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Ergoresearch Ltd reports 28.0% EBITDA growth while 7.6% Revenue decline

28.10.2016 • About Ergoresearch Ltd ($ERG) • By InTwits

Ergoresearch Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Ergoresearch Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: FY2016 ROIC is 0.6%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 7.8% in FY2016, 5.6% in FY2015, 17.3% in FY2014, 15.5% in FY2013, 16.3% in FY2012
  • Ergoresearch Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 44.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 0.38 in FY2016, 0.13 in FY2015, 0.33 in FY2014, 0.47 in FY2013, 0.12 in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 0.6%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Ergoresearch Ltd ($ERG) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue8.23113.46917.86215.49814.327-7.6%
Gross Profit2.5824.3135.9833.7793.8231.1%
SG&A1.3662.5453.6833.5333.302-6.5%
EBITDA1.3452.0893.0930.8681.11128.0%
Net Income0.51511.8841.235-6.9810.112
Balance Sheet
Cash1.4456.6792.6952.0752.009-3.2%
Short Term Debt0.2691.3971.5711.0310.361-65.0%
Long Term Debt0.4914.0951.8720.8410.000-100.0%
Cash flow
Capex0.1180.4690.3260.1270.377196.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth14.1%63.6%32.6%-13.2%-7.6%
EBITDA growth28.6%55.3%48.1%-71.9%28.0%
Gross Margin31.4%32.0%33.5%24.4%26.7%2.3%
EBITDA Margin16.3%15.5%17.3%5.6%7.8%2.2%
Net Income Margin6.3%88.2%6.9%-45.0%0.8%45.8%
SG&A, % of revenue16.6%18.9%20.6%22.8%23.0%0.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.4%3.5%1.8%0.8%2.6%1.8%
ROIC23.1%13.6%10.8%-0.6%0.6%1.2%
ROE13.0%88.7%4.8%-27.6%0.5%28.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.5x-0.6x0.2x-0.2x-1.5x-1.2x


Ergoresearch Ltd ($ERG) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. CADFY16Q1FY16Q2FY16Q3FY16Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue4434-14.5%-3.1%-9.0%-3.7%
EBITDA0000-54.3%-4.3%
Net Income00-00-92.9%-82.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash1222-52.1%-12.1%22.7%-3.2%
Short Term Debt1110-20.7%-10.9%-48.2%-65.0%
Long Term Debt1000-54.9%-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Ratios
Gross Margin26.5%25.9%24.6%29.3%-7.2%-1.9%8.9%10.9%
EBITDA Margin 9.3% 7.3% 4.1% 9.7%-8.1%-0.1%7.5%10.7%
Net Income Margin 0.6% 0.0% -5.0% 6.3%-7.0%-0.0%2.0%184.5%

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 7.6%. Annual revenue decline showed slowdown in FY16Q4 - revenue decreased on 3.7%. Revenue decline happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.2 pp from 5.6% to 7.8% in FY2016.

Gross Margin increased on 2.3 pp from 24.4% to 26.7% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2016.

Net Income marign surged on 45.8 pp from -45.0% to 0.78% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 2.6% in FY2016. The company's CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 0.85 pp from 3.5% in FY2013 to 2.6% in FY2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.8%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (0.61%) and ROE (0.52%). ROIC increased slightly on 1.2 pp from -0.56% to 0.61% in FY2016. ROE jumped on 28.1 pp from -27.6% to 0.52% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -1.5x and Debt / EBITDA is 0.3x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1.2x from -0.2x to -1.5x in FY2016. Debt dropped on 80.7% while cash decreased on 3.2%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Industrial


Below you can find Ergoresearch Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Industrial industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Progressive Waste Solutions Ltd ($BIN)16.1%7.8%1.8%59.4%
Baylin Technologies Inc ($BYL)16.5%-44.0%-4.1%47.5%
CCL Industries Inc ($CCL.B)44.4%36.8%17.5%30.8%
Stantec Inc ($STN)17.9%13.3%14.4%30.5%
Avigilon Corp ($AVO)72.6%41.9%17.7%22.2%
 
Median (52 companies)5.1%10.1%8.1%2.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Pure Technologies Ltd ($PUR)77.9%78.0%77.5%75.6%
WSP Global Inc ($WSP)81.1%83.2%81.0%74.0%76.7%
Avigilon Corp ($AVO)49.3%54.2%56.6%57.4%52.0%
Stantec Inc ($STN)55.0%54.7%54.9%54.5%54.1%
IWG Technologies Inc ($IWG)53.3%54.0%49.0%47.8%54.9%
 
Median (50 companies)23.6%23.4%21.7%21.7%22.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Canadian National Railway Co ($CNR)46.5%45.9%46.8%50.9%54.3%
Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd ($CP)26.1%32.4%43.7%48.9%51.6%
Badger Daylighting Ltd ($BAD)25.7%25.9%27.9%24.6%24.2%
IWG Technologies Inc ($IWG)12.7%25.5%20.0%24.0%26.9%
Winpak Ltd ($WPK)19.5%18.6%18.7%22.7%23.5%
 
Median (54 companies)10.4%8.4%8.4%8.6%11.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Newalta Corp ($NAL)21.7%34.5%35.1%42.0%9.6%
Cargojet Inc ($CJT.A)7.0%6.3%54.1%41.3%
Algoma Central Corp ($ALC)15.9%7.3%5.0%27.4%58.2%
Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd ($CP)20.2%20.2%21.9%22.7%19.0%
Canadian National Railway Co ($CNR)17.4%18.7%18.9%21.5%22.4%
 
Median (55 companies)3.2%3.7%4.3%3.9%4.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
IBI Group Inc ($IBG)4.8%-9.0%11.6%21.9%26.2%
IWG Technologies Inc ($IWG)17.0%36.3%23.4%27.2%25.7%
Winpak Ltd ($WPK)20.4%18.0%18.3%22.6%21.8%
Toromont Industries Ltd ($TIH)28.8%25.8%24.3%23.5%21.7%
Intertape Polymer Group Inc ($ITP)12.3%13.7%22.5%23.0%21.0%
 
Median (56 companies)12.2%9.6%11.5%8.3%9.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Conifex Timber Inc ($CFF)2.7x6.1x35.9x3.6x
Ag Growth International Inc ($AFN)2.9x-0.1x2.1x14.1x
Cargojet Inc ($CJT.A)1.5x1.5x31.5x12.9x
Progressive Waste Solutions Ltd ($BIN)4.5x3.3x2.9x10.6x3.8x
Finning International Inc ($FTT)2.3x1.8x1.4x9.4x2.5x
 
Median (50 companies)1.5x1.6x1.3x1.0x1.9x