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Tuckamore Capital Management Inc reports 35.0% revenue decline in 2016 and 6.3 pp EBITDA Margin growth from -7.1% to -0.78%

07.03.2017 • About Tuckamore Capital Management Inc ($TX) • By InTwits

Tuckamore Capital Management Inc reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Tuckamore Capital Management Inc is a company in decline: 2016 revenue growth was -35.0%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -15.8%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -0.8%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -0.8% in 2016, -7.1% in 2015, 9.5% in 2014, 6.0% in 2013, 5.1% in 2012
  • Tuckamore Capital Management Inc has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.9%.
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -8.7%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 24.3x while industry average is 6.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Tuckamore Capital Management Inc ($TX) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue757.4647.8557.8416.1270.7-35.0%
Gross Profit146.2136.3114.353.724.9-53.6%
SG&A107.897.761.222.417.4-22.3%
EBITDA38.438.653.0-29.5-2.1
Net Income-25.6-17.4-17.2-124.9-45.7
Balance Sheet
Cash16.631.825.728.811.5-60.0%
Short Term Debt4.911.573.7237.53.9-98.4%
Long Term Debt273.2255.6178.66.3199.03,034.6%
Cash flow
Capex4.48.17.53.41.4-57.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth18.6%-14.5%-13.9%-25.4%-35.0%
EBITDA growth0.6%37.2%-155.6%-92.8%
Gross Margin19.3%21.0%20.5%12.9%9.2%-3.7%
EBITDA Margin5.1%6.0%9.5%-7.1%-0.8%6.3%
Net Income Margin-3.4%-2.7%-3.1%-30.0%-16.9%13.1%
SG&A, % of revenue14.2%15.1%11.0%5.4%6.4%1.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.6%1.3%1.3%0.8%0.5%-0.3%
ROIC4.9%12.0%-17.6%-8.7%8.9%
ROE-38.9%-36.0%0.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA6.8x6.1x4.3x0.0x


Tuckamore Capital Management Inc ($TX) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. CAD16Q116Q216Q316Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue69616873-25.4%-48.3%-41.9%-18.0%
EBITDA-7231-216.3%-84.0%-74.2%
Net Income-21-7-5-13
Balance Sheet
Cash109812-71.4%-40.3%-22.6%-60.0%
Short Term Debt5544-98.1%-98.1%-98.1%-98.4%
Long Term Debt2012012001991,813.7%2,028.5%2,069.4%3,034.6%
Ratios
Gross Margin7.7%8.9%10.1%10.0%-5.0%-3.7%-5.7%0.3%
EBITDA Margin -10.4% 2.8% 4.6% 1.6%-17.1%-6.4%-5.8%64.6%
Net Income Margin -30.3% -10.9% -7.9% -17.6%-25.5%-5.7%-2.4%103.6%

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 35.0%. Annual revenue decline showed slowdown in 16Q4 - revenue dropped on 18.0%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 6.3 pp from -7.1% to -0.78% in 2016.

Gross Margin decreased on 3.7 pp from 12.9% to 9.2% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.0 pp from 5.4% to 6.4% in 2016.

Net Income marign surged on 13.1 pp from -30.0% to -16.9% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.52% in 2016. Tuckamore Capital Management Inc's CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 0.73 pp from 1.3% in 2013 to 0.52% in 2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.89%.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 24.3x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in 2016. Debt dropped on 16.8% while cash dropped on 60.0%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Financial


Below you can find Tuckamore Capital Management Inc benchmarking vs. other companies in Financial industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Grenville Strategic Royalty Corp ($GRC)317.2%
StorageVault Canada Inc ($SVI)22.2%7.5%111.8%
Slate Retail REIT ($SRT.UN)316.8%229.7%92.5%21.6%
Mogo Finance Technology Inc ($GO)13.7%34.6%86.0%14.6%
Morguard Corp ($MRC)27.2%9.2%58.8%4.6%
 
Median (53 companies)7.5%9.1%3.6%5.8%
Tuckamore Capital Management Inc ($TX)-14.5%-13.9%-25.4%-35.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Olympia Financial Group Inc ($OLY)80.9%82.6%83.2%84.5%83.5%
Morguard Corp ($MRC)74.0%69.9%68.6%76.5%75.5%
Mogo Finance Technology Inc ($GO)70.4%64.5%63.4%62.3%
StorageVault Canada Inc ($SVI)18.2%22.6%18.3%52.4%
Clarke Inc ($CKI)28.1%20.0%18.9%43.4%41.6%
 
Median (8 companies)38.3%41.5%28.6%47.9%36.0%
Tuckamore Capital Management Inc ($TX)19.3%21.0%20.5%12.9%9.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Firm Capital Mortgage Investment Corp ($FC)87.6%87.9%88.8%86.6%
Equitable Group Inc ($EQB)88.1%87.4%86.0%84.7%83.0%
Atrium Mortgage Investment Corp ($AI)79.8%81.9%83.2%
Trez Capital Mortgage Investment Corp ($TZZ)76.2%
First National Financial Corp ($FN)67.8%76.5%77.1%74.6%
 
Median (36 companies)43.9%35.0%41.4%36.2%45.4%
Tuckamore Capital Management Inc ($TX)5.1%6.0%9.5%-7.1%-0.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Dundee Corp ($DC.A)10.3%14.1%88.8%123.6%
Gazit-Globe Ltd ($GZT)80.2%43.3%52.1%69.3%95.5%
First Capital Realty Inc ($FCR)127.9%76.1%73.8%56.7%79.7%
Killam Properties Inc ($KMP)80.7%114.1%143.5%46.7%59.9%
StorageVault Canada Inc ($SVI)150.5%73.3%79.1%21.4%
 
Median (55 companies)0.5%0.5%0.6%0.7%0.9%
Tuckamore Capital Management Inc ($TX)0.6%1.3%1.3%0.8%0.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
CI Financial Corp ($CIX)24.1%
FirstService Corp ($FSV)17.4%
IGM Financial Inc ($IGM)14.2%14.2%13.7%13.7%13.1%
Alaris Royalty Corp ($AD)9.5%10.1%10.7%7.3%12.3%
Genworth MI Canada Inc ($MIC)11.9%9.6%9.7%9.5%9.4%
 
Median (55 companies)4.6%3.3%3.9%3.5%3.2%
Tuckamore Capital Management Inc ($TX)4.9%12.0%-17.6%-8.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Element Financial Corp ($EFN)140.2x31.9x37.6x79.9x22.6x
First National Financial Corp ($FN)34.3x33.7x40.9x37.4x
StorageVault Canada Inc ($SVI)11.2x9.7x13.6x35.7x
Gazit-Globe Ltd ($GZT)12.8x12.7x15.3x22.1x15.2x
Equitable Group Inc ($EQB)11.8x10.2x9.8x12.3x13.7x
 
Median (28 companies)5.2x4.4x4.7x6.0x7.8x