Trending stocks

Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd Net Income dropped on 1,468% in 2015 while EBITDA Margin increased on 7.1 pp from -14.1% to -6.9%

19/06/2015 • About Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd ($2898) • By InTwits

Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: FY2015 ROIC is -11.1%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -6.9%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -6.9% in FY2015, -14.1% in FY2014, 0.7% in FY2013, 21.3% in FY2012, 24.4% in FY2011
  • Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 6.2%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 4.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 8.7 in FY2015, 11.7 in FY2014, 44.0 in FY2013, 15.2 in FY2012, 12.3 in FY2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -11.1%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd ($2898) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue395.0344.3271.2286.5256.4-10.5%
Gross Profit156.1154.3115.7112.399.5-11.5%
SG&A138.3170.9136.6-20.1%
EBITDA96.273.21.8-40.3-17.7-56.0%
Net Income59.536.06.414.9-203.9-1,467.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash118.287.8134.4100.481.9-18.4%
Short Term Debt16.112.011.90.30.2-33.7%
Long Term Debt0.50.70.40.20.0-100.0%
Cash flow
Capex12.315.244.011.78.7-25.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth146.7%-12.8%-21.2%5.6%-10.5%
EBITDA growth-2,477.4%-23.9%-97.5%-2,301.0%-56.0%
Gross Margin39.5%44.8%42.7%39.2%38.8%-0.4%
EBITDA Margin24.4%21.3%0.7%-14.1%-6.9%7.1%
Net Income Margin15.1%10.5%2.4%5.2%-79.5%-84.7%
SG&A, % of revenue51.0%59.6%53.3%-6.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.1%4.4%16.2%4.1%3.4%-0.7%
ROIC22.6%13.7%-3.4%-13.2%-11.1%2.1%
ROE17.5%9.0%1.5%3.4%-59.4%-62.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.1x-1.0x-66.7x0.0x

Revenue and profitability


Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd's Revenue dropped on 10.5% in FY2015. Revenue decline happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin increased on 7.1 pp from -14.1% to -6.9% in FY2015.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in FY2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 6.4 pp from 59.6% to 53.3% in FY2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 84.7 pp from 5.2% to -79.5% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 3.4% in FY2015. The company showed small CAPEX/Revenue decline of 1.0 pp from 4.4% in FY2012 to 3.4% in FY2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 7.9%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-11.13%) and ROE (-59.41%). ROIC increased on 2.1 pp from -13.2% to -11.1% in FY2015. ROE dropped on 62.8 pp from 3.4% to -59.4% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -3.1x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in FY2015. Debt dropped on 60.1% in FY2015 while cash dropped on 18.4% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Beverages


Below we provide Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Beverages industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Tontine Wines Group Ltd ($389)18.0%-20.7%-73.3%62.7%
Silver base Group Holdings Ltd ($886)68.1%34.1%-86.9%25.4%
Besunyen Holdings Co Ltd ($926)-3.9%-43.5%2.6%15.7%
Vitasoy International Holdings Ltd ($345)10.5%11.6%9.0%10.9%
China Tianyi Holdings Ltd ($756)-5.0%43.0%-19.2%8.3%
 
Median (15 companies)17.6%0.4%-8.1%2.0%
Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd ($2898)-12.8%-21.2%5.6%-10.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Besunyen Holdings Co Ltd ($926)87.8%82.5%83.3%84.3%
Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115)78.8%81.4%73.2%62.7%
Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd ($6868)61.6%64.1%61.2%62.2%
Vitasoy International Holdings Ltd ($345)48.1%47.4%47.5%48.4%
San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Ltd ($236)43.4%42.8%42.2%42.8%
 
Median (15 companies)46.1%44.5%34.7%34.7%
Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd ($2898)39.5%44.8%42.7%39.2%38.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115)72.2%73.3%73.2%69.2%
China Tianyi Holdings Ltd ($756)17.7%28.4%26.1%29.7%
Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd ($6868)27.4%27.5%25.3%26.1%
Yantai North Andre Juice Co ($2218)16.1%14.1%11.9%15.5%
China Haisheng Juice Holdings Co Ltd ($359)15.2%5.8%6.6%14.9%
 
Median (15 companies)16.1%15.2%10.5%11.3%
Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd ($2898)24.4%21.3%0.7%-14.1%-6.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Culiangwang Beverages Holdings Ltd ($904)39.1%26.8%52.2%81.8%
China Tianyi Holdings Ltd ($756)7.5%5.8%6.2%33.6%
China Tontine Wines Group Ltd ($389)5.3%15.3%129.4%16.7%
China Haisheng Juice Holdings Co Ltd ($359)3.6%4.8%6.3%15.3%
Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd ($6868)11.2%18.3%8.8%12.0%
 
Median (15 companies)7.5%11.1%6.5%8.8%
Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd ($2898)3.1%4.4%16.2%4.1%3.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Vitasoy International Holdings Ltd ($345)23.8%20.8%20.6%21.7%
Tenfu Cayman Holdings Co Ltd ($6868)26.1%19.4%17.9%15.7%
Tibet 5100 Water Resources Holdings Ltd ($1115)41.0%23.3%20.3%14.9%
Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd ($168)16.4%13.4%12.0%12.2%
China Tianyi Holdings Ltd ($756)7.3%12.0%6.1%6.7%
 
Median (15 companies)10.3%9.6%3.7%3.2%
Longrun Tea Group Co Ltd ($2898)22.6%13.7%-3.4%-13.2%-11.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sino Distillery Group Ltd ($39)4.6x17.7x
China Haisheng Juice Holdings Co Ltd ($359)3.0x11.9x16.2x8.9x
China Huiyuan Juice Group Ltd ($1886)8.6x5.4x4.3x7.9x
Yantai North Andre Juice Co ($2218)2.6x2.3x2.4x2.2x
San Miguel Brewery Hong Kong Ltd ($236)2.0x1.0x
 
Median (11 companies)-0.4x-0.7x1.9x0.9x