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Tree Island Steel Ltd EBITDA jumped on 24.0% in 2016 and EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.8 pp from 7.4% to 9.2%

23.02.2017 • About Tree Island Steel Ltd ($TSL) • By InTwits

Tree Island Steel Ltd reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 9.2% in 2016, 7.4% in 2015, 4.2% in 2014, 4.7% in 2013, 2.4% in 2012
  • Tree Island Steel Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.4%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 24.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 6.3 in 2016, 6.3 in 2015, 1.5 in 2014, 0.51 in 2013, 0.35 in 2012
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 15.7%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.4x while industry average is 2.2x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Tree Island Steel Ltd ($TSL) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue146.2153.4183.9231.3231.3-0.0%
Gross Profit16.117.319.332.137.416.5%
SG&A12.513.014.418.019.47.5%
EBITDA3.67.27.717.221.324.0%
Net Income10.4-0.71.016.113.6-16.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash2.41.32.31.31.41.9%
Short Term Debt12.518.332.530.833.38.1%
Long Term Debt29.728.213.021.918.3-16.7%
Cash flow
Capex0.30.51.56.36.30.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth-2.5%4.9%19.9%25.7%-0.0%
EBITDA growth177.9%101.6%7.1%122.6%24.0%
Gross Margin11.0%11.3%10.5%13.9%16.2%2.3%
EBITDA Margin2.4%4.7%4.2%7.4%9.2%1.8%
Net Income Margin7.1%-0.4%0.5%7.0%5.9%-1.1%
SG&A, % of revenue8.6%8.5%7.8%7.8%8.4%0.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.2%0.3%0.8%2.7%2.7%0.0%
ROIC0.7%5.9%5.8%13.9%15.7%1.8%
ROE52.2%-2.5%2.7%31.7%21.5%-10.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA11.1x6.3x5.6x3.0x2.4x-0.6x


Tree Island Steel Ltd ($TSL) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. CAD16Q116Q216Q316Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue626558465.4%15.6%-6.0%-15.4%
EBITDA786150.6%55.0%-8.3%-22.2%
Net Income563-1147.0%208.1%-58.3%-112.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash226138.7%-24.5%355.0%1.9%
Short Term Debt31272933-33.8%-35.6%-15.6%8.1%
Long Term Debt2020191850.6%27.2%21.5%-16.7%
Ratios
Gross Margin17.7%17.6%16.6%11.5%3.7%3.2%0.6%0.6%
EBITDA Margin 11.2% 11.5% 9.6% 2.9%3.4%2.9%-0.2%-0.2%
Net Income Margin 8.4% 9.7% 4.7% -1.5%4.8%6.1%-5.8%-11.7%

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue showed almost no change in 2016. Revenue decline showed acceleration in 16Q4 - it was 15.4% YoY. Revenue decline happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.8 pp from 7.4% to 9.2% in 2016.

Gross Margin increased on 2.3 pp from 13.9% to 16.2% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.59 pp from 7.8% to 8.4% in 2016.

Net Income marign decreased slightly on 1.1 pp from 7.0% to 5.9% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Tree Island Steel Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 2.7% in 2016. CAPEX/Revenue increased on 2.4 pp from 0.33% in 2013 to 2.7% in 2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.1%.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROE (21.47%) while ROIC is a bit lower (15.70%). ROIC increased slightly on 1.8 pp from 13.9% to 15.7% in 2016. ROE dropped on 10.2 pp from 31.7% to 21.5% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 2.4x and Debt / EBITDA is 2.4x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.6x from 3.0x to 2.4x in 2016. Debt decreased on 2.2% while cash increased slightly on 1.9%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Industrial


Below we provide Tree Island Steel Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Industrial industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Progressive Waste Solutions Ltd ($BIN)16.1%7.8%1.8%59.4%
Baylin Technologies Inc ($BYL)16.5%-44.0%-4.1%47.5%
CCL Industries Inc ($CCL.B)44.4%36.8%17.5%30.8%
Stantec Inc ($STN)17.9%13.3%14.4%30.5%
Avigilon Corp ($AVO)72.6%41.9%17.7%22.2%
 
Median (51 companies)5.3%9.9%7.7%3.2%
Tree Island Steel Ltd ($TSL)4.9%19.9%25.7%-0.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Pure Technologies Ltd ($PUR)77.9%78.0%77.5%75.6%
WSP Global Inc ($WSP)81.1%83.2%81.0%74.0%76.7%
Avigilon Corp ($AVO)49.3%54.2%56.6%57.4%52.0%
Stantec Inc ($STN)55.0%54.7%54.9%54.5%54.1%
IWG Technologies Inc ($IWG)53.3%54.0%49.0%47.8%54.9%
 
Median (49 companies)23.9%24.0%21.9%21.9%22.9%
Tree Island Steel Ltd ($TSL)11.0%11.3%10.5%13.9%16.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Canadian National Railway Co ($CNR)46.5%45.9%46.8%50.9%54.3%
Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd ($CP)26.1%32.4%43.7%48.9%51.6%
Badger Daylighting Ltd ($BAD)25.7%25.9%27.9%24.6%24.2%
IWG Technologies Inc ($IWG)12.7%25.5%20.0%24.0%26.9%
Winpak Ltd ($WPK)19.5%18.6%18.7%22.7%23.5%
 
Median (53 companies)10.5%8.4%8.6%9.5%11.1%
Tree Island Steel Ltd ($TSL)2.4%4.7%4.2%7.4%9.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Newalta Corp ($NAL)21.7%34.5%35.1%42.0%9.6%
Cargojet Inc ($CJT.A)7.0%6.3%54.1%41.3%
Algoma Central Corp ($ALC)15.9%7.3%5.0%27.4%58.2%
Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd ($CP)20.2%20.2%21.9%22.7%19.0%
Canadian National Railway Co ($CNR)17.4%18.7%18.9%21.5%22.4%
 
Median (54 companies)3.2%3.7%4.4%3.9%4.8%
Tree Island Steel Ltd ($TSL)0.2%0.3%0.8%2.7%2.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
IBI Group Inc ($IBG)4.8%-9.0%11.6%21.9%26.2%
IWG Technologies Inc ($IWG)17.0%36.3%23.4%27.2%25.7%
Winpak Ltd ($WPK)20.4%18.0%18.3%22.6%21.8%
Toromont Industries Ltd ($TIH)28.8%25.8%24.3%23.5%21.7%
Intertape Polymer Group Inc ($ITP)12.3%13.7%22.5%23.0%21.0%
 
Median (55 companies)12.2%9.7%11.5%8.3%8.5%
Tree Island Steel Ltd ($TSL)0.7%5.9%5.8%13.9%15.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Conifex Timber Inc ($CFF)2.7x6.1x35.9x3.6x
Ag Growth International Inc ($AFN)2.9x-0.1x2.1x14.1x
Cargojet Inc ($CJT.A)1.5x1.5x31.5x12.9x
Progressive Waste Solutions Ltd ($BIN)4.5x3.3x2.9x10.6x3.8x
Finning International Inc ($FTT)2.3x1.8x1.4x9.4x2.5x
 
Median (49 companies)1.5x1.5x1.2x1.0x1.8x
Tree Island Steel Ltd ($TSL)11.1x6.3x5.6x3.0x2.4x