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Silver Wheaton Corp Net Income surged on 220% in 2016 while EBITDA Margin decreased on 6.1 pp from 65.8% to 59.7%

21.03.2017 • About Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW) • By InTwits

Silver Wheaton Corp reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 59.7% in 2016 vs. 65.8% in 2015 vs. 82.6% in 2012
  • Silver Wheaton Corp has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 150.9%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 24.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 805 in 2016, 1,811 in 2015, 140 in 2014, 2,026 in 2013, 641 in 2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 3.8%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.0x while industry average is 0.8x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue849.6706.5620.2648.7891.637.4%
Gross Profit732.1567.1308.9259.9328.426.4%
SG&A24.426.929.726.129.412.7%
EBITDA701.5532.1431.5426.9532.624.8%
Net Income586.0375.5199.8-162.0195.1
Balance Sheet
Cash778.295.8308.1103.3124.320.3%
Short Term Debt28.60.00.00.00.0
Long Term Debt21.5998.1998.51,466.01,193.0-18.6%
Cash flow
Capex641.42,026.0139.51,811.5805.1-55.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth16.4%-16.8%-12.2%4.6%37.4%
EBITDA growth13.4%-24.2%-18.9%-1.1%24.8%
Gross Margin86.2%80.3%49.8%40.1%36.8%-3.2%
EBITDA Margin82.6%75.3%69.6%65.8%59.7%-6.1%
Net Income Margin69.0%53.2%32.2%-25.0%21.9%46.9%
SG&A, % of revenue2.9%3.8%4.8%4.0%3.3%-0.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue75.5%286.8%22.5%279.2%90.3%-188.9%
ROIC20.4%10.3%6.0%4.4%3.8%-0.6%
ROE20.3%11.6%5.7%-4.2%4.3%8.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.0x1.7x1.6x3.2x2.0x-1.2x


Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $16Q116Q216Q316Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue18821223325843.7%29.1%52.2%28.9%
EBITDA12014216310736.7%30.8%63.9%-18.1%
Net Income41608311-17.1%12.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash87124126124-1.4%73.2%55.9%20.3%
Short Term Debt0000
Long Term Debt1,3717061,3451,19371.4%-1.3%107.9%-18.6%
Ratios
Gross Margin31.7%36.3%42.2%36.1%-17.3%-2.2%2.2%0.5%
EBITDA Margin 64.1% 67.1% 70.0% 41.3%-3.3%0.9%5.0%-23.8%
Net Income Margin 21.9% 28.4% 35.6% 4.2%-16.0%-4.3%98.2%88.6%

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 37.4%. Revenue growth showed slow down in 16Q4 - it was 28.9% YoY. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin surged on 38.1 pp from 69.7% to 108% in 2016.

Gross Margin decreased on 3.2 pp from 40.1% to 36.8% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 0.72 pp from 4.0% to 3.3% in 2016.

Net Income marign surged on 46.9 pp from -25.0% to 21.9% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2016 Silver Wheaton Corp had CAPEX/Revenue of 90.3%. CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 196 pp from 287% in 2013 to 90.3% in 2016. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 131%.Silver Wheaton Corp has spent a lot to CAPEX (151% of EBITDA) to fuel its growth.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (3.80%) and ROE (4.29%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.65 pp from 4.4% to 3.8% in 2016. ROE increased on 8.5 pp from -4.2% to 4.3% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 2.0x and Debt / EBITDA is 2.2x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1.2x from 3.2x to 2.0x in 2016. Debt dropped on 18.6% while cash surged on 20.3%.

Management team


Randy V J Smallwood is a the company's CEO. Randy V J Smallwood is a founder and has spent 7 years at the company. Gary D Brown is a Silver Wheaton Corp's CFO. Gary D Brown has spent 10 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Basic Materials


Below we provide Silver Wheaton Corp benchmarking against other companies in Basic Materials industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd ($ASM)613.6%19.9%-1.1%109.1%
Trevali Mining Corp ($TV)12.9%86.4%
Geodrill Ltd ($GEO)-43.3%-4.3%34.6%53.1%
Tahoe Resources Inc ($THO)48.4%50.9%
Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd ($OR)164.4%38.0%
 
Median (82 companies)100.8%-2.5%2.0%-2.9%5.7%
Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW)-16.8%-12.2%4.6%37.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)89.9%94.8%95.5%82.3%79.7%
Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corp ($LIF)80.2%80.2%80.2%80.3%80.3%
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)42.5%57.4%66.7%60.9%65.6%
Trevali Mining Corp ($TV)49.0%59.3%
Perseus Mining Ltd ($PRU)52.5%50.9%32.0%53.7%26.3%
 
Median (94 companies)32.1%22.1%18.2%16.4%24.7%
Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW)86.2%80.3%49.8%40.1%36.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corp ($LIF)72.8%73.5%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)62.1%44.6%72.3%60.8%70.3%
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)7.6%57.3%57.5%60.0%62.4%
Sandstorm Gold Ltd ($SSL)74.3%49.9%62.1%56.5%64.6%
Alacer Gold Corp ($ASR)67.1%57.6%50.5%51.5%25.6%
 
Median (100 companies)17.4%10.8%10.3%6.7%23.0%
Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW)82.6%75.3%69.6%65.8%59.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Largo Resources Ltd ($LGO)567.6%
Sandstorm Gold Ltd ($SSL)152.1%118.8%49.4%412.7%17.3%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)3.7%35.5%201.6%230.0%122.4%
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd ($ASM)211.7%5.6%89.8%163.3%
Amerigo Resources Ltd ($ARG)13.0%9.3%9.8%99.6%
 
Median (100 companies)27.4%26.5%17.5%16.6%17.5%
Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW)75.5%286.8%22.5%279.2%90.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)-2.9%41.3%54.7%39.6%58.5%
Western Forest Products Inc ($WEF)9.0%25.1%15.7%16.4%25.1%
Geodrill Ltd ($GEO)8.6%-3.5%-9.3%3.6%20.3%
Supremex Inc ($SXP)14.1%18.5%16.5%23.4%19.3%
Canfor Pulp Products Inc ($CFX)4.9%13.2%21.3%24.1%17.0%
 
Median (99 companies)4.9%0.1%1.2%-3.8%4.8%
Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW)20.4%10.3%6.0%4.4%3.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Canam Group Inc ($CAM)4.2x2.6x3.2x1.8x13.9x
Taseko Mines Ltd ($TKO)7.4x5.9x10.2x5.9x11.0x
Methanex Corp ($MX)5.2x0.7x0.9x3.0x5.2x
Copper Mountain Mining Corp ($CUM)3.9x5.0x5.4x30.6x5.1x
Cameco Corp ($CCO)2.0x2.1x2.5x1.9x5.1x
 
Median (57 companies)0.3x0.7x1.1x1.5x0.6x
Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW)-1.0x1.7x1.6x3.2x2.0x