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Vantage International Holdings Ltd revenue decline accelerated to 42.2% in FY2015 vs. 2.8% a year earliner

19/06/2015 • About Vantage International Holdings Ltd ($15) • By InTwits

Vantage International Holdings Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 4.7% in FY2015, 3.4% in FY2014, 8.3% in FY2013, 4.3% in FY2012, 6.4% in FY2011
  • Vantage International Holdings Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.7%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 12.2 in FY2015, 21.7 in FY2014, 55.4 in FY2013, 27.8 in FY2012, 249 in FY2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 2.9%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Vantage International Holdings Ltd ($15) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue2,6002,9573,4773,3801,952-42.2%
Gross Profit208179202185136-26.7%
SG&A52
EBITDA16712828911592-19.9%
Net Income28423431911513516.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash28435936640356840.9%
Short Term Debt23144254459185544.8%
Long Term Debt41044212318123-87.1%
Cash flow
Capex24928552212-43.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth26.6%13.7%17.6%-2.8%-42.2%
EBITDA growth40.1%-23.2%125.7%-60.3%-19.9%
Gross Margin8.0%6.0%5.8%5.5%7.0%1.5%
EBITDA Margin6.4%4.3%8.3%3.4%4.7%1.3%
Net Income Margin10.9%7.9%9.2%3.4%6.9%3.5%
SG&A, % of revenue2.6%2.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue9.6%0.9%1.6%0.6%0.6%-0.0%
ROIC11.1%6.5%13.2%4.3%2.9%-1.4%
ROE37.7%22.4%23.6%6.7%6.7%0.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.1x4.1x1.0x3.2x3.4x0.2x

Revenue and profitability


Vantage International Holdings Ltd's Revenue dropped on 42.2% in FY2015. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.3 pp from 3.4% to 4.7% in FY2015.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 1.5 pp from 5.5% to 7.0% in FY2015.

Net Income marign increased on 3.5 pp from 3.4% to 6.9% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2015 Vantage International Holdings Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 0.62%. Vantage International Holdings Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2012 to FY2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.95%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (2.91%) and ROE (6.70%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.4 pp from 4.3% to 2.9% in FY2015. ROE showed almost no change in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 3.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and 9.6x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.2x from 3.2x to 3.4x in FY2015. Debt jumped on 13.8% in FY2015 while cash jumped on 40.9% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Engineering&Construction


Below we provide Vantage International Holdings Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Engineering&Construction industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Richly Field China Development Ltd ($313)-45.0%464.2%
Junefield Department Store Group Ltd ($758)22.9%-20.3%-24.9%126.6%
CNQC International Holdings Ltd ($1240)401.9%21.6%91.0%103.7%
Wison Engineering Services Co Ltd ($2236)1.2%-2.9%-24.9%90.3%
China Resources and Transportation Group Ltd ($269)939.8%3,196.3%87.9%-41.6%
 
Median (39 companies)9.2%9.2%21.3%11.7%8.7%
Vantage International Holdings Ltd ($15)13.7%17.6%-2.8%-42.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huayu Expressway Group Ltd ($1823)2.2%43.6%65.6%64.0%
HNA Infrastructure Company Ltd ($357)61.6%66.4%62.1%62.4%
Freetech Road Recycling Technology Holdings Ltd ($6888)50.1%54.1%54.3%41.5%
Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd ($1271)20.4%11.0%18.1%35.7%19.7%
China Saite Group Co Ltd ($153)29.4%32.1%33.7%29.8%
 
Median (34 companies)11.5%11.7%11.9%12.4%6.2%
Vantage International Holdings Ltd ($15)8.0%6.0%5.8%5.5%7.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Huayu Expressway Group Ltd ($1823)-0.5%46.2%73.8%77.1%
HNA Infrastructure Company Ltd ($357)60.0%62.8%63.7%62.8%
Beijing Capital International Airport Co Ltd ($694)55.1%53.4%52.9%50.3%
Cheung Kong Infrastructure Holdings Ltd ($1038)39.8%31.2%20.6%36.2%
Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd ($1271)17.5%10.0%15.8%31.0%19.0%
 
Median (40 companies)9.2%8.7%6.9%6.2%2.7%
Vantage International Holdings Ltd ($15)6.4%4.3%8.3%3.4%4.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
HNA Infrastructure Company Ltd ($357)43.3%36.8%5.7%85.4%
PYI Corp Ltd ($498)6.6%3.7%4.2%24.5%13.1%
Shun Cheong Holdings ($650)7.2%16.4%8.0%23.9%
Freetech Road Recycling Technology Holdings Ltd ($6888)6.1%4.2%7.7%20.2%
KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd ($3816)6.5%4.6%11.5%14.9%
 
Median (40 companies)4.4%2.5%3.1%2.2%2.7%
Vantage International Holdings Ltd ($15)9.6%0.9%1.6%0.6%0.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Chun Sing Engineering Holdings Ltd ($2277)98.3%54.9%
CNQC International Holdings Ltd ($1240)23.1%12.2%22.3%40.4%
China Saite Group Co Ltd ($153)46.3%64.0%53.2%35.3%
Excel Development Holdings Ltd ($1372)33.1%27.2%16.4%8.6%
China Machinery Engineering Corp ($1829)35.5%24.9%20.4%16.0%
 
Median (41 companies)6.9%5.2%5.0%3.4%0.3%
Vantage International Holdings Ltd ($15)11.1%6.5%13.2%4.3%2.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Resources and Transportation Group Ltd ($269)66.7x29.7x
CNC Holdings Ltd ($8356)-0.7x22.0x21.9x24.3x
Deson Development International Holdings ($262)3.1x3.8x4.9x13.7x
Chun Wo Development Holdings Ltd ($711)14.3x8.1x12.6x
Hsin Chong Construction Group Ltd ($404)4.3x1.8x8.0x10.2x
 
Median (33 companies)0.7x1.7x3.1x2.6x12.5x
Vantage International Holdings Ltd ($15)2.1x4.1x1.0x3.2x3.4x