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Sincere Watch Hong Kong Ltd EBITDA dropped on 39.4% in 2015 and Revenue decreased on 9.0%

16/06/2015 • About Sincere Watch Hong Kong Ltd ($444) • By InTwits

Sincere Watch Hong Kong Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Sincere Watch Hong Kong Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 10.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 10.5 in FY2015, 28.5 in FY2014, 27.0 in FY2013, 21.3 in FY2012, 7.7 in FY2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 5.5%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Sincere Watch Hong Kong Ltd ($444) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue8221,115749648590-9.0%
Gross Profit281397298251226-10.2%
SG&A12012787-31.6%
EBITDA13520315210061-39.4%
Net Income791391195240-22.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash29341433331646045.6%
Short Term Debt00000
Long Term Debt00000
Cash flow
Capex821272811-63.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth85.0%35.7%-32.8%-13.5%-9.0%
EBITDA growth300.1%50.2%-25.2%-34.0%-39.4%
Gross Margin34.2%35.6%39.7%38.8%38.3%-0.5%
EBITDA Margin16.4%18.2%20.2%15.4%10.3%-5.2%
Net Income Margin9.6%12.5%15.9%8.0%6.8%-1.2%
SG&A, % of revenue16.0%19.5%14.7%-4.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.9%1.9%3.6%4.4%1.8%-2.6%
ROIC46.4%51.7%27.7%14.6%5.5%-9.1%
ROE27.6%36.7%24.0%9.2%5.8%-3.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA-2.2x-2.0x-2.2x-3.2x-7.6x-4.4x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 9.0% in FY2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.4 pp from 23.8% to 26.2% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 0.51 pp from 38.8% to 38.3% in FY2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 4.9 pp from 19.5% to 14.7% in FY2015.

Net Income marign decreased slightly on 1.2 pp from 8.0% to 6.8% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 1.8% in FY2015. CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2012 to FY2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.3%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (5.51%) and ROE (5.85%). ROIC decreased on 9.1 pp from 14.6% to 5.5% in FY2015. ROE decreased on 3.4 pp from 9.2% to 5.8% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash surged on 45.6% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Distribution/Wholesale


Below you can find Sincere Watch Hong Kong Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Distribution/Wholesale industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)504.6%3,871.0%
China LNG Group Ltd ($931)-84.5%694.8%13.6%1,341.3%
Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd ($851)571.1%-86.1%756.9%567.2%
China Infrastructure Investment Ltd ($600)346.9%412.1%-50.9%557.9%
China-Hongkong Photo Products Holdings Ltd ($1123)2.5%24.9%9.0%81.2%
 
Median (37 companies)15.9%2.6%2.1%1.4%107.3%
Sincere Watch Hong Kong Ltd ($444)35.7%-32.8%-13.5%-9.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Goldin Financial Holdings Ltd ($530)67.0%75.3%71.7%74.8%
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)69.8%
YGM Trading Ltd ($375)67.1%66.5%67.4%64.0%
Goldlion Holdings Ltd ($533)57.3%56.4%54.1%55.7%
E.Bon Holdings Ltd ($599)36.6%40.3%37.4%35.8%
 
Median (33 companies)15.5%17.3%17.1%18.0%16.1%
Sincere Watch Hong Kong Ltd ($444)34.2%35.6%39.7%38.8%38.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Goldin Financial Holdings Ltd ($530)-134.6%163.7%613.4%285.7%
China LNG Group Ltd ($931)195.2%95.1%76.4%97.9%
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)-2,113.8%-803.1%57.7%
China Infrastructure Investment Ltd ($600)-1,171.2%-274.9%120.0%52.0%
GA Holdings Ltd ($8126)-4.5%8.0%19.7%22.9%
 
Median (37 companies)2.2%2.1%1.9%4.5%-3.0%
Sincere Watch Hong Kong Ltd ($444)16.4%18.2%20.2%15.4%10.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
C Y Foundation Group Ltd ($1182)9.8%2.5%5.2%82.2%9.3%
Inspur International Ltd ($596)0.9%8.4%12.2%33.6%
SIS International Holdings ($529)0.2%13.4%31.8%14.8%
HKC International Holdings Ltd ($248)0.9%5.5%0.8%11.4%
Tan Chong International Ltd ($693)7.6%6.0%7.6%7.0%
 
Median (36 companies)1.5%1.3%1.7%1.6%9.3%
Sincere Watch Hong Kong Ltd ($444)0.9%1.9%3.6%4.4%1.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China LNG Group Ltd ($931)2.2%8.4%7.4%87.0%
Yestar International Holdings Co Ltd ($2393)29.4%28.8%24.1%26.2%
Powerwell Pacific Holdings Ltd ($8265)27.8%6.4%6.4%23.6%
Forefront Group Ltd ($885)-37.7%-4.9%-11.0%19.5%
GA Holdings Ltd ($8126)-6.1%3.3%12.0%13.5%
 
Median (38 companies)2.2%2.1%0.9%3.1%-6.6%
Sincere Watch Hong Kong Ltd ($444)46.4%51.7%27.7%14.6%5.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sheng Yuan Holdings Ltd ($851)19.3x
Takson Holdings Ltd ($918)11.5x11.7x
Huiyin Household Appliances Holdings Co Ltd ($1280)10.1x10.9x
Pacific Andes International Holdings Ltd ($1174)4.9x5.1x9.1x7.8x
SIS International Holdings ($529)-62.1x-1.8x7.0x7.2x
 
Median (26 companies)-0.2x-0.1x-0.5x0.3x6.1x
Sincere Watch Hong Kong Ltd ($444)-2.2x-2.0x-2.2x-3.2x-7.6x