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Cott Corp Debt jumped on 33.3% in 2016 and Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 1.6x from 4.9x to 6.5x

23.02.2017 • About Cott Corp ($BCB) • By InTwits

Cott Corp reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Cott Corp has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.2%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 140 in 2016, 111 in 2015, 46.7 in 2014, 55.6 in 2013, 69.7 in 2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 2.9%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Cott Corp ($BCB) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue2,2512,0942,1032,9443,2369.9%
Gross Profit2892522778951,07420.0%
SG&A17815725276695624.8%
EBITDA207189126323321-0.7%
Net Income48171115-78-636.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash17947867711853.2%
Short Term Debt25523312521369.6%
Long Term Debt6024041,5411,5251,98830.3%
Cash flow
Capex70564711114026.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth-3.6%-7.0%0.4%40.0%9.9%
EBITDA growth5.8%-8.7%-33.3%155.7%-0.7%
Gross Margin12.9%12.0%13.1%30.4%33.2%2.8%
EBITDA Margin9.2%9.0%6.0%11.0%9.9%-1.1%
Net Income Margin2.1%0.8%0.5%0.5%-2.4%-2.9%
SG&A, % of revenue7.9%7.5%12.0%26.0%29.5%3.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.1%2.7%2.2%3.8%4.3%0.6%
ROIC8.9%7.5%0.9%4.0%2.9%-1.1%
ROE8.2%2.8%1.8%-0.6%-10.3%-9.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.0x2.2x13.4x4.9x6.5x1.6x


Cott Corp ($BCB) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $16Q116Q216Q316Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue698765885887-1.6%-1.9%17.1%27.0%
EBITDA679098664.8%-13.6%12.8%-3.4%
Net Income-37-4-78-55.4%-181.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash5525011911859.7%215.8%86.7%53.2%
Short Term Debt664269213-70.6%-98.2%72.8%69.6%
Long Term Debt1,5242,0132,0191,988-1.8%29.9%30.4%30.3%
Ratios
Gross Margin30.6%33.0%34.5%34.0%2.3%2.2%3.8%2.4%
EBITDA Margin 9.6% 11.8% 11.0% 7.4%0.6%-1.6%-0.4%-2.3%
Net Income Margin -0.5% 1.0% -0.4% -8.8%-0.1%-1.2%-1.1%-8.2%

Revenue and profitability


Cott Corp's Revenue increased on 9.9%. Revenue growth showed acceleration in 16Q4 - it increased 27.0% YoY. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 1.1 pp from 11.0% to 9.9% in 2016.

Gross Margin increased on 2.8 pp from 30.4% to 33.2% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 3.5 pp from 26.0% to 29.5% in 2016.

Net Income marign decreased on 2.9 pp from 0.49% to -2.4% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Cott Corp's CAPEX/Revenue was 4.3% in 2016. The company's CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 1.7 pp from 2.7% in 2013 to 4.3% in 2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.4%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (2.93%) and negative ROE (-10.32%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.1 pp from 4.0% to 2.9% in 2016. ROE decreased on 9.7 pp from -0.58% to -10.3% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 6.5x and Debt / EBITDA is 6.9x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 1.6x from 4.9x to 6.5x in 2016. Debt jumped on 33.3% while cash jumped on 53.2%.

Management team


Jerry Stephen Gary Fowden is a the company's CEO. Jerry Stephen Gary Fowden is a founder and has spent 9 years at the company. Cott Corp's CFO is Jay Wells. Jay Wells has 6 years tenure at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Consumer, Non-cyclical


Below we provide Cott Corp benchmarking against other companies in Consumer, Non-cyclical industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Concordia Healthcare Corp ($CXR)159.5%275.7%107.0%
Heritage Global Inc ($HGP)-37.0%76.2%11.2%80.8%
EnerCare Inc ($ECI)8.6%21.1%55.7%76.6%
CRH Medical Corp ($CRH)12.5%56.0%284.2%70.2%
Nuvo Research Inc ($NRI)-25.3%-29.1%57.0%31.9%
 
Median (40 companies)9.1%13.9%14.9%12.8%
Cott Corp ($BCB)-7.0%0.4%40.0%9.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Cipher Pharmaceuticals Inc ($CPH)99.5%98.3%92.7%
Ritchie Bros Auctioneers Inc ($RBA)88.7%88.4%88.0%89.1%88.3%
Information Services Corp ($ISV)77.5%80.4%80.9%87.6%85.1%
Biosyent Inc ($RX)79.3%79.2%78.1%78.7%
Concordia Healthcare Corp ($CXR)79.4%86.0%76.1%72.9%
 
Median (34 companies)35.4%39.2%35.8%36.1%28.9%
Cott Corp ($BCB)12.9%12.0%13.1%30.4%33.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
CRH Medical Corp ($CRH)21.0%24.5%29.1%44.1%
Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc ($VRX)30.6%27.8%45.6%39.8%23.8%
Concordia Healthcare Corp ($CXR)43.7%37.0%39.8%-92.8%
Ritchie Bros Auctioneers Inc ($RBA)36.8%36.3%36.4%39.7%31.4%
EnerCare Inc ($ECI)52.8%51.0%45.5%39.3%26.6%
 
Median (43 companies)9.7%12.8%14.1%12.7%10.7%
Cott Corp ($BCB)9.2%9.0%6.0%11.0%9.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
ProMetic Life Sciences Inc ($PLI)2.1%33.6%34.6%23.3%
EnerCare Inc ($ECI)25.7%26.5%23.6%20.7%15.5%
Black Diamond Group Ltd ($BDI)61.9%27.5%31.0%17.6%
easyhome Ltd ($EH)32.2%25.6%21.6%16.9%12.7%
K-Bro Linen Inc ($KBL)10.0%19.0%11.4%16.6%
 
Median (42 companies)3.1%2.8%2.4%2.3%2.0%
Cott Corp ($BCB)3.1%2.7%2.2%3.8%4.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Information Services Corp ($ISV)71.8%72.8%58.9%38.1%27.6%
Colliers International Group Inc ($CIG)10.5%11.2%15.2%10.9%26.1%
Nuvo Research Inc ($NRI)-11.6%-17.4%-37.9%12.9%20.8%
International Road Dynamics Inc ($IRD)0.9%6.7%4.4%10.6%16.5%
Premium Brands Holdings Corp ($PBH)10.3%9.9%6.9%12.6%15.3%
 
Median (43 companies)8.6%9.2%8.5%7.5%8.4%
Cott Corp ($BCB)8.9%7.5%0.9%4.0%2.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Concordia Healthcare Corp ($CXR)-1.3x5.6x20.2x
SunOpta Inc ($SOY)2.9x3.5x1.3x16.9x140.8x
Centric Health Corp ($CHH)5.6x10.2x11.2x15.6x
Sienna Senior Living Inc ($SIA)9.5x11.8x9.2x9.1x9.1x
Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc ($VRX)9.5x10.4x4.0x7.3x12.7x
 
Median (37 companies)2.9x2.3x3.3x2.3x2.7x
Cott Corp ($BCB)2.0x2.2x13.4x4.9x6.5x