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Progressive Waste Solutions Ltd reports 357% Net Income growth and 17.3 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 9.8% to 27.1%

21.02.2017 • About Progressive Waste Solutions Ltd ($BIN) • By InTwits

Progressive Waste Solutions Ltd reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 27.1% in 2016, 9.8% in 2015, 34.0% in 2014, 33.1% in 2013, 30.7% in 2012
  • Progressive Waste Solutions Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 10.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 52.2 in 2016, 31.7 in 2015, 58.0 in 2014, 41.5 in 2013, 13.2 in 2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 6.1%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.8x while industry average is 2.2x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Progressive Waste Solutions Ltd ($BIN) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue1,6621,9292,0792,1173,37659.4%
Gross Profit7058649419401,41850.9%
SG&A19721322923747499.7%
EBITDA510639707208916340.7%
Net Income159196233-96247
Balance Sheet
Cash231414111541,306.8%
Short Term Debt9649383734-7.2%
Long Term Debt2,2352,0922,0202,1743,64767.7%
Cash flow
Capex15421024123934544.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth10.4%16.1%7.8%1.8%59.4%
EBITDA growth5.3%25.3%10.7%-70.6%340.7%
Gross Margin42.4%44.8%45.2%44.4%42.0%-2.4%
EBITDA Margin30.7%33.1%34.0%9.8%27.1%17.3%
Net Income Margin9.6%10.1%11.2%-4.5%7.3%11.8%
SG&A, % of revenue11.9%11.0%11.0%11.2%14.0%2.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue9.2%10.9%11.6%11.3%10.2%-1.1%
ROIC8.3%8.5%10.6%-1.5%6.1%7.6%
ROE9.7%10.0%10.9%-4.5%6.5%11.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA4.5x3.3x2.9x10.6x3.8x-6.7x


Progressive Waste Solutions Ltd ($BIN) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $16Q116Q216Q316Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue5157281,0851,0491.7%37.0%98.0%97.1%
EBITDA160162311283-4.0%-8.5%65.3%
Net Income45278986-13.5%-52.1%64.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash956119154-41.1%256.0%406.7%1,306.8%
Short Term Debt34384434-15.2%-6.2%5.2%-7.2%
Long Term Debt2,0933,7963,6893,6473.0%91.8%86.9%67.7%
Ratios
Gross Margin44.2%42.8%41.3%41.1%-0.3%-1.2%-3.7%-2.9%
EBITDA Margin 31.0% 22.3% 28.7% 27.0%-1.8%-11.0%84.7%-5.2%
Net Income Margin 8.7% 3.8% 8.2% 8.2%-1.5%-7.0%55.1%-1.6%

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue surged on 59.4%. Revenue growth showed acceleration in 16Q4 - it increased 97.1% YoY. Revenue growth happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin jumped on 17.3 pp from 9.8% to 27.1% in 2016.

Gross Margin decreased on 2.4 pp from 44.4% to 42.0% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 2.8 pp from 11.2% to 14.0% in 2016.

Net Income marign jumped on 11.8 pp from -4.5% to 7.3% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 10.2%. Progressive Waste Solutions Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 0.67 pp from 10.9% in 2013 to 10.2% in 2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 11.0%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (6.14%) and ROE (6.46%). ROIC increased on 7.6 pp from -1.5% to 6.1% in 2016. ROE jumped on 11.0 pp from -4.5% to 6.5% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 3.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and 4.0x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 6.7x from 10.6x to 3.8x in 2016. Debt jumped on 66.5% while cash jumped on 1,307%.

Management team


Ronald J Mittelstaedt is a Progressive Waste Solutions Ltd's CEO. Ronald J Mittelstaedt is a founder and has spent 2 years at the company. Worthing F Jackman is a The company's CFO. Worthing F Jackman has spent 2 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Industrial


Below you can find Progressive Waste Solutions Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Industrial industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Baylin Technologies Inc ($BYL)16.5%-44.0%-4.1%47.5%
CCL Industries Inc ($CCL.B)44.4%36.8%17.5%30.8%
Stantec Inc ($STN)17.9%13.3%14.4%30.5%
Avigilon Corp ($AVO)72.6%41.9%17.7%22.2%
Ag Growth International Inc ($AFN)13.5%12.2%12.3%21.6%
 
Median (51 companies)4.9%10.4%8.5%2.6%
Progressive Waste Solutions Ltd ($BIN)16.1%7.8%1.8%59.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Pure Technologies Ltd ($PUR)77.9%78.0%77.5%75.6%
WSP Global Inc ($WSP)81.1%83.2%81.0%74.0%76.7%
Avigilon Corp ($AVO)49.3%54.2%56.6%57.4%52.0%
Stantec Inc ($STN)55.0%54.7%54.9%54.5%54.1%
IWG Technologies Inc ($IWG)53.3%54.0%49.0%47.8%54.9%
 
Median (49 companies)23.4%23.4%20.9%21.5%22.1%
Progressive Waste Solutions Ltd ($BIN)42.4%44.8%45.2%44.4%42.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Canadian National Railway Co ($CNR)46.5%45.9%46.8%50.9%54.3%
Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd ($CP)26.1%32.4%43.7%48.9%51.6%
Badger Daylighting Ltd ($BAD)25.7%25.9%27.9%24.6%24.2%
IWG Technologies Inc ($IWG)12.7%25.5%20.0%24.0%26.9%
Winpak Ltd ($WPK)19.5%18.6%18.7%22.7%23.5%
 
Median (53 companies)10.2%8.3%8.0%7.8%11.0%
Progressive Waste Solutions Ltd ($BIN)30.7%33.1%34.0%9.8%27.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Newalta Corp ($NAL)21.7%34.5%35.1%42.0%9.6%
Cargojet Inc ($CJT.A)7.0%6.3%54.1%41.3%
Algoma Central Corp ($ALC)15.9%7.3%5.0%27.4%58.2%
Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd ($CP)20.2%20.2%21.9%22.7%19.0%
Canadian National Railway Co ($CNR)17.4%18.7%18.9%21.5%22.4%
 
Median (54 companies)3.2%3.6%4.3%3.7%3.9%
Progressive Waste Solutions Ltd ($BIN)9.2%10.9%11.6%11.3%10.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
IBI Group Inc ($IBG)4.8%-9.0%11.6%21.9%26.2%
IWG Technologies Inc ($IWG)17.0%36.3%23.4%27.2%25.7%
Winpak Ltd ($WPK)20.4%18.0%18.3%22.6%21.8%
Toromont Industries Ltd ($TIH)28.8%25.8%24.3%23.5%21.7%
Intertape Polymer Group Inc ($ITP)12.3%13.7%22.5%23.0%21.0%
 
Median (55 companies)12.2%9.7%11.5%8.9%9.7%
Progressive Waste Solutions Ltd ($BIN)8.3%8.5%10.6%-1.5%6.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Conifex Timber Inc ($CFF)2.7x6.1x35.9x3.6x
Ag Growth International Inc ($AFN)2.9x-0.1x2.1x14.1x
Cargojet Inc ($CJT.A)1.5x1.5x31.5x12.9x
Finning International Inc ($FTT)2.3x1.8x1.4x9.4x2.5x
ENTREC Corp ($ENT)3.4x2.6x4.1x8.4x
 
Median (49 companies)1.5x1.5x1.2x1.0x1.8x
Progressive Waste Solutions Ltd ($BIN)4.5x3.3x2.9x10.6x3.8x