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Oriental Press Group reports 32.7% Net Income decline and 7.8% Revenue decline

19/06/2015 • About Oriental Press Group ($18) • By InTwits

Oriental Press Group reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Oriental Press Group is a company in decline: FY2015 revenue growth was -7.8%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -3.3%
  • Oriental Press Group has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.5%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 5.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 30.0 in FY2015, 27.9 in FY2014, 81.3 in FY2013, 17.3 in FY2012, 21.9 in FY2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 4.0%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Oriental Press Group ($18) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue1,5891,5051,4571,4361,325-7.8%
EBITDA327143187210184-12.3%
Net Income2911191839061-32.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,9631,6301,6021,7421,653-5.1%
Short Term Debt1010998-5.4%
Long Term Debt1124635.0%
Cash flow
Capex22178128307.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth1.4%-5.3%-3.2%-1.4%-7.8%
EBITDA growth-6.6%-56.2%30.3%12.6%-12.3%
EBITDA Margin20.6%9.5%12.8%14.6%13.9%-0.7%
Net Income Margin18.3%7.9%12.5%6.3%4.6%-1.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.4%1.2%5.6%1.9%2.3%0.3%
ROIC8.3%2.5%4.0%4.5%4.0%-0.5%
ROE9.3%3.9%6.3%3.1%2.2%-0.9%
Net Debt/EBITDA-6.0x-11.3x-8.5x-8.2x-8.9x-0.7x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 7.8% in FY2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin surged on 10.3 pp from 46.3% to 56.6% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased slightly on 1.7 pp from 6.3% to 4.6% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 2.3% in FY2015. CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 1.1 pp from 1.2% in FY2012 to 2.3% in FY2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.3%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (3.96%) and ROE (2.18%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.52 pp from 4.5% to 4.0% in FY2015. ROE decreased slightly on 0.90 pp from 3.1% to 2.2% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -8.9x and Debt / EBITDA is 0.1x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.7x from -8.2x to -8.9x in FY2015. Debt increased on 8.3% in FY2015 while cash decreased on 5.1% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Media


Below we provide Oriental Press Group benchmarking against other companies in Media industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
CMMB Vision Holdings Ltd ($471)168.1%27.8%
Culturecom Holdings Ltd ($343)4.7%-24.2%-7.7%16.4%
Sing Pao Media Enterprises Ltd ($8010)20.7%15.3%26.9%9.7%
Focus Media Network Ltd ($8112)23.7%-10.6%34.6%5.6%
Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Ltd ($423)15.0%5.6%2.7%3.1%
 
Median (19 companies)9.9%4.5%-1.8%-4.3%-9.5%
Oriental Press Group ($18)-5.3%-3.2%-1.4%-7.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
I-CABLE Communications Ltd ($1097)95.6%94.8%94.7%94.1%
Television Broadcasts Ltd ($511)65.3%62.9%60.9%59.0%
Modern Media Holdings ($72)57.1%57.5%55.8%55.6%
One Media Group Ltd ($426)52.0%57.3%56.7%54.5%52.7%
Focus Media Network Ltd ($8112)81.0%68.0%67.2%50.8%
 
Median (17 companies)45.7%38.5%39.5%36.1%38.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
SCMP Group Ltd ($583)26.9%23.5%20.5%218.1%
Television Broadcasts Ltd ($511)45.2%43.2%42.3%37.3%
Phoenix Satellite Television Holdings Ltd ($2008)29.8%30.1%31.1%24.6%
One Media Group Ltd ($426)14.4%18.7%23.0%22.8%15.2%
Media Chinese International Ltd ($685)20.0%20.0%18.3%18.1%16.5%
 
Median (19 companies)13.3%12.9%11.5%9.8%15.2%
Oriental Press Group ($18)20.6%9.5%12.8%14.6%13.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
SCMP Group Ltd ($583)3.6%7.0%5.3%52.2%
Culturecom Holdings Ltd ($343)12.5%10.2%38.6%24.5%
Phoenix Satellite Television Holdings Ltd ($2008)14.6%12.0%8.5%11.4%
I-CABLE Communications Ltd ($1097)10.6%10.1%7.6%11.3%
V1 Group Ltd ($82)1.4%1.9%3.2%10.1%
 
Median (19 companies)4.6%3.9%5.2%2.9%1.5%
Oriental Press Group ($18)1.4%1.2%5.6%1.9%2.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Media Chinese International Ltd ($685)18.7%18.6%17.8%18.4%15.6%
One Media Group Ltd ($426)17.1%25.6%21.8%16.0%8.9%
Television Broadcasts Ltd ($511)26.5%23.8%22.4%15.1%
Phoenix Satellite Television Holdings Ltd ($2008)21.5%18.5%18.4%11.7%
Modern Media Holdings ($72)23.8%20.6%10.4%9.3%
 
Median (19 companies)9.4%5.6%5.1%2.6%8.9%
Oriental Press Group ($18)8.3%2.5%4.0%4.5%4.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tom Group Ltd ($2383)8.1x
Media Chinese International Ltd ($685)-1.1x-1.4x0.8x0.6x0.2x
I-CABLE Communications Ltd ($1097)-2.0x-4.0x-0.8x0.2x
Modern Media Holdings ($72)-0.9x-0.8x-0.9x0.1x
Next Media Ltd ($282)0.0x0.4x0.4x-0.2x-0.3x
 
Median (13 companies)-1.3x-1.4x-1.1x-1.1x0.2x
Oriental Press Group ($18)-6.0x-11.3x-8.5x-8.2x-8.9x