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Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd CAPEX dropped on 39.4% in 2016 and Revenue dropped on 14.4%

16.02.2017 • About Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd ($CUP.U) • By InTwits

Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd is a company in decline: 2016 revenue growth was -14.4%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -5.8%
  • Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 22.8%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 6.3%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 47.2 in 2016, 77.9 in 2015, 39.5 in 2014, 29.3 in 2013, 30.8 in 2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 5.8%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd ($CUP.U) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue223.5226.2231.7188.9161.7-14.4%
Gross Profit40.841.643.269.973.55.2%
SG&A9.18.7-4.9%
EBITDA45.749.849.751.756.89.8%
Net Income17.720.420.822.825.210.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash0.71.221.81.49.9622.4%
Short Term Debt56.718.314.015.741.0160.4%
Long Term Debt169.0202.0236.4222.6211.7-4.9%
Cash flow
Capex30.829.339.577.947.2-39.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth2.5%1.2%2.4%-18.5%-14.4%
EBITDA growth-0.5%9.0%-0.2%4.1%9.8%
Gross Margin18.2%18.4%18.7%37.0%45.5%8.5%
EBITDA Margin20.4%22.0%21.4%27.4%35.1%7.7%
Net Income Margin7.9%9.0%9.0%12.1%15.6%3.5%
SG&A, % of revenue4.8%5.4%0.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue13.8%13.0%17.0%41.3%29.2%-12.1%
ROIC5.8%6.3%6.1%5.7%5.8%0.1%
ROE9.7%11.1%11.1%11.1%11.2%0.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA4.9x4.4x4.6x4.6x4.3x-0.3x


Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd ($CUP.U) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $16Q116Q216Q316Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue40384341-18.4%-13.9%-14.7%-10.2%
EBITDA1214161510.3%8.5%5.8%15.5%
Net Income587551.5%36.8%-6.6%-13.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash391510-87.5%-73.4%-14.9%622.4%
Short Term Debt1741414118.8%192.4%194.1%160.4%
Long Term Debt223215215212-6.5%-5.4%-5.4%-4.9%
Ratios
Gross Margin40.9%49.4%46.7%45.0%9.3%9.8%8.1%6.4%
EBITDA Margin 30.4% 37.4% 37.0% 35.6%7.9%7.7%7.1%7.9%
Net Income Margin 12.5% 19.9% 17.2% 12.9%5.8%7.4%1.5%-0.5%

Revenue and profitability


Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd's Revenue dropped on 14.4%. Annual revenue decline showed slowdown in 16Q4 - revenue dropped on 10.2%. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 7.7 pp from 27.4% to 35.1% in 2016.

Gross Margin increased on 8.5 pp from 37.0% to 45.5% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.54 pp from 4.8% to 5.4% in 2016.

Net Income marign increased on 3.5 pp from 12.1% to 15.6% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 29.2% in 2016. The company showed fast CAPEX/Revenue growth of 16.2 pp from 13.0% in 2013 to 29.2% in 2016. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 29.2%.The company invested a big chunk of EBITDA (83.1%) to CAPEX which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (5.79%) and ROE (11.17%). ROIC showed almost no change in 2016. ROE showed almost no change in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 4.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and 4.5x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.3x from 4.6x to 4.3x in 2016. Debt increased on 6.0% while cash surged on 622%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Utilities


Below you can find Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Utilities industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Emera Inc ($EMA)8.3%31.8%-5.1%53.3%
Northland Power Inc ($NPI)54.1%36.4%-4.2%50.9%
Boralex Inc ($BLX)-6.7%13.5%37.1%11.7%
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp ($AQN)93.6%39.4%9.2%6.6%
TransAlta Corp ($TA)3.7%14.4%-13.6%5.7%
 
Median (14 companies)11.0%13.1%-5.1%1.1%
Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd ($CUP.U)1.2%2.4%-18.5%-14.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Atco Ltd/Canada ($ACO.X)85.6%85.1%82.3%85.0%88.8%
Canadian Utilities Ltd ($CU)81.0%80.8%77.7%81.0%86.6%
Northland Power Inc ($NPI)52.5%63.7%61.8%69.0%82.4%
GWR Global Water Resources Corp ($GWR)77.8%79.2%
Fortis Inc/Canada ($FTS)34.6%34.4%59.3%61.7%65.8%
 
Median (12 companies)43.5%46.8%56.7%61.4%62.6%
Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd ($CUP.U)18.2%18.4%18.7%37.0%45.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Northland Power Inc ($NPI)54.2%52.4%51.2%57.5%68.8%
Canadian Utilities Ltd ($CU)45.9%45.7%47.4%45.8%53.5%
Atco Ltd/Canada ($ACO.X)39.8%41.0%41.4%38.7%47.7%
TransAlta Corp ($TA)27.3%34.0%39.5%33.2%47.6%
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp ($AQN)26.1%29.5%26.7%32.5%39.3%
 
Median (12 companies)31.1%34.0%34.3%35.4%37.2%
Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd ($CUP.U)20.4%22.0%21.4%27.4%35.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Northland Power Inc ($NPI)84.0%60.2%238.7%265.9%148.0%
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp ($AQN)21.7%23.5%45.9%19.9%37.0%
Canadian Utilities Ltd ($CU)70.7%66.4%58.5%47.2%35.4%
Atco Ltd/Canada ($ACO.X)58.8%54.2%48.3%39.6%33.1%
GWR Global Water Resources Corp ($GWR)10.5%28.8%
 
Median (12 companies)31.8%29.0%21.7%21.1%26.9%
Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd ($CUP.U)13.8%13.0%17.0%41.3%29.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Keyera Corp ($KEY)13.8%12.7%14.3%12.6%10.5%
Atco Ltd/Canada ($ACO.X)10.8%10.5%9.6%5.6%8.1%
Canadian Utilities Ltd ($CU)10.0%9.4%9.2%5.9%8.0%
Northland Power Inc ($NPI)6.0%7.4%7.2%5.3%7.3%
TransAlta Corp ($TA)0.5%2.4%5.3%1.7%5.0%
 
Median (14 companies)4.2%5.6%5.0%5.2%4.3%
Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd ($CUP.U)5.8%6.3%6.1%5.7%5.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Atlantic Power Corp ($ATP)12.6x13.0x22.4x251.1x24.3x
Emera Inc ($EMA)5.7x5.6x3.8x4.3x13.3x
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp ($AQN)7.9x6.2x5.0x4.1x9.7x
Fortis Inc/Canada ($FTS)5.0x5.6x6.7x5.3x9.2x
GWR Global Water Resources Corp ($GWR)6.3x8.1x
 
Median (11 companies)5.3x5.5x4.1x5.2x7.8x
Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd ($CUP.U)4.9x4.4x4.6x4.6x4.3x