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Tern Properties Co Ltd reports 24.0% EBITDA growth and 8.6 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 78.4% to 86.9%

16/06/2015 • About Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277) • By InTwits

Tern Properties Co Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Tern Properties Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 17.2%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 44.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 1.1 in FY2015, 1.9 in FY2014, 30.5 in FY2013, 0.14 in FY2012, 30.2 in FY2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 2.2%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue68.20071.64579.27788.96999.48011.8%
Gross Profit66.08269.28277.98787.52798.17812.2%
SG&A30.386
EBITDA56.52873.77189.45469.71086.45724.0%
Net Income411.956394.744702.471250.846266.7426.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash32.26161.86338.44619.89046.087131.7%
Short Term Debt8.74667.46012.91025.61729.38714.7%
Long Term Debt388.123238.326184.503116.12081.000-30.2%
Cash flow
Capex30.1650.14130.5421.8911.149-39.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth3.1%5.1%10.7%12.2%11.8%
EBITDA growth-7.8%30.5%21.3%-22.1%24.0%
Gross Margin96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%0.3%
EBITDA Margin82.9%103.0%112.8%78.4%86.9%8.6%
Net Income Margin604.0%551.0%886.1%281.9%268.1%-13.8%
SG&A, % of revenue30.5%30.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue44.2%0.2%38.5%2.1%1.2%-1.0%
ROIC2.2%2.6%2.7%1.9%2.2%0.4%
ROE20.3%16.4%23.8%7.4%7.3%-0.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA6.5x3.3x1.8x1.7x0.7x-1.0x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 11.8% in FY2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin jumped on 30.8 pp from -55.5% to -24.7% in 2015.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in FY2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 13.8 pp from 282% to 268% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2015 Tern Properties Co Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.2%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 0.96 pp from 0.20% in FY2012 to 1.2% in FY2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 13.9%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (2.22%) and ROE (7.33%). ROIC showed almost no change in FY2015. ROE showed almost no change in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 0.7x and Debt / EBITDA is 1.3x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1.0x from 1.7x to 0.7x in FY2015. Debt dropped on 22.1% in FY2015 while cash surged on 132% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below you can find Tern Properties Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Real Estate industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Common Splendor International Health Industry Group Ltd ($286)-0.9%-0.5%1.9%4,120.2%
Landsea Green Properties Co Ltd ($106)-91.1%-35.1%-51.2%3,097.3%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)-0.1%-27.5%-21.9%3,008.3%
Rivera Holdings Ltd ($281)222.2%197.1%-89.9%2,067.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-94.0%-73.9%-49.8%1,922.5%
 
Median (172 companies)14.1%15.6%13.1%5.0%0.4%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)5.1%10.7%12.2%11.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
GR Properties Ltd ($108)37.4%39.3%98.2%
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)71.1%79.0%95.2%97.9%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)91.5%94.4%96.6%96.7%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)29.8%22.8%92.9%95.2%
Allied Properties HK Ltd ($56)94.3%95.0%94.3%93.5%
 
Median (154 companies)43.4%41.9%40.0%38.9%27.3%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.9%96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)24.0%-125.5%-2,995.7%1,685.3%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)33.2%-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)340.9%356.2%91.6%195.5%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)73.6%105.3%133.1%143.2%
Ceneric Holdings Ltd ($542)-5.9%-382.7%-1,024.0%126.8%
 
Median (172 companies)35.2%28.9%27.9%26.4%16.0%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)82.9%103.0%112.8%78.4%86.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%0.0%18.0%27,965.5%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)25.6%56.2%4,202.4%1,304.7%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)5.9%24.1%1,091.1%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)6.5%2.9%323.1%351.2%
Liu Chong Hing Investment Ltd ($194)9.4%18.5%6.1%269.7%
 
Median (173 companies)5.9%5.6%6.1%4.7%1.6%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)44.2%0.2%38.5%2.1%1.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Rykadan Capital Ltd ($2288)17.2%-1.8%-2.6%48.4%-3.7%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)0.2%-0.2%-1.1%22.1%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)39.0%19.2%17.6%18.7%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)18.0%18.4%15.1%18.5%
Hong Kong Ferry Holdings Co Ltd ($50)4.7%3.8%0.6%18.0%
 
Median (176 companies)4.6%4.0%3.9%3.8%0.9%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)2.2%2.6%2.7%1.9%2.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Properties Group Ltd ($1838)16.9x43.0x21.4x1,523.0x
SRE Group Ltd ($1207)10.6x14.1x24.7x1,184.6x
Cheuk Nang Holdings Ltd ($131)53.2x177.3x901.7x
Tian An China Investment Co Ltd ($28)2.4x13.2x15.1x486.6x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)3.7x6.2x49.3x
 
Median (139 companies)2.1x2.3x2.8x3.0x-18.9x
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)6.5x3.3x1.8x1.7x0.7x