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Liquor Stores N.A. Ltd revenue increased on 9.6% in 2016

07.03.2017 • About Liquor Stores N.A. Ltd ($LIQ) • By InTwits

Liquor Stores N.A. Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: in FY2016 vs. 4.9% in FY2015 vs. 7.2% in FY2012
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 10.2x while industry average is 2.8x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Liquor Stores N.A. Ltd ($LIQ) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue630.1661.0694.2746.4817.79.6%
Gross Profit159.5165.8176.4191.4-100.0%
SG&A154.5-100.0%
EBITDA45.743.236.536.9-100.0%
Net Income18.811.312.7-99.63.0
Balance Sheet
Cash5.74.53.03.8-100.0%
Short Term Debt3.90.00.00.1-100.0%
Long Term Debt146.6133.892.0129.6-100.0%
Cash flow
Capex11.811.910.925.9-100.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth6.5%4.9%5.0%7.5%9.6%
EBITDA growth-0.5%-5.3%-15.5%0.9%
Gross Margin25.3%25.1%25.4%25.6%-25.6%
EBITDA Margin7.2%6.5%5.3%4.9%0.0%-4.9%
Net Income Margin3.0%1.7%1.8%-13.3%0.4%13.7%
SG&A, % of revenue20.7%-20.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.9%1.8%1.6%3.5%-3.5%
ROIC7.9%7.0%5.6%6.1%-6.1%
ROE5.9%3.6%3.8%-32.1%32.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.2x3.0x2.4x3.4x-3.4x


Liquor Stores N.A. Ltd ($LIQ) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. CADFY16Q1FY16Q2FY16Q3FY16Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue17220920922816.7%9.8%7.5%6.3%
EBITDA212131340.9%-1.7%15.7%11.7%
Net Income-244-6-8.2%5.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash4647-62.4%53.0%43.2%85.2%
Short Term Debt0000183.3%
Long Term Debt18117915713648.4%43.7%23.4%4.8%
Ratios
Gross Margin25.4%25.1%25.4%25.3%-0.4%-0.6%-0.3%-0.2%
EBITDA Margin 1.2% 5.9% 6.0% 5.8%0.2%-0.7%0.4%0.3%
Net Income Margin -1.0% 2.0% 2.1% -2.7%0.6%-0.4%-0.0%46.8%

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 9.6%. Revenue growth showed slow down in FY16Q4 - it was 6.3% YoY.

Net Income marign jumped on 13.7 pp from -13.3% to 0.36% in FY2016.


Appendix 1: Peers in Consumer, Cyclical


Below you can find Liquor Stores N.A. Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Consumer, Cyclical industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
New Flyer Industries Inc ($NFI)38.6%21.0%6.1%47.8%
Hardwoods Distribution Inc ($HWD)21.3%22.8%25.4%38.1%
Spin Master Corp ($TOY)21.5%41.0%22.9%31.3%
Great Canadian Gaming Corp ($GC)-0.3%9.6%3.7%22.4%
CanWel Building Materials Group Ltd ($CWX)2.1%4.6%8.6%18.6%
 
Median (35 companies)5.0%7.2%6.1%4.6%
Liquor Stores N.A. Ltd ($LIQ)4.9%5.0%7.5%9.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Innova Gaming Group Inc ($IGG)89.3%82.4%85.3%92.9%88.1%
Second Cup Ltd/The ($SCU)86.6%85.1%72.7%81.1%
New Look Vision Group Inc ($BCI)71.8%72.6%72.6%78.7%
Cara Operations Ltd ($CAO)79.2%78.9%78.4%
Canlan Ice Sports Corp ($ICE)71.6%69.7%70.7%78.2%
 
Median (36 companies)38.1%34.2%33.5%32.6%34.6%
Liquor Stores N.A. Ltd ($LIQ)25.3%25.1%25.4%25.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Westshore Terminals Investment Corp ($WTE)49.7%65.9%60.9%59.6%
Gamehost Inc ($GH)46.1%45.7%45.9%42.8%42.6%
Great Canadian Gaming Corp ($GC)16.8%41.1%40.1%36.6%34.4%
Restaurant Brands International Inc ($QSR)51.1%20.8%33.9%44.4%
Cara Operations Ltd ($CAO)9.6%22.6%32.6%
 
Median (38 companies)8.6%10.2%12.4%11.0%15.1%
Liquor Stores N.A. Ltd ($LIQ)7.2%6.5%5.3%4.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Holloway Lodging Corp ($HLC)8.2%6.7%14.8%26.7%9.3%
WestJet Airlines Ltd ($WJA)7.9%19.5%18.6%22.5%22.4%
Westshore Terminals Investment Corp ($WTE)25.7%11.5%6.2%21.2%
Innova Gaming Group Inc ($IGG)20.6%26.7%15.9%15.6%15.1%
Exchange Income Corp ($EIF)7.9%15.8%15.5%15.4%29.7%
 
Median (41 companies)3.2%3.2%3.4%3.2%4.9%
Liquor Stores N.A. Ltd ($LIQ)1.9%1.8%1.6%3.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Spin Master Corp ($TOY)19.2%56.9%48.2%44.5%
Magna International Inc ($MG)16.3%18.6%25.2%21.9%21.2%
Linamar Corp ($LNR)12.9%17.0%21.7%23.7%19.8%
Sleep Country Canada Holdings Inc ($ZZZ)9.7%12.7%19.0%
Air Canada ($AC)37.0%23.2%28.4%18.8%
 
Median (41 companies)11.0%12.6%10.9%10.9%11.2%
Liquor Stores N.A. Ltd ($LIQ)7.9%7.0%5.6%6.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Holloway Lodging Corp ($HLC)5.8x8.4x17.1x8.6x
AutoCanada Inc ($ACQ)4.2x4.7x6.4x8.0x13.7x
Second Cup Ltd/The ($SCU)1.0x0.6x0.0x7.5x0.0x
Amaya Inc ($AYA)17.9x1.8x13.5x6.6x5.0x
Performance Sports Group Ltd ($PSG)2.6x3.5x12.2x6.5x
 
Median (34 companies)1.7x2.5x2.3x2.4x2.1x
Liquor Stores N.A. Ltd ($LIQ)3.2x3.0x2.4x3.4x