202.4%1,304.7%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)5.9%24.1%1,091.1%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%
Liu Chong Hing Investment Ltd ($194)9.4%18.5%6.1%269.7%
 
Median (173 companies)6.0%5.6%6.1%4.5%1.2%
Asia Orient Holdings Ltd ($214)0.2%1.6%21.7%11.4%96.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Rykadan Capital Ltd ($2288)17.2%-1.8%-2.6%48.4%-3.7%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)0.2%-0.2%-1.1%22.1%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)39.0%19.2%17.6%18.7%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%
Hong Kong Ferry Holdings Co Ltd ($50)4.7%3.8%0.6%18.0%
 
Median (176 companies)4.6%4.0%3.8%3.8%1.7%
Asia Orient Holdings Ltd ($214)3.5%-6.1%6.2%5.5%2.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Properties Group Ltd ($1838)16.9x43.0x21.4x1,523.0x
SRE Group Ltd ($1207)10.6x14.1x24.7x1,184.6x
Cheuk Nang Holdings Ltd ($131)53.2x177.3x901.7x
Tian An China Investment Co Ltd ($28)2.4x13.2x15.1x486.6x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x
 
Median (139 companies)2.1x2.4x2.8x3.0x0.5x
Asia Orient Holdings Ltd ($214)8.4x2.1x2.7x6.1x