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Majestic Gold Corp CAPEX surged on 637% in 2016 and Revenue surged on 32.7%

27.01.2017 • About Majestic Gold Corp ($MJS) • By InTwits

Majestic Gold Corp reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Majestic Gold Corp doesn't have a profitable business model yet: FY2016 ROIC is -2.6%
  • Majestic Gold Corp has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 26.7%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 24.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 3.5 in FY2016, 0.48 in FY2015, 2.2 in FY2014, 0.86 in FY2013, 35.2 in FY2012
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -2.6%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 10.2x while industry average is 0.8x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Majestic Gold Corp ($MJS) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue31.90926.81625.78427.76136.85232.7%
Gross Profit11.9176.4700.183-2.2422.308
SG&A4.0994.025-1.8%
EBITDA5.8680.001-3.132-2.9881.386
Net Income-2.325-5.531-6.831-5.966-3.863
Balance Sheet
Cash24.56716.8509.8779.35411.85426.7%
Short Term Debt13.10016.35015.80527.71325.940-6.4%
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex35.2130.8632.2080.4763.508637.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth203.6%-16.0%-3.8%7.7%32.7%
EBITDA growth-168.6%-100.0%-304,888.1%-4.6%-146.4%
Gross Margin37.3%24.1%0.7%-8.1%6.3%14.3%
EBITDA Margin18.4%0.0%-12.1%-10.8%3.8%14.5%
Net Income Margin-7.3%-20.6%-26.5%-21.5%-10.5%11.0%
SG&A, % of revenue14.8%10.9%-3.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue110.4%3.2%8.6%1.7%9.5%7.8%
ROIC5.4%-1.9%-6.1%-6.1%-2.6%3.5%
ROE-4.1%-8.1%-11.0%-9.7%-6.6%3.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA-2.0x-486.6x10.2x10.2x


Majestic Gold Corp ($MJS) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. CADFY16Q1FY16Q2FY16Q3FY16Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue61498-12.2%96.1%153.6%-13.9%
EBITDA0-111-449.7%
Net Income-1-2-0-1
Balance Sheet
Cash7131312-24.9%3.7%51.5%26.7%
Short Term Debt2926242649.3%1.9%-1.6%-6.4%
Long Term Debt0000
Ratios
Gross Margin-2.2%4.6%13.6%7.2%-0.8%0.6%29.2%28.6%
EBITDA Margin 3.7% -4.6% 13.4% 7.5%6.0%-7.2%27.3%36.0%
Net Income Margin -12.5% -13.9% -4.6% -9.6%1.2%-4.7%27.8%25.1%

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 32.7%. Revenue growth showed slow down in FY16Q4 - it was -13.9% YoY. Revenue growth happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin jumped on 14.5 pp from -10.8% to 3.8% in FY2016.

Gross Margin jumped on 14.3 pp from -8.1% to 6.3% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 3.8 pp from 14.8% to 10.9% in FY2016.

Net Income marign surged on 11.0 pp from -21.5% to -10.5% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 9.5% in FY2016. The company showed CAPEX/Revenue growth of 6.3 pp from 3.2% in FY2013 to 9.5% in FY2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 6.6%.The company has spent a lot to CAPEX (253% of EBITDA) to fuel its growth.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-2.61%) and ROE (-6.57%). ROIC increased on 3.5 pp from -6.1% to -2.6% in FY2016. ROE increased on 3.1 pp from -9.7% to -6.6% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 10.2x Net Debt / EBITDA and 18.7x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged10.2x from to 10.2x in FY2016. Debt decreased on 6.4% while cash jumped on 26.7%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Basic Materials


Below we provide Majestic Gold Corp benchmarking against other companies in Basic Materials industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd ($ASM)613.6%19.9%-1.1%109.1%
Trevali Mining Corp ($TV)12.9%86.4%
Geodrill Ltd ($GEO)-43.3%-4.3%34.6%53.1%
Tahoe Resources Inc ($THO)48.4%50.9%
Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd ($OR)164.4%38.0%
 
Median (83 companies)100.8%-2.9%1.9%-1.8%6.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)89.9%94.8%95.5%82.3%79.7%
Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corp ($LIF)80.2%80.2%80.2%80.3%80.3%
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)42.5%57.4%66.7%60.9%65.6%
Trevali Mining Corp ($TV)49.0%59.3%
Perseus Mining Ltd ($PRU)52.5%50.9%32.0%53.7%26.3%
 
Median (95 companies)32.1%22.4%18.6%16.5%24.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corp ($LIF)72.8%73.5%
Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW)82.6%75.3%69.6%65.8%59.7%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)62.1%44.6%72.3%60.8%70.3%
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)7.6%57.3%57.5%60.0%62.4%
Sandstorm Gold Ltd ($SSL)74.3%49.9%62.1%56.5%64.6%
 
Median (101 companies)18.6%11.3%10.6%7.0%23.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Largo Resources Ltd ($LGO)567.6%
Sandstorm Gold Ltd ($SSL)152.1%118.8%49.4%412.7%17.3%
Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW)75.5%286.8%22.5%279.2%90.3%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)3.7%35.5%201.6%230.0%122.4%
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd ($ASM)211.7%5.6%89.8%163.3%
 
Median (101 companies)27.8%26.9%17.5%16.7%17.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)-2.9%41.3%54.7%39.6%58.5%
Western Forest Products Inc ($WEF)9.0%25.1%15.7%16.4%25.1%
Geodrill Ltd ($GEO)8.6%-3.5%-9.3%3.6%20.3%
Supremex Inc ($SXP)14.1%18.5%16.5%23.4%19.3%
Canfor Pulp Products Inc ($CFX)4.9%13.2%21.3%24.1%17.0%
 
Median (100 companies)4.9%0.7%1.6%-3.6%4.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Canam Group Inc ($CAM)4.2x2.6x3.2x1.8x13.9x
Taseko Mines Ltd ($TKO)7.4x5.9x10.2x5.9x11.0x
Methanex Corp ($MX)5.2x0.7x0.9x3.0x5.2x
Copper Mountain Mining Corp ($CUM)3.9x5.0x5.4x30.6x5.1x
Cameco Corp ($CCO)2.0x2.1x2.5x1.9x5.1x
 
Median (58 companies)0.3x0.8x1.1x1.6x0.6x