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Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd reports 25.0% Net Income decline and 17.0% Revenue decline

05/06/2015 • About Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd ($1929) • By InTwits

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 5.5%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 2,003 in FY2015, 1,189 in FY2014, 917 in FY2013, 867 in FY2012, 769 in FY2011
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 12.3%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 0.9x while industry average is -0.7x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd ($1929) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue35,04356,57157,43477,40764,277-17.0%
Gross Profit9,92816,44816,28321,15219,072-9.8%
SG&A5,3138,0359,18112,20712,3441.1%
EBITDA4,8698,8187,7889,7827,680-21.5%
Net Income3,5386,3415,5057,2725,456-25.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash5,6059,9888,3059,4678,477-10.5%
Short Term Debt6,81311,3815,83617,08615,089-11.7%
Long Term Debt03,426000
Cash flow
Capex7698679171,1892,00368.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth52.8%61.4%1.5%34.8%-17.0%
EBITDA growth66.8%81.1%-11.7%25.6%-21.5%
Gross Margin28.3%29.1%28.4%27.3%29.7%2.3%
EBITDA Margin13.9%15.6%13.6%12.6%11.9%-0.7%
Net Income Margin10.1%11.2%9.6%9.4%8.5%-0.9%
SG&A, % of revenue15.2%14.2%16.0%15.8%19.2%3.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.2%1.5%1.6%1.5%3.1%1.6%
ROIC31.1%26.4%17.1%18.8%12.3%-6.5%
ROE36.4%31.5%17.8%20.7%14.2%-6.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.2x0.5x-0.3x0.8x0.9x0.1x

Revenue and profitability


Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd's Revenue dropped on 17.0% in FY2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.6 pp from 51.7% to 53.3% in FY2015.

Gross Margin increased on 2.3 pp from 27.3% to 29.7% in FY2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 3.4 pp from 15.8% to 19.2% in FY2015.

Net Income marign decreased slightly on 0.91 pp from 9.4% to 8.5% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 3.1% in FY2015. Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd showed small growth in CAPEX/Revenue of 1.6 pp from 1.5% in FY2012 to 3.1% in FY2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.1%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (12.30%) and ROE (14.24%). ROIC decreased on 6.5 pp from 18.8% to 12.3% in FY2015. ROE decreased on 6.5 pp from 20.7% to 14.2% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 0.9x Net Debt / EBITDA and 2.0x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA increased on 0.1x from 0.8x to 0.9x in FY2015. Debt dropped on 11.7% in FY2015 while cash dropped on 10.5% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Retail


Below we provide Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Retail industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Household Holdings Ltd ($692)-87.0%-32.8%5,357.9%76.2%
Ming Fung Jewellery Group Ltd ($860)21.9%3.3%-14.9%54.3%
Merry Garden Holdings Ltd ($1237)53.9%37.1%12.8%47.6%
Luk Fook Holdings International Ltd ($590)50.2%47.2%12.6%43.3%
NewOcean Energy Holdings Ltd ($342)19.3%23.1%15.9%36.0%
 
Median (108 companies)20.7%9.9%5.9%2.7%1.3%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd ($1929)61.4%1.5%34.8%-17.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Culture Landmark Investment Ltd ($674)77.5%91.1%99.4%99.5%
Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Ltd ($919)97.3%97.4%95.9%96.8%
Vongroup Ltd ($318)95.1%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)80.6%86.5%89.3%90.9%
Embry Holdings Ltd ($1388)82.3%81.2%80.4%82.3%
 
Median (97 companies)40.8%38.0%39.9%39.5%54.5%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd ($1929)28.3%29.1%28.4%27.3%29.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Maoye International Holdings Ltd ($848)45.5%47.4%46.3%73.2%
China Dongxiang Group Co Ltd ($3818)5.6%6.0%5.6%58.3%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)47.8%51.6%56.9%54.4%
Lifestyle International Holdings Ltd ($1212)49.6%47.5%47.0%44.7%
Golden Eagle Retail Group Ltd ($3308)52.1%48.5%47.3%42.8%
 
Median (108 companies)13.2%9.7%7.1%8.3%8.1%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd ($1929)13.9%15.6%13.6%12.6%11.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Intime Retail Group Co Ltd ($1833)58.4%28.3%55.4%37.0%
Future Bright Holdings Ltd ($703)6.2%2.6%3.7%36.8%
Sage International Group Ltd ($8082)20.4%236.6%28.2%35.4%
Maoye International Holdings Ltd ($848)30.9%32.8%24.1%31.5%
Tsui Wah Holdings Ltd ($1314)5.2%8.3%9.3%30.5%
 
Median (108 companies)3.9%4.1%3.6%3.5%2.5%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd ($1929)2.2%1.5%1.6%1.5%3.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Ltd ($919)48.1%50.7%-4.6%81.3%
Starbucks Corp ($4337)36.4%36.4%-6.0%52.8%
Sa Sa International Holdings Ltd ($178)45.7%53.5%52.7%49.0%
Coach Inc ($6388)82.0%82.3%68.7%45.0%
Nanjing Sinolife United Co Ltd ($3332)57.4%67.3%68.1%32.2%
 
Median (108 companies)16.6%11.8%8.1%8.2%8.7%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd ($1929)31.1%26.4%17.1%18.8%12.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sparkle Roll Group Ltd ($970)-0.8x0.6x4.0x9.3x
China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings Ltd ($3669)3.3x3.4x4.7x5.5x
Zhongsheng Group Holdings Ltd ($881)2.2x4.6x4.5x5.3x
NewOcean Energy Holdings Ltd ($342)35.2x6.2x6.1x5.3x
Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Ltd ($162)6.5x2.0x2.5x4.8x
 
Median (84 companies)-0.8x-0.6x-0.9x-0.3x-0.7x
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd ($1929)0.2x0.5x-0.3x0.8x0.9x