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NeuLion Inc reports 614% CAPEX growth and 6.1% Revenue growth

01.03.2017 • About NeuLion Inc ($NLN) • By InTwits

NeuLion Inc reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • NeuLion Inc doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2016 ROIC is -0.3%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 8.7% in 2016, 6.0% in 2015, 11.1% in 2014, 4.5% in 2013, -12.6% in 2012
  • NeuLion Inc has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 8.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 10.2 in 2016, 1.4 in 2015, 1.8 in 2014, 1.3 in 2013, 1.1 in 2012
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -0.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

NeuLion Inc ($NLN) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue38.98347.10755.52094.04399.7886.1%
Gross Profit20.88130.07339.00276.26881.4766.8%
SG&A24.29027.07345.67252.92215.9%
EBITDA-4.9262.1156.1695.6848.65152.2%
Net Income-10.079-2.2783.56725.916-1.753-106.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash11.10819.64425.89853.41341.905-21.5%
Short Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex1.1071.3011.8501.42810.195613.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth-1.7%20.8%17.9%69.4%6.1%
EBITDA growth-42.2%-142.9%191.6%-7.9%52.2%
Gross Margin53.6%63.8%70.2%81.1%81.6%0.6%
EBITDA Margin-12.6%4.5%11.1%6.0%8.7%2.6%
Net Income Margin-25.9%-4.8%6.4%27.6%-1.8%-29.3%
SG&A, % of revenue51.6%48.8%48.6%53.0%4.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.8%2.8%3.3%1.5%10.2%8.7%
ROIC-55.8%-10.3%18.5%-3.7%-0.3%3.4%
ROE45.8%-1.6%-47.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA-9.3x-4.2x-9.4x-4.8x4.6x


NeuLion Inc ($NLN) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $16Q116Q216Q316Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue2624242621.3%6.3%8.9%-8.1%
EBITDA5211153.9%197.7%-83.6%
Net Income2-1-3-0-101.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash6246704274.6%35.4%17.8%-21.5%
Short Term Debt0000
Long Term Debt0000-100.0%
Ratios
Gross Margin82.3%82.9%81.9%79.6%2.3%1.4%-0.5%-1.1%
EBITDA Margin 20.5% 7.4% 3.7% 2.4%10.7%9.1%2.4%-10.8%
Net Income Margin 7.9% -3.2% -11.4% -1.3%10.3%11.0%2.9%-119.3%

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 6.1%. Revenue growth showed slow down in 16Q4 - it was -8.1% YoY. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 4.1 pp from 58.4% to 54.3% in FY2016.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 0.55 pp from 81.1% to 81.6% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 4.5 pp from 48.6% to 53.0% in 2016.

Net Income marign dropped on 29.3 pp from 27.6% to -1.8% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2016 NeuLion Inc had CAPEX/Revenue of 10.2%. The company showed CAPEX/Revenue growth of 7.5 pp from 2.8% in 2013 to 10.2% in 2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 5.0%.NeuLion Inc maintained rich investment policy and has spent a lot to CAPEX (118% of EBITDA).

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-0.32%) and ROE (-1.64%). ROIC increased on 3.4 pp from -3.7% to -0.32% in 2016. ROE dropped on 47.4 pp from 45.8% to -1.6% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash dropped on 21.5%.

Management team


The company's CEO is Roy E Reichbach. Roy E Reichbach is a founder and has 2 years tenure at the company. NeuLion Inc's CFO Tim Alavathil has spent 1 year at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Communications


Below we provide NeuLion Inc benchmarking against other companies in Communications industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
AcuityAds Holding Inc ($AT)51.6%91.4%
Shopify Inc ($SH)111.9%109.0%95.4%89.7%
Gaming Nation Inc ($FAN)46.6%
Tucows Inc ($TC)13.3%13.6%17.1%9.8%
Points International Ltd ($PTS)45.1%26.0%16.2%8.6%
 
Median (25 companies)13.1%2.6%1.1%3.2%2.1%
NeuLion Inc ($NLN)20.8%17.9%69.4%6.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Wanted Technologies Corp ($WAN)90.5%93.2%94.3%95.6%
TeraGo Inc ($TGO)62.9%61.8%59.8%77.2%77.2%
ICTV Brands Inc ($ITV)67.4%71.9%69.6%68.1%
Platinum Communications Corp ($PCS)67.4%67.1%60.2%60.5%
Redline Communications Group Inc ($RDL)56.4%61.1%56.1%56.0%55.3%
 
Median (22 companies)43.5%41.2%43.6%43.5%40.1%
NeuLion Inc ($NLN)53.6%63.8%70.2%81.1%81.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
BCE Inc ($BCE)38.8%37.7%38.4%37.7%39.8%
Rogers Communications Inc ($RCI.A)37.3%38.4%37.9%36.9%32.5%
Quebecor Inc ($QBR.B)27.5%36.3%35.5%34.2%35.5%
TELUS Corp ($T)35.3%35.2%35.1%34.1%33.0%
ZoomerMedia Ltd ($ZUM)32.6%33.8%29.3%29.1%27.1%
 
Median (29 companies)19.1%13.7%8.8%10.4%7.3%
NeuLion Inc ($NLN)-12.6%4.5%11.1%6.0%8.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
TELUS Corp ($T)17.9%17.8%19.8%20.2%21.5%
Rogers Communications Inc ($RCI.A)17.2%17.6%18.4%18.2%17.2%
Quebecor Inc ($QBR.B)16.7%15.4%17.9%17.5%17.6%
BCE Inc ($BCE)17.6%17.5%17.7%16.9%17.4%
TeraGo Inc ($TGO)20.9%21.5%23.1%14.8%13.0%
 
Median (28 companies)2.6%3.2%2.2%3.1%2.9%
NeuLion Inc ($NLN)2.8%2.8%3.3%1.5%10.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Tucows Inc ($TC)17.7%22.5%35.4%51.4%58.4%
BCE Inc ($BCE)14.1%12.6%12.6%12.3%12.6%
Quebecor Inc ($QBR.B)7.9%9.6%8.4%8.4%10.1%
MDC Partners Inc ($MDZ.A)-3.1%-6.3%14.2%13.7%10.1%
TELUS Corp ($T)12.4%13.0%13.0%11.5%9.6%
 
Median (28 companies)9.9%8.2%7.1%3.1%2.2%
NeuLion Inc ($NLN)-55.8%-10.3%18.5%-3.7%-0.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Intertain Group Ltd/The ($IT)9.4x
MDC Partners Inc ($MDZ.A)12.4x112.6x4.6x5.5x9.6x
Quebecor Inc ($QBR.B)3.7x3.9x4.2x4.8x4.3x
Rogers Communications Inc ($RCI.A)2.3x2.4x3.2x3.6x3.8x
Newfoundland Capital Corp Ltd ($NCC.B)1.4x1.3x3.3x3.2x
 
Median (20 companies)1.4x1.3x1.5x1.8x1.9x
NeuLion Inc ($NLN)-9.3x-4.2x-9.4x-4.8x