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Canadian Tire Corp Ltd Debt jumped on 37.0% in 2016 and EBITDA increased on 2.8%

16.02.2017 • About Canadian Tire Corp Ltd ($CTC) • By InTwits

Canadian Tire Corp Ltd reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Canadian Tire Corp Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.8%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 6.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 3,797 in 2016, 4,468 in 2015, 11,398 in 2014, 7,211 in 2013, 6,104 in 2012
  • The company has business model with average profitability: ROIC is at 11.6%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Canadian Tire Corp Ltd ($CTC) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue11,42711,78612,46312,28012,6813.3%
Gross Profit3,4983,7224,0464,1354,3926.2%
SG&A2,3442,8293,0533,0963,2926.3%
EBITDA1,1381,2361,3761,5191,5622.8%
Net Income4995616046596691.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,016643662901830-7.9%
Short Term Debt1,4911,0731,4061131,5591,280.9%
Long Term Debt2,3362,3392,1322,9712,667-10.2%
Cash flow
Capex22240453951661719.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth10.0%3.1%5.7%-1.5%3.3%
EBITDA growth7.6%8.6%11.4%10.3%2.8%
Gross Margin30.6%31.6%32.5%33.7%34.6%1.0%
EBITDA Margin10.0%10.5%11.0%12.4%12.3%-0.1%
Net Income Margin4.4%4.8%4.8%5.4%5.3%-0.1%
SG&A, % of revenue20.5%24.0%24.5%25.2%26.0%0.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.9%3.4%4.3%4.2%4.9%0.7%
ROIC9.7%10.1%11.0%12.0%11.6%-0.4%
ROE10.9%11.3%12.1%13.4%13.5%0.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.5x2.2x2.1x1.4x2.2x0.7x


Canadian Tire Corp Ltd ($CTC) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. CAD16Q116Q216Q316Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue2,5593,3523,1283,6411.8%2.9%0.1%7.7%
EBITDA2484054035070.9%5.3%-3.0%6.9%
Net Income67179176247-2.9%8.1%-11.7%9.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash3125353008307.2%-50.3%-64.5%-7.9%
Short Term Debt1,0591,0693761,559-25.3%1.2%-16.4%1,280.9%
Long Term Debt2,9663,0983,0942,66739.2%4.2%4.1%-10.2%
Ratios
Gross Margin35.7%33.1%34.3%35.6%0.6%0.8%1.5%0.8%
EBITDA Margin 9.7% 12.1% 12.9% 13.9%-0.1%0.3%-0.4%-0.1%
Net Income Margin 2.6% 5.4% 5.6% 6.8%-0.1%0.3%-0.7%0.1%

Revenue and profitability


Canadian Tire Corp Ltd's Revenue increased on 3.3%. Revenue growth showed acceleration in 16Q4 - it increased 7.7% YoY. EBITDA Margin showed almost no change in 2016.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 0.96 pp from 33.7% to 34.6% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.75 pp from 25.2% to 26.0% in 2016.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 4.9%. Canadian Tire Corp Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 1.4 pp from 3.4% in 2013 to 4.9% in 2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.5%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (13.47%) while ROIC is low (11.60%). ROIC showed almost no change in 2016. ROE showed almost no change in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 2.2x and Debt / EBITDA is 2.7x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.7x from 1.4x to 2.2x in 2016. Debt surged on 37.0% while cash decreased on 7.9%.

Management team


The company's CEO Stephen G Wetmore is a founder and has spent 9 years at the company. Dean Charles Mccann is a Canadian Tire Corp Ltd's CFO. Dean Charles Mccann has spent 6 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Consumer, Cyclical


Below you can find Canadian Tire Corp Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Consumer, Cyclical industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
New Flyer Industries Inc ($NFI)38.6%21.0%6.1%47.8%
Hardwoods Distribution Inc ($HWD)21.3%22.8%25.4%38.1%
Spin Master Corp ($TOY)21.5%41.0%22.9%31.3%
Great Canadian Gaming Corp ($GC)-0.3%9.6%3.7%22.4%
CanWel Building Materials Group Ltd ($CWX)2.1%4.6%8.6%18.6%
 
Median (35 companies)5.2%7.2%7.5%5.5%
Canadian Tire Corp Ltd ($CTC)3.1%5.7%-1.5%3.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Innova Gaming Group Inc ($IGG)89.3%82.4%85.3%92.9%88.1%
Second Cup Ltd/The ($SCU)86.6%85.1%72.7%81.1%
New Look Vision Group Inc ($BCI)71.8%72.6%72.6%78.7%
Cara Operations Ltd ($CAO)79.2%78.9%78.4%
Canlan Ice Sports Corp ($ICE)71.6%69.7%70.7%78.2%
 
Median (36 companies)38.1%33.5%32.9%30.6%35.1%
Canadian Tire Corp Ltd ($CTC)30.6%31.6%32.5%33.7%34.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Westshore Terminals Investment Corp ($WTE)49.7%65.9%60.9%59.6%
Gamehost Inc ($GH)46.1%45.7%45.9%42.8%42.6%
Great Canadian Gaming Corp ($GC)16.8%41.1%40.1%36.6%34.4%
Restaurant Brands International Inc ($QSR)51.1%20.8%33.9%44.4%
Cara Operations Ltd ($CAO)9.6%22.6%32.6%
 
Median (38 companies)8.0%9.8%12.4%10.0%15.4%
Canadian Tire Corp Ltd ($CTC)10.0%10.5%11.0%12.4%12.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Holloway Lodging Corp ($HLC)8.2%6.7%14.8%26.7%9.3%
WestJet Airlines Ltd ($WJA)7.9%19.5%18.6%22.5%22.4%
Westshore Terminals Investment Corp ($WTE)25.7%11.5%6.2%21.2%
Innova Gaming Group Inc ($IGG)20.6%26.7%15.9%15.6%15.1%
Exchange Income Corp ($EIF)7.9%15.8%15.5%15.4%29.7%
 
Median (41 companies)3.2%2.9%3.3%3.2%5.0%
Canadian Tire Corp Ltd ($CTC)1.9%3.4%4.3%4.2%4.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Spin Master Corp ($TOY)19.2%56.9%48.2%44.5%
Magna International Inc ($MG)16.3%18.6%25.2%21.9%21.2%
Linamar Corp ($LNR)12.9%17.0%21.7%23.7%19.8%
Sleep Country Canada Holdings Inc ($ZZZ)9.7%12.7%19.0%
Air Canada ($AC)37.0%23.2%28.4%18.8%
 
Median (41 companies)11.0%12.6%10.8%10.2%11.0%
Canadian Tire Corp Ltd ($CTC)9.7%10.1%11.0%12.0%11.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Holloway Lodging Corp ($HLC)5.8x8.4x17.1x8.6x
AutoCanada Inc ($ACQ)4.2x4.7x6.4x8.0x13.7x
Second Cup Ltd/The ($SCU)1.0x0.6x0.0x7.5x0.0x
Amaya Inc ($AYA)17.9x1.8x13.5x6.6x5.0x
Performance Sports Group Ltd ($PSG)2.6x3.5x12.2x6.5x
 
Median (34 companies)1.7x2.8x2.4x2.6x1.9x
Canadian Tire Corp Ltd ($CTC)2.5x2.2x2.1x1.4x2.2x